Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Bodrum FK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK: Match Preview
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK meet with just a point separating them in the 1. Lig table, both sitting in the crowded mid-table pack. Antalyaspor have alternated between wins and heavy defeats, most recently falling 0-4 at home to Kayserispor after a run of three straight wins. Bodrum FK arrive off back-to-back victories, including an impressive 4-1 away at Sarıyer, but their overall record is built on a foundation of draws and narrow margins.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by Antalyaspor's leaky home defence (14 conceded in 6 home games) against a Bodrum FK attack that has recently outperformed its season average. While Antalyaspor's matches are often open (70% over 2.5 goals), Bodrum FK's away fixtures are tighter, with just 2.4 total goals per game and only one defeat in five trips. Both teams show a slight second-half scoring bias, but neither is prolific early: Antalyaspor have scored just twice before half-time in their last five, while Bodrum FK have netted five first-half goals in the same span.
The underlying rates suggest a balanced contest with limited clear-cut chances. Bodrum FK's defensive solidity on the road and Antalyaspor's inconsistency at home point to a draw as the most likely outcome, with a low-to-moderate goal count. The model projects a 1-1 scoreline, with neither side able to impose sustained attacking pressure.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK that most previews miss.
- 1Bodrum FK have drawn three of their five away games this season, conceding just 1.0 goal per away match.
- 2Antalyaspor's home matches average 4.17 total goals, but their last two at home have produced just one goal for them.
- 3Bodrum FK have scored in four of their last five matches, but failed to score in three of their first six this season.
Who do you think wins: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams' season scoring and concession rates (Antalyaspor 1.5/1.7, Bodrum FK 1.18/0.91) point to a low-to-mid goal environment, with neither side dominant in attack or defence. The 1-1 is the modal outcome given the frequency of draws and similar underlying rates.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Antalyaspor's matches have gone over 2.5 at a 70% clip, but Bodrum FK are at just 36% and have conceded under a goal per game this season. The blended expected goal output is modest, especially given Antalyaspor's recent home struggles (just 11 goals in 6 home matches, 14 conceded).
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More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction
This is a mid-table meeting between two sides with similar underlying numbers but contrasting home and away records. Antalyaspor have a negative goal difference at home (11 scored, 14 conceded in 6), while Bodrum FK have been difficult to beat on the road, losing just once in five away trips and conceding only 5 goals. Both sides have shown recent upturns in form, but neither has established a clear attacking superiority. The statistical matchup is defined by moderate attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Antalyaspor average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, but their home matches are high-variance (70% over 2.5 goals, but also 4 home defeats). Bodrum FK, by contrast, play lower-scoring matches overall (1.18 scored, 0.91 conceded per game), and their away games average just 2.4 total goals. Bodrum FK's last five have seen a surge in scoring (2.2 per game), but this is above their season baseline and may not be sustainable. With both teams' recent form trending up but their season rates suggesting a tight contest, the likeliest scenario is a low-scoring draw. Neither side has a major injury concern, and the head-to-head record is balanced. Expect a cautious opening, with the match opening up only if an early goal is scored.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams' season-long scoring rates are modest, with Bodrum FK matches going under 2.5 goals in 7 of 11.
Defence
- →Antalyaspor's home defensive record is poor: 14 conceded in 6 home games.
- →Bodrum FK have lost just one of five away matches, conceding only 5 goals on the road.
🚩 Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Antalyaspor and 4.2 for Bodrum FK, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Antalyasporlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodrum FKlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Antalyaspor's recent form is mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five, but their most recent outing was a heavy 0-4 home defeat. Bodrum FK, meanwhile, are on a two-match winning streak and have lost just once in their last five, showing a notable uptick in attacking output with eight goals scored in their last three matches.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
- +Dominant in possession — 61% avg
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
The head-to-head record is balanced, with Antalyaspor winning two of the last four meetings and Bodrum FK one, plus a single draw. Previous encounters have swung between high-scoring (3-2) and low-scoring (0-0), suggesting no clear pattern in match tempo or outcome.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Antalyaspor wins
1
Draws
1
Bodrum FK wins
Things to Watch: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent form for Bodrum FK (2.2 goals per game in last 5) is above their season average and could regress.
- ⚠️Antalyaspor's home matches have been high-scoring, but sample size is still modest at 6.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Antalyaspor 1–1 Bodrum FKThe model calls this a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates, and Bodrum FK's tendency to keep things tight away from home. The strongest data point is Bodrum FK's away defensive record (just 5 conceded in 5 away), which should stifle Antalyaspor's inconsistent attack. The main risk is Antalyaspor's high-variance home matches, which could swing the total goals line if the match opens up early.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK: Common Questions
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?
The model gives Antalyaspor a 33% chance to win, Bodrum FK a 31% chance, and a draw is slightly favoured at 36%. Both teams have similar underlying numbers and recent form, so a close contest is expected.
Will both teams score in Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?
There's a 52% probability of both teams scoring. Antalyaspor have scored in 4 of their last 5, and Bodrum FK in 4 of 5 as well, but both sides have also kept a couple of clean sheets recently.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?
The model estimates a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals, reflecting Bodrum FK's strong defensive record (0.91 conceded per game) and the overall low scoring in their matches (just 36% over 2.5 goals this season).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.