VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
VfB Stuttgart
AI Predicted Score
3 - 1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart enter this friendly off a mixed run, losing their last two Bundesliga matches but maintaining a strong overall record this season with five wins from seven and a remarkable 28 goals scored. Fürth, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency in the 2. Bundesliga, winning four and losing three in all competitions, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five outings. With both sides likely to rotate, the statistical gap between the squads is still pronounced, as Stuttgart's attacking output dwarfs Fürth's season rates.
From a tactical perspective, Stuttgart's recent matches average 5.0 total goals, and their last five have produced an average of 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Fürth's defence has looked vulnerable, conceding 1.6 per game across their last five, and their away record shows 9 goals scored but 5 conceded in just five matches. Both teams average over 15 shots per game recently, and their last five matches each have seen BTTS occur four times, underlining the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. Set-piece numbers are also high, with both sides averaging over six corners per match.
Given these rates, the model expects Stuttgart's superior firepower to tell, especially at home, but also sees Fürth getting on the scoresheet. The most probable outcome is a 3-1 win for Stuttgart, driven by their high shot and goal volume, but the openness of both defences and the friendly context could see further scoring swings.
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Expected goals · model says 2.45
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 3-1 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 this season (86%).
- 2Fürth have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, conceding 1.6 per game in that span.
- 3The last two Stuttgart home friendlies vs Fürth ended 6-1 and 5-1.
Who do you think wins: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
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Where the Model Sees Value: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Stuttgart's matches average 5.0 goals per game this season, with 86% going over 2.5, and both teams have seen 4 of their last 5 feature BTTS.
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Match Result: VfB Stuttgart Win
Stuttgart have won 5 of 7 this season, scoring 28 and conceding just 7, while Fürth have lost 3 of 7 and conceded in every away outing.
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction
Statistical rates point to a high-scoring friendly, with Stuttgart's prolific attack (4.0 goals per game) facing a Fürth side that concedes regularly on the road. Both sides average over 15 shots per match in their last five, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span, suggesting an open contest with multiple scoring chances.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Stuttgart's season average: 4.0 goals scored per game, 86% over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Fürth have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5; 4 of those saw both teams score.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: last two Stuttgart home friendlies vs Fürth ended 6-1 and 5-1.
🚩 VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for VfB Stuttgart and 5.6 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, for an expected total of 11.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 80% · Over 10.5: 59%.
How VfB Stuttgart and SpVgg Greuther Fürth Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
VfB Stuttgartlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SpVgg Greuther Fürthlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart's recent form is mixed (LLWWL), but their season-long numbers remain exceptional, with 28 goals in 7 matches and only one defeat. Fürth have alternated between wins and losses, with a DDLWL form string, and have conceded in every match of their last five, signalling defensive instability.
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Stuttgart have dominated recent head-to-heads at home, winning 6-1 and 5-1 in the last two friendlies against Fürth. Across the last nine meetings, Stuttgart have five wins to Fürth's three, with high-scoring games common when Stuttgart host.
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
5
VfB Stuttgart wins
1
Draws
3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
Things to Watch: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edge can be calculated.
- ⚠️Standings data missing; club motivation in this friendly context is uncertain.
- ⚠️Lineups are not announced; potential squad rotation risk, especially for Stuttgart.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart 3–1 SpVgg Greuther FürthThe model projects a 3-1 Stuttgart victory, anchored by their 4.0 goals per game season average and Fürth's recent defensive frailty. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Stuttgart rotate heavily or lack intensity in a friendly setting, allowing Fürth to keep it closer or nick a result.
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Common Questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Stuttgart are strong favourites with a 61% win probability, based on their 5 wins from 7 and 4.0 goals scored per game; Fürth's win chance is just 16%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stuttgart vs Fürth?
The model estimates a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging high shot counts and Stuttgart's matches going over 2.5 in 86% of games this season.
Is both teams to score likely in this match?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 62%, as neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five and both have seen BTTS in 4 of those matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Stats
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Friendlies Clubs Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results