Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
AI Predicted Score
0 - 4
Rapid Vienna
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 2.05(+48% edge)
Recommended Bets: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna: Match Preview
Grazer AK return to Merkur-Arena desperate to halt a three-match losing slide, having conceded 10 goals in their last two home outings and showing little sign of defensive improvement. Their recent form string of LLLDL is the worst in the division, and with just two wins from twelve, they find themselves deep in the relegation mire. Rapid Vienna, meanwhile, arrive at full throttle: five consecutive league wins, 19 goals scored and only one conceded, and a grip on top spot that looks increasingly unassailable.
On the pitch, this is a meeting of the league's leakiest defence and its most rampant attack. Rapid Vienna have averaged 3.8 goals per game in their last five, with four clean sheets and a relentless press that suffocates weaker sides. Grazer AK, in contrast, have managed just 0.6 goals per game in that same stretch and are conceding chances at will—opponents are averaging over 10 shots per match against them. Set pieces and discipline offer little respite: Rapid's fouls and cards are both low, suggesting composure, while Grazer AK have been forced into desperation tackles and already seen a red card in their last five.
With both momentum and quality heavily weighted towards the visitors, the model expects Rapid Vienna to take control early, likely scoring in the first half and never relinquishing their hold. Unless Grazer AK can summon a defensive performance well above their recent level, this looks set to be another heavy defeat, with Rapid's form and firepower simply overwhelming the hosts.
How Grazer AK and Rapid Vienna Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Grazer AKlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rapid Viennalast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Grazer AK's current trajectory is sharply negative, with three consecutive defeats and 17 goals conceded in their last five matches. Rapid Vienna, by contrast, are surging: five straight wins, 19 goals scored, and only a single goal conceded. The momentum gap between the sides could hardly be wider.
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 3.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna that most previews miss.
- 1Rapid Vienna have scored at least three goals in four of their last five league matches, while Grazer AK have conceded four or more in three of their last five.
- 2Grazer AK are without a clean sheet in their last five, conceding first in four of those games.
- 3Only one of Rapid Vienna's last five matches has seen both teams score, underlining their defensive control during this winning run.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 3.15
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
0-3 · 0-2 · 1-3
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Prediction
Grazer AK limp into this clash on a three-game losing streak, having shipped 10 goals in their last two home fixtures and failed to register a win in five. Their attack has dried up, with just three goals in their last five league outings, and the defensive frailties are laid bare by a 3.4 goals conceded per game average over that span. Rapid Vienna, by contrast, are in the midst of a relentless surge: five straight league wins, 19 goals scored, and just one conceded, underlining their dominance at both ends of the pitch. The tactical contrast could hardly be starker. Rapid Vienna's attack is purring, averaging 3.8 goals and 4.2 shots on target per match across their last five, while their back line has delivered four clean sheets in that stretch. Grazer AK's defensive structure has been porous, conceding early and often—three first-half goals allowed in their last five, with a worrying inability to recover after falling behind. Set-piece threat is also heavily in Rapid's favour, with the visitors averaging 3.6 corners and only 4.8 fouls per game, suggesting control and discipline, while the hosts have struggled to generate chances from dead balls. Given the gulf in momentum and quality, the model expects Rapid Vienna to assert themselves early and maintain control. The most likely scenario is a one-sided contest, with Rapid's high pressing and clinical finishing exposing Grazer AK's defensive lapses. Unless the hosts can find a level of resilience not seen in recent weeks, this fixture is set to extend both teams' current streaks.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Rapid Vienna are on a five-match winning streak, scoring 19 and conceding just one in that run.
- →Grazer AK have lost three straight, conceding 10 in their last two home games and averaging 3.4 goals conceded per match over their last five.
- →Rapid Vienna have kept four clean sheets in their last five, while Grazer AK have failed to score in two of their last five.
Where the Model Sees Value: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 2.05
Grazer AK have failed to score in two of their last five and average just 0.6 goals per game over that span, while Rapid Vienna have kept four clean sheets in their last five and conceded only once. The form trajectory and defensive solidity of the visitors, combined with the hosts' blunt attack, make both teams not to score a clear value play.
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Match Result: Rapid Vienna Win@ 1.42
Rapid Vienna arrive on a five-game winning streak in the league, scoring 16 and conceding just one in their last five, while Grazer AK have lost three straight and shipped 17 in the same period. The away win probability is markedly higher than the odds suggest, with momentum and quality both in Rapid's favour.
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More Bundesliga Predictions
🚩 Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.9 corners for Grazer AK and 5.5 for Rapid Vienna, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 46%.
What History Says: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna have dominated recent head-to-heads, including an 8-0 demolition earlier this season. While Grazer AK did snatch a 2-1 away win last year, the overall pattern is clear: Rapid have won two and drawn two of the last five, with high-scoring games a recurring theme.
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Grazer AK wins
2
Draws
2
Rapid Vienna wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna
The model identifies significant value on 'both teams to score: no' at 2.05, given Rapid Vienna's defensive streak and Grazer AK's attacking struggles. There is also a smaller but notable edge on the away win, with the model making Rapid even stronger favourites than the market suggests.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna
- ⚠️Grazer AK are at home, where they have lost only once in five this season, but their recent form has collapsed.
- ⚠️A single off-day from Rapid Vienna or an early red card could disrupt the expected pattern.
- ⚠️If Grazer AK score first, the match script could become less predictable given Rapid's rare experience of chasing games this season.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Grazer AK 0–4 Rapid ViennaThe model projects a 4-0 away win for Rapid Vienna, driven by their five-match winning streak and a defensive record of just one goal conceded in that span. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Grazer AK, who have been marginally more resilient at home, manage to frustrate Rapid early or capitalise on a rare defensive lapse, forcing the visitors to chase the game—something they've rarely had to do all season.
Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna: Common Questions
Who will win Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna are strong favourites with an 82% win probability, based on a five-match winning streak and a 3.8 goals-per-game average over their last five. Grazer AK are struggling, having lost three straight and conceding heavily.
Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna?
Both teams to score is unlikely, with a 72% probability for 'no'. Grazer AK have failed to score in two of their last five and Rapid Vienna have kept four clean sheets in that period.
Can Rapid Vienna's winning streak continue?
The data strongly supports Rapid Vienna extending their run: they have won five straight, scored 19 and conceded just one in that span, while Grazer AK are winless in five and conceding 3.4 per match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.