Beasain vs Valle Egüés Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
Beasain

Beasain

Full Time

2 - 3

AI predicted 2 - 2

Valle Egüés

Valle Egüés

🗓️ Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 17:30 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Beasain 38%Draw 29%Valle Egüés 33%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

Match Result

7.5/10

Valle Egüés Edge Five-Goal Thriller Against Beasain in Entertaining Friendly

Valle Egüés claimed a narrow 3-2 victory over Beasain in a pulsating friendly encounter that saw both sides trade blows in a match full of attacking intent. The visitors managed to outscore their hosts in a contest that, despite lacking official league stakes, was played with impressive intensity and showcased plenty of offensive quality from both teams. With neither side able to boast defensive solidity, the match unfolded as an open affair, with the lead changing hands and momentum swinging throughout. Ultimately, Valle Egüés' clinical edge in front of goal proved decisive, as they capitalized on their opportunities to secure a hard-fought win away from home.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 2

⚡

Actual

2 - 3

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

BTTS — Yes
✅
Over/Under 2.5 — Over 2.5
✅

Key Moments

N/A' — Goal

Five goals shared between the teams in a back-and-forth contest.

Beasain

Beasain

6.5/10

Beasain put in a spirited attacking display, finding the net twice and keeping Valle Egüés under pressure for large spells. However, their defensive frailties were exposed, as they conceded three times and struggled to contain the visitors' forward line. Despite their best efforts, Beasain were unable to find the equalizer late on, leaving them to rue missed chances and lapses at the back.

Strengths

Attacking intentAbility to create scoring opportunities

Weaknesses

Defensive organizationVulnerability to counter-attacks
Valle Egüés

Valle Egüés

7.2/10

Valle Egüés impressed with their clinical finishing, making the most of their chances to edge out Beasain in a high-scoring affair. Their attacking players combined well to produce three goals, and while their defense was far from watertight, they managed to hold out under late pressure to secure the win. The result will give them confidence ahead of the new season, especially given their resilience away from home.

Strengths

Clinical finishingResilience under pressure

Weaknesses

Defensive lapsesAllowing opponents back into the game

Tactical Analysis

With both lineups and formations unavailable, it was nonetheless clear from the scoreline that both Beasain and Valle Egüés favored attack over defense in this friendly. The open nature of the match suggested that both teams pushed numbers forward, leaving space at the back that was exploited repeatedly. The lack of bookings further indicated a focus on fluid play rather than disruptive tactics, and both sides will take positives from their offensive combinations while recognizing the need for greater defensive discipline.

Turning Point

Valle Egüés' third goal—ultimately the winner—proved decisive, as Beasain were unable to respond despite late pressure.

Man of the Match

N/A

With no player data available, the honor goes to Valle Egüés' attack as a collective for their decisive contribution.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés: Match Preview

Beasain approach this friendly off the back of two consecutive home wins, including a 2-1 result in their only match this season and a 3-2 victory to close their previous campaign. Valle Egüés have alternated wins and losses in their last five, ending with a 0-2 defeat away but posting two high-scoring home wins in that stretch. With no league table or head-to-head context, both teams are using this match to test attacking setups and maintain sharpness ahead of the new campaign.

Statistically, the fixture projects a high goal environment. Beasain's last five matches average 2.4 total goals, while Valle Egüés's average jumps to 4.0, with both teams consistently conceding. BTTS has hit in 3 of Beasain's and 4 of Valle Egüés's last five, and neither side has managed a clean sheet in that span. Notably, Valle Egüés are prone to second-half surges, netting 8 of their last 10 goals after the break, while Beasain's scoring is more evenly split.

Given the attacking output and defensive records, the model expects a match where both sides find the net and the scoreline remains in flux. The likeliest outcome is a draw with multiple goals, as neither defence inspires confidence and both teams have shown the ability to recover from setbacks. Expect momentum swings and a result shaped by attacking intent rather than tactical caution.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Beasain1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Valle Egüés1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Win Probability
Beasain 40% Draw 24% Valle Egüés 36%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
38%
29%
33%
Beasain 38%Draw 29%Valle Egüés 33%
Both Teams to Score
68%
32%
Yes 68%No 32%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Beasain vs Valle Egüés that most previews miss.

  • 1Valle Egüés have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five matches, all away from home.
  • 2Beasain have scored in four of their last five, but have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those games.
  • 3Eight of Valle Egüés's last ten goals have come in the second half, indicating a late-game scoring trend.

Who do you think wins: Beasain vs Valle Egüés?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Beasain vs Valle Egüés Prediction

Statistically, this friendly sets up as an open contest between two sides with recent defensive frailties and a tendency for high-scoring games. Both Beasain and Valle Egüés have seen at least three goals in the majority of their recent fixtures, and neither has managed a clean sheet in their last five outings.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Beasain average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game across their last five matches.
  • →Valle Egüés have averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game in their last five, with 4 of those featuring BTTS.
  • →Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches.

How Beasain and Valle Egüés Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

BeasainBeasainlast 5 matches
A. Bengoetxea
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Lorea
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. Lizaso
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Valle EgüésValle Egüéslast 5 matches
I. Beloki
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Fuentes
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

I. Vallejos
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Astrain
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. Goikoetxea
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Beasain are on a two-match winning streak, both at home, and have scored in four of their last five matches. Valle Egüés, meanwhile, have alternated wins and losses, with their last five averaging 4 total goals per game and only one match where they failed to score. Both teams arrive with momentum in attack but persistent defensive issues.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés — Last 2 Matches

BeasainBeasainLast 2 results
L2-3
W2-1
Lvs Valle Egüés2-3
Wvs Touring2-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Valle EgüésValle EgüésLast 1 results
W3-2
W@ Beasain3-2

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Beasain vs Valle Egüés

No head-to-head data is available for these teams, so there are no historical trends or dominant patterns to inform this fixture. All analysis is based on recent form and scoring rates.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Beasain wins

0

Draws

1

Valle Egüés wins

0%0% draws100%
28 Aug 26Beasain vs Valle Egüés2-3

Things to Watch: Beasain vs Valle Egüés

  • ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available for cross-reference.
  • ⚠️Both teams' recent statistics are drawn from different competition levels, increasing uncertainty.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value analysis is limited.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Beasain 2–2 Valle Egüés

The model calls a 2-2 draw, anchored by the high BTTS and over 2.5 goal rates for both teams in recent matches. The single strongest data point is the absence of clean sheets for either side in their last five outings. The main risk is the lack of head-to-head and league context, which could mask a quality gap not visible in the raw scoring rates.

Beasain vs Valle Egüés: Common Questions

Who will win Beasain vs Valle Egüés?

The model gives Beasain a 38% chance of victory, Valle Egüés a 33% chance, and a draw 29%. With both teams showing similar recent scoring and conceding rates, a high-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

Will both teams score in Beasain vs Valle Egüés?

Yes is favoured at 68% probability, as neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last five games and both average over a goal per game scored and conceded.

How many goals are expected in Beasain vs Valle Egüés?

The model projects a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both sides averaging at least 2 goals conceded per game recently and a combined average of 3.2 goals per match across their last five.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Beasain vs Valle Egüés: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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