Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
AI Predicted Score
1 - 3
Red Bull Salzburg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Red Bull Salzburg Win
@ 1.45
Recommended Bets: Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg: Match Preview
Austria Vienna approach this fixture in a deep slump, having failed to win any of their last five league matches and collecting just a single point in that stretch. Their form string of 'DLLLL' is matched by a home record that reads just one win in five, and the team sits 11th in the table, only above the bottom side. Red Bull Salzburg, meanwhile, are riding a wave of momentum: unbeaten in the league, second in the standings, and fresh from a 4-3 away win at Sturm Graz. Their recent run includes four wins and a draw, with 15 goals scored in their last five Bundesliga outings.
Statistically, this is a clash of opposites. Austria Vienna's attack has stuttered—just 0.8 goals per game in their last five—and their defence has been porous, conceding 2 per match and keeping no clean sheets. Salzburg, on the other hand, have averaged 3 goals per game recently, with 5 shots on target and 12.4 total shots per match, while conceding 1.8. The visitors' away record is robust (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), and they have been especially dangerous in the first half, scoring eight before the break in their last five league matches. Austria Vienna's set-piece threat (6 corners per game) is a rare bright spot, but their inability to convert possession into goals leaves them vulnerable.
Given the contrast in form and the recent head-to-head dominance of Salzburg, the model expects the visitors to take control early and maintain their attacking rhythm. Austria Vienna's shot metrics suggest they could find a goal, but Salzburg's firepower and momentum are likely to prove decisive. A 3-1 away win is projected, with Salzburg's ability to start fast and sustain pressure tipping the balance.
How Austria Vienna and Red Bull Salzburg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Austria Viennalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Red Bull Salzburglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Austria Vienna are in the midst of a severe downturn, with a 'DLLLL' form string and just one point from their last five matches. Their attack has struggled, and defensive lapses have cost them repeatedly. Red Bull Salzburg, by contrast, are surging—four wins and a draw in their last five, with 15 goals scored and an unbeaten league record that underlines their momentum.
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg that most previews miss.
- 1Red Bull Salzburg have scored at least three goals in four of their last five league matches.
- 2Austria Vienna have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding multiple goals in four of those games.
- 3Salzburg have scored eight first-half goals in their last five league outings, highlighting their early dominance.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 2.60
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 1-2 · 0-3
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction
Austria Vienna limp into this clash with a solitary point from their last five, their form string 'DLLLL' underlining a side in freefall. Red Bull Salzburg, by contrast, are surging: four wins and 15 goals from their last five league games, and unbeaten all season. The gulf in momentum is stark, with Austria Vienna's only recent respite a 1-1 draw against WSG Wattens, while Salzburg's relentless attack has steamrolled most opponents. The tactical matchup is lopsided. Austria Vienna have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game in their last five, with no clean sheets and two matches failing to score. Salzburg's last five have produced 3 goals per game for, with 5 shots on target per match and 12.4 total shots, despite slightly lower possession. Austria Vienna's home record is especially weak (1 win, 4 losses, 2 goals scored in 5), while Salzburg are unbeaten away and have netted 12 in 6. Set pieces could play a role, with Austria Vienna averaging 6 corners per game recently, but Salzburg's 4.4 corners and 2 cards per game hint at a side that attacks with width and presses high. Expect Salzburg to impose themselves early—eight first-half goals in their last five league games signal a team that starts fast. Austria Vienna's defensive structure has been breached repeatedly, and their inability to keep games tight at home leaves them exposed. The most likely scenario is Salzburg racing ahead, with Austria Vienna potentially grabbing a consolation but rarely threatening a result. The model projects a 3-1 away win, with Salzburg's form and firepower the decisive factors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in the league (9W, 3D), with four wins and 15 goals from their last five.
Defence
- →Austria Vienna have just one point from their last five league matches (DLLLL), conceding 10 goals in that run.
Match Context
- →Salzburg have dominated the recent H2H, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings, including a 4-1 victory earlier this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Red Bull Salzburg Win@ 1.45
Red Bull Salzburg have won four of their last five league matches, scoring 19 goals in that stretch, while Austria Vienna have taken just one point from their last five and scored only four. Salzburg's momentum and attacking firepower, especially away (12 goals in 6 away league games), make them strong favourites despite a busy schedule.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.44
Salzburg's last five league games have averaged 4.8 goals, and Austria Vienna have conceded 10 in their last five. The visitors' high-scoring form and the hosts' defensive frailty point to another open contest.
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Correct Score: 1–3
Salzburg have scored at least three goals in three of their last five league matches, and Austria Vienna have conceded multiple goals in four of their last five. The 1-3 scoreline fits both teams' recent patterns.
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More Bundesliga Predictions
🚩 Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Austria Vienna and 3.7 for Red Bull Salzburg, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
What History Says: Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg
Salzburg have dominated this matchup, winning eight of the last ten meetings—including a 4-1 victory earlier this season. Austria Vienna have not beaten Salzburg at home since February 2026, and Salzburg have scored at least three goals in five of the last seven encounters. The gulf in class and consistency between the sides has been reflected in both results and scorelines.
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Austria Vienna wins
1
Draws
8
Red Bull Salzburg wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg
Bookmaker odds closely track the model's probabilities, leaving little clear value on the main markets. The draw is slightly overpriced at 4.5 but still not enough to offer a positive edge. Both teams to score and under 2.5 goals are also priced shorter than the model's probabilities suggest, indicating the market expects goals and a Salzburg win—just as the data does.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg
- ⚠️Salzburg's midweek Europa League fixture could introduce some rotation or fatigue.
- ⚠️Austria Vienna's shot and possession numbers are not as poor as their results, suggesting potential for regression.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported for either side, but late lineup changes could affect dynamics.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Austria Vienna 1–3 Red Bull SalzburgThe model calls this for Red Bull Salzburg by a 3-1 margin, with their explosive recent form—four wins and 15 goals in five league games—the clearest signal. Salzburg's fast starts and Austria Vienna's defensive frailty point to a game decided early. The main risk is Salzburg's busy schedule leading to rotation or a rare off day, but the form gap is too wide to ignore.
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg: Common Questions
Who will win Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg are strong favourites, with a 73% model probability of victory. Their recent form is outstanding—four wins and 15 goals in their last five league matches—while Austria Vienna have just one point from five and sit 11th.
Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs Salzburg?
There's a 57% chance both teams score, according to the model. Salzburg have conceded in four of their last five, and Austria Vienna have averaged 0.8 goals per game recently, so a home goal is plausible even if Salzburg dominate.
Can Austria Vienna end their losing streak against Salzburg?
It's unlikely based on current form and history: Salzburg have won eight of the last ten meetings and arrive unbeaten in the league, while Austria Vienna have lost four of their last five. The model gives the hosts just a 9% chance of victory.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Resources
Austria Vienna Predictions
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Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
All Red Bull Salzburg fixtures & tips
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results