Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Predictions
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
OFI
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 5.5(+30% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 5.5
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 0.48 vs. implied probability of 0.18 from odds 5.5, showing a large positive edge. Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 10 H2H and OFI's attack is capable even away.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.6
Model sees a slightly higher probability of a draw (0.29) than the market (0.28). Both teams have drawn several matches this season and recent H2H have included tight games.
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The Case For This Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Prediction
Aris Thessalonikis come into this fixture on a strong run of form, buoyed by three consecutive wins and a solid home record, while OFI have struggled recently with back-to-back losses but remain a threat on the break. Aris's attack has improved, but their defense can be vulnerable, and OFI's high shots and possession numbers suggest they will create chances. Expect a competitive match with Aris slightly favored, but OFI are capable of scoring and keeping things close.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Aris on a 3-match winning streak, including a 2-0 away win over OFI recently.
- →Recent H2H is balanced: 5 wins for OFI, 4 for Aris, 1 draw in last 10.
Defence
- →OFI have lost their last two but average 1.2 goals scored and conceded in their last 5.
- →OFI's away defense is leaky (32 conceded in 15), but their attack is not toothless.
Match Context
- →Aris's home record is solid (4W, 9D, 2L), but they rarely win by large margins.
- →BTTS has landed in 5 of last 10 H2H meetings.
🚩 Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Aris Thessalonikis and 4.7 for OFI, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 43%.
How Aris Thessalonikis and OFI Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Aris Thessalonikislast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
OFIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Aris Thessalonikis are in excellent form, winning their last three matches and showing improved attacking output, including a recent 2-0 win away at OFI. OFI, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches (both to Aris) but did win two of their previous three, suggesting some inconsistency. Both teams have shown they can score, but Aris have the momentum and confidence edge.
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI
Head-to-head history is very even, with both sides trading wins and away teams often performing well. Recent meetings have seen both teams score, and the last three encounters have all produced at least two goals, underlining the potential for another competitive, open game.
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Aris Thessalonikis wins
1
Draws
5
OFI wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI
The biggest value edge is on 'Both Teams to Score (Yes)' at odds 5.5, where the model sees a much higher probability than the market. The draw also offers a small positive expected value, as the model rates the chances of a stalemate slightly higher than the implied odds. Aris are rightful favorites, but the market may be underestimating OFI's attacking threat and the likelihood of a close, competitive match.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI
- ⚠️Some derived stats (e.g., shots, possession) are based on partial last 5 match data.
- ⚠️OFI's lineup and tactical approach can vary significantly away from home.
- ⚠️Market odds may shift closer to kickoff, affecting value edges.
- ⚠️Low clean sheet percentages for both sides increase goal variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.