Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Bishop's Cleeve

Bishop's Cleeve

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Poole Town

Poole Town

🗓️ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Bishop's Cleeve 27%Draw 28%Poole Town 45%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town: Match Preview

Bishop's Cleeve approach this FA Cup encounter off a mixed run, with two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five outings, and a goal difference of -1 in that span. Poole Town, meanwhile, have shown a slightly stronger trajectory, collecting three wins from five and picking up two away victories, which suggests they travel with some confidence. With no current league standings to reference, both sides are looking to build early-season momentum and progress in the cup.

Statistically, both teams have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game across their last five, but Poole Town's defence has been marginally tighter, conceding 1.2 per game compared to Bishop's Cleeve's 1.6. The BTTS rate is high for Bishop's Cleeve (three of five), while Poole Town have had two matches with both teams scoring. First-half goals have been more common for Poole Town (three in five matches), which could see them start on the front foot. With just one clean sheet apiece in their last five, defensive reliability is not a strength for either side.

The model expects a moderately open game, with Poole Town's slightly better defensive numbers and recent away form giving them the edge. The most probable outcome is a narrow away win, with a 2-1 scoreline reflecting both sides' scoring rates and defensive vulnerabilities. However, the absence of deeper season data or head-to-head history means the margin for error is higher than usual.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Bishop's Cleeve1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Poole Town1.55

Expected goals · model says 1.55

Win Probability
Bishop's Cleeve 28% Draw 25% Poole Town 47%

Over 2.5 Goals

51%

BTTS: Yes

54%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
28%
45%
Bishop's Cleeve 27%Draw 28%Poole Town 45%
Both Teams to Score
50%
50%
Yes 50%No 50%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
52%
48%
Over 2.5 52%Under 2.5 48%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Both teams have averaged exactly 1.4 goals scored per game across their last five matches.
  • 2Poole Town have scored first in three of their last five, including both recent away wins.
  • 3Bishop's Cleeve have seen BTTS in 60% of their last five, but only one clean sheet in that span.

Who do you think wins: Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town?

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The Case For This Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town Prediction

Both sides enter this FA Cup tie with similar recent scoring rates, but Poole Town's marginally stronger away results and slightly better defensive record tip the balance. Bishop's Cleeve have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last five, but Poole Town match their attacking output while conceding less (1.2 per game). With neither side keeping more than one clean sheet in their last five, the statistical baseline points to a moderately open contest with a narrow away edge.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game over their last five matches.

Defence

  • →Bishop's Cleeve have failed to score in one of their last five but conceded in four.

Match Context

  • →Poole Town have won three of their last five, including two away victories.

How Bishop's Cleeve and Poole Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Bishop's CleeveBishop's Cleevelast 5 matches
R. Messenger
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. Lawrence
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Sambu
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Poole TownPoole Townlast 5 matches
I. Hill
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

E. Touray
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. A. Faniyan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Bishop's Cleeve have alternated results in their last five, managing two wins but also suffering two defeats, with a single clean sheet. Poole Town, on the other hand, have won three of their last five—including two away—while conceding fewer goals overall. Both teams' recent goal rates are identical, but Poole Town's defensive numbers are slightly stronger.

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town — Last 1 Matches

Bishop's CleeveBishop's CleeveLast 1 results
W2-1
Wvs Poole Town2-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Poole TownPoole TownLast 1 results
L1-2
L@ Bishop's Cleeve1-2

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town

There is no available head-to-head data for Bishop's Cleeve and Poole Town, so no historical dominance or recurring scorelines can be identified for this fixture.

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

1

Bishop's Cleeve wins

0

Draws

0

Poole Town wins

100%0% draws0%
5 Sept 26Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town2-1

Things to Watch: Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town

  • ⚠️No league season data or standings are available for either team, limiting context on overall strength.
  • ⚠️No head-to-head history is provided, reducing certainty on matchup dynamics.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value edges and recommended bets cannot be calculated.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Bishop's Cleeve 1–2 Poole Town

The model projects a 2-1 away win for Poole Town, anchored by their marginally better defensive record (1.2 conceded per game vs Bishop's Cleeve's 1.6) and recent away results. The biggest risk to this call is the absence of league context and head-to-head data, which could mask a home advantage or cup-specific dynamic.

Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town: Common Questions

Who will win Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town?

Poole Town are given a 45% chance of victory, with Bishop's Cleeve at 27% and the draw at 28%. This edge is based on Poole Town's slightly stronger recent results and defensive record.

Will both teams score in Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town?

The model rates both teams to score at 50%, reflecting Bishop's Cleeve's 60% BTTS rate in their last five and Poole Town's two BTTS games in the same span.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?

Over 2.5 goals is rated at 52%, with both sides averaging 1.4 goals scored per game and only two clean sheets between them in the last five matches each.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bishop's Cleeve vs Poole Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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