DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
DC United
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
SC Paderborn 07
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: SC Paderborn 07 Win
Recommended Bets: DC United vs SC Paderborn 07
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07: Match Preview
DC United come into this friendly on the back of a mixed run, with just one win in their last five and a notable lack of attacking output, averaging only 0.8 goals per game in that stretch. Their season record is even more concerning, with only one goal scored in three matches and no wins, suggesting a side struggling for end product. SC Paderborn 07, meanwhile, have won three of their last five and boast a much higher season scoring rate, netting 2.5 goals per game and remaining unbeaten in their last four competitive fixtures.
Statistically, the contrast is clear: Paderborn's attack is producing nearly twice as many shots per game (14.2) as DC United, and their matches are far more open, with a 75% over 2.5 goals rate this season. DC United's defensive numbers are respectable, with a 66.7% clean sheet rate in a small sample, but they have conceded in four of their last five and their own attack is blunt, failing to score in two of those outings. Set-piece and discipline data are average for both sides, with around 5 corners and 2 cards per game in recent matches.
The model expects SC Paderborn to control the tempo and generate more high-quality chances, with DC United likely to sit deep and look for isolated opportunities. The most probable outcome is a narrow away win, with a moderate goal total, as Paderborn's superior attacking rates and recent form should be enough to overcome DC United's defensive organisation.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 that most previews miss.
- 1SC Paderborn 07 have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% of their season matches, compared to just 33% for DC United.
- 2DC United average 15 shots per game over their last five, but just 0.8 goals scored, highlighting a conversion issue.
- 3Paderborn's away record this season is unbeaten (1 win, 1 draw), with 4 goals scored and only 2 conceded.
Who do you think wins: DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
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Where the Model Sees Value: DC United vs SC Paderborn 07(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: SC Paderborn 07 Win
SC Paderborn 07's season scoring rate (2.5 goals per game) and 75% over 2.5 match rate point to a substantial attacking edge over a DC United side averaging just 0.33 goals per match this season.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
The away side's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of their season games, and DC United have conceded at least once in four of their last five.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction
This fixture pits a DC United side struggling for attacking output against a SC Paderborn 07 team with a much higher season scoring rate and recent momentum. The underlying numbers suggest a moderate goal environment, with the visitors more likely to dictate the tempo and create the better chances. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away win, with DC United's low conversion rate and Paderborn's superior away record tipping the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →SC Paderborn 07 average 2.5 goals scored per game this season, compared to DC United's 0.33.
Defence
- →Paderborn's matches go over 2.5 goals 75% of the time, while DC United's clean sheet rate is high but comes with a low attacking threat.
Match Context
- →DC United have failed to score in two of their last five, and have not won any of their last three season matches.
🚩 DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for DC United and 4.8 for SC Paderborn 07, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 58% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How DC United and SC Paderborn 07 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
DC Unitedlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
SC Paderborn 07last 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
DC United's recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five and only four goals scored in that span. Their season record is even more concerning, with no wins and only one goal in three matches. SC Paderborn 07, by contrast, have won three of their last five and are unbeaten in their last four season games, averaging 2.5 goals per match.
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Things to Watch: DC United vs SC Paderborn 07
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available, increasing uncertainty around relative strength.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds unavailable, so value angles cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Friendlies can see variable lineups and motivation, adding volatility to expected outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
DC United 1–2 SC Paderborn 07The model projects a 2-1 win for SC Paderborn 07, driven primarily by their season-long scoring rate of 2.5 goals per game and a 75% over 2.5 match rate. The biggest risk to this call is DC United's defensive set-up in friendlies, which could suppress the goal count or frustrate the visitors' attack if they rotate heavily.
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07: Common Questions
Who will win DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
SC Paderborn 07 are favoured, with a 53% probability of winning according to the model, compared to 21% for DC United and 26% for the draw. This edge is based on Paderborn's much stronger season scoring rate and unbeaten away record.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model assigns a 58% probability to over 2.5 goals, reflecting Paderborn's 75% over 2.5 rate this season and DC United's tendency to concede in recent matches.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with DC United's attack struggling (0.8 goals per game last five) but Paderborn's defence conceding 1.25 per game this season, making it a marginal call.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for DC United vs SC Paderborn 07: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.