Antwerp vs Standard Liege Predictions

Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro League · Belgium
high confidence
Antwerp

Antwerp

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Standard Liege

Standard Liege

🗓️ Sunday, 3 May 2026 at 16:00 CEST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)📍 Bosuilstadion

Win Probability (1X2)

Antwerp 47%Draw 32%Standard Liege 21%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

@ 4(+31% edge)

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Antwerp1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Standard Liege1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Win Probability
Antwerp 50% Draw 25% Standard Liege 25%

Over 2.5 Goals

49%

BTTS: Yes

52%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Antwerp vs Standard Liege Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
47%
32%
21%
Antwerp 47%Draw 32%Standard Liege 21%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
52%
48%
Over 2.5 52%Under 2.5 48%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Who do you think wins: Antwerp vs Standard Liege?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Antwerp vs Standard Liege Prediction

Antwerp come into this fixture in strong form with three consecutive wins, including a recent away victory over Standard Liege. Their attack has been productive, averaging 2 goals per game in the last five, and they have not failed to score in any of those matches. Standard Liege have been inconsistent but dangerous away from home, with 9 away wins this season and goals in every recent match. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, as shown by their goals conceded averages and low clean sheet rates. The head-to-head record is heavily in Antwerp's favour at home, but the recent meetings have been tighter. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score, but Antwerp's home advantage and attacking momentum may see them edge it.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Standard Liege have scored in all of their last 5 matches and are strong away (9 away wins)
  • →Head-to-head at Antwerp: 6 wins in last 10 for Antwerp, but recent draws indicate some balance

Attack

  • →Antwerp's current 3-match winning streak and strong attacking output (2.0 goals/game last 5)

Defence

  • →Both teams have low clean sheet rates (Antwerp 22.9%, Standard 28.6% for the season)

Match Context

  • →Recent matches for both teams have high BTTS and over 2.5 goal frequencies

🚩 Antwerp vs Standard Liege Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Antwerp and 4.2 for Standard Liege, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Antwerp and Standard Liege Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Antwerp vs Standard Liege Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

AntwerpAntwerplast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Standard LiegeStandard Liegelast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Antwerp vs Standard Liege — Last 10 Matches

AntwerpAntwerpLast 10 results
W4-2
W2-1
W2-0
L1-2
L1-2
L0-1
D1-1
D0-0
W1-0
L1-2
W@ KVC Westerlo4-2
W@ Standard Liege2-1
Wvs OH Leuven2-0
L@ Charleroi1-2
Lvs Genk1-2
L@ OH Leuven0-1
Dvs Standard Liege1-1
D@ RAAL La Louvière0-0
Wvs St. Truiden1-0
L@ Union St. Gilloise1-2

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Standard LiegeStandard LiegeLast 10 results
D1-1
L1-2
W2-1
L1-2
W3-1
D0-0
D1-1
W1-0
D1-1
W3-0
D@ Genk1-1
Lvs Antwerp1-2
W@ Charleroi2-1
Lvs KVC Westerlo1-2
W@ OH Leuven3-1
Dvs KVC Westerlo0-0
D@ Antwerp1-1
W@ Zulte Waregem1-0
Dvs RAAL La Louvière1-1
W@ Genk3-0

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Antwerp vs Standard Liege

Antwerp vs Standard Liege Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

6

Antwerp wins

2

Draws

2

Standard Liege wins

60%20% draws20%
21 Apr 26Standard Liege vs Antwerp1-2
15 Mar 26Antwerp vs Standard Liege1-1
20 Oct 25Standard Liege vs Antwerp1-0
16 Mar 25Standard Liege vs Antwerp0-0
27 Oct 24Antwerp vs Standard Liege3-0
31 Jan 24Standard Liege vs Antwerp0-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Antwerp vs Standard Liege

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Antwerp Win1.4047.0%-24.4%
Drawvalue3.5032.0%+3.4%
Standard Liege Win2.7521.0%-15.4%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.9052.0%-0.6%
Under 2.51.8548.0%-6.1%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue4.0056.0%+31.0%
No1.2044.0%-39.3%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.50EV +0.120
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 4.00EV +1.240

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Antwerp vs Standard Liege

  • ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis; late team news could affect probabilities
  • ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in results, increasing draw probability
  • ⚠️Market odds may shift before kickoff, affecting value edges

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Antwerp vs Standard Liege: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 27 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Antwerp vs Standard Liege Resources