AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
AS Gabes
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Stade Tunisien
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Stade Tunisien
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.35
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
BTTS: Yes
17%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien are far superior in league position, defensive record, and head-to-head history. AS Gabes have the league’s weakest attack and are winless in their last 5, making a home win unlikely. The away side's strong clean sheet rate and Gabes' scoring woes increase the likelihood of Stade Tunisien avoiding defeat.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have extremely low over 2.5 goal percentages (AS Gabes 24%, Stade Tunisien 18%), and recent matches have been low-scoring. Both sides struggle to score, especially Gabes, while Stade Tunisien are defensively solid.
Read more ↓
Correct Score: 0–1
The most probable outcome based on both teams' recent scoring patterns, defensive strengths of Stade Tunisien, and Gabes' inability to score in 4 of their last 5. H2H also supports a low-scoring away win.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Prediction
This fixture pits bottom-placed AS Gabes against fourth-placed Stade Tunisien in a match where the away side are clear favorites. AS Gabes enter on a three-match losing streak, scoring just once in their last five, and have the league's weakest attack. Stade Tunisien have also struggled for wins recently but remain defensively resolute and have a strong away record. Given both teams’ low-scoring tendencies and the visitors’ defensive solidity, a cagey, low-scoring game is likely, with Stade Tunisien expected to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Stade Tunisien have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, including a 4-0 win earlier this season.
Attack
- →AS Gabes are winless in their last 5 (LLLDL), with 4 games without scoring.
- →Both teams have under 25% of matches finishing over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Stade Tunisien have conceded just 14 goals in 29 matches (0.48 per game), with a 64% clean sheet rate.
- →Stade Tunisien are also winless in 5, but have faced stronger opposition and remain defensively solid.
Match Context
- →AS Gabes have scored only 11 goals in 29 matches (0.38 per game), lowest in the league.
How AS Gabes and Stade Tunisien Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
AS Gabeslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Stade Tunisienlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
AS Gabes are in dire form, losing four of their last five and failing to score in all but one, highlighting their season-long attacking woes. Stade Tunisien are also winless in five, but their losses have mostly come against stronger opposition, and they have at least managed to keep games tight defensively, conceding just six goals in that span.
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +64.29% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
The head-to-head record is heavily in Stade Tunisien’s favor, with six wins and only one defeat in the last ten meetings. The most recent clash ended 4-0 to Stade Tunisien, and historically, these matches tend to be low-scoring, with several draws and few high-scoring games.
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
AS Gabes wins
3
Draws
6
Stade Tunisien wins
Things to Watch: AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value bets cannot be precisely quantified.
- ⚠️No detailed shots/corners/fouls data for recent matches, reducing confidence in set-piece and cards predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams in poor recent form, introducing some unpredictability.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late team news could affect probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.