BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
BK Hacken
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Fredrikstad
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.96(+15% edge)
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad: Match Preview
BK Hacken enter this friendly in the midst of a purple patch, having won four and drawn one of their last five, all without conceding a single goal. Their run has been defined by a blend of attacking intent—averaging 21.4 shots per game—and defensive solidity, with three straight home clean sheets. Fredrikstad, meanwhile, have been on a downward swing, losing three of their last five in all competitions and conceding heavily, though a recent 5-2 cup win at Ranheim suggests their attack is still capable of sudden bursts.
The matchup sets Hacken's high-octane, front-foot approach against a Fredrikstad side struggling to contain opposition attacks. Hacken have been especially potent in the first half, notching six goals before the break in their last five, while Fredrikstad have conceded early and often, with an average of 2.8 goals against per game in that span. Set-pieces could prove decisive, as Hacken's 7 corners per game and Fredrikstad's vulnerability from wide areas both stand out. Discipline is unlikely to be a major factor given both sides' low card counts.
The model expects Hacken's momentum and shot dominance to translate into a narrow win, but Fredrikstad's ability to score in four of their last five means the visitors are unlikely to be shut out. With both teams averaging 1.8 goals scored per game recently, a 2-1 home win looks the likeliest outcome, though Fredrikstad's attacking flashes could keep the contest alive deep into the second half.
How BK Hacken and Fredrikstad Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
BK Hackenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fredrikstadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
BK Hacken are surging, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and an unblemished defensive record, not conceding a single goal in that run. Fredrikstad, by contrast, have lost three of their last five, conceding 14 goals, but their attack remains lively, scoring at least once in four of those matches. The momentum is firmly with Hacken, whose recent results and underlying numbers suggest a side playing at peak confidence.
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
- +5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad that most previews miss.
- 1BK Hacken have not conceded a single goal in their last five matches, keeping five consecutive clean sheets.
- 2Fredrikstad's last five have seen BTTS land four times, with a total of 18 goals scored and 14 conceded.
- 3Hacken are averaging 21.4 shots and 7 corners per game over their last five, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Prediction
BK Hacken arrive in formidable form, riding a five-match unbeaten run capped by four wins and a single draw, all without conceding a goal. Their recent surge has coincided with a marked improvement in defensive organisation and attacking output, highlighted by 1.8 goals scored per game and a remarkable 21.4 shots per match over the last five. Fredrikstad, by contrast, have stumbled through their last five, losing three and conceding 14 goals, but their 5-2 cup win at Ranheim hints at a latent attacking threat that can surface even when results go against them. The tactical battle is likely to be defined by Hacken's relentless pressure and Fredrikstad's defensive vulnerability. Hacken's last five matches show a clean sheet in every outing, while Fredrikstad have failed to keep any, leaking an average of 2.8 goals per game. The Swedes' ability to create chances early—scoring six first-half goals in their last five—contrasts with Fredrikstad's tendency to concede early and often, especially away from home. Set-piece opportunities should be plentiful, with Hacken drawing 7 corners per match and Fredrikstad conceding heavily from wide areas. Given Hacken's momentum and Fredrikstad's recent defensive lapses, the model expects the hosts to dictate the tempo, especially in the opening half. However, Fredrikstad's capacity to strike on the break and their high BTTS rate (four of last five) suggest they will not go quietly. Expect Hacken to edge a high-tempo contest, but Fredrikstad's attacking flashes could keep the outcome in doubt until late.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.8 goals scored per game over their last five, but Hacken's shot volume (21.4 per match) dwarfs Fredrikstad's (12.4).
Defence
- →BK Hacken have kept five consecutive clean sheets, conceding 0 goals in their last five.
- →Fredrikstad have conceded 14 goals in their last five matches, failing to keep a single clean sheet.
Where the Model Sees Value: BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.96
Neither side has dominated this fixture in the past, and Fredrikstad's recent defensive frailties are offset by their attacking threat, while Hacken's five consecutive clean sheets suggest a tight contest. The model's 29% draw probability outpaces the 25% implied by odds, creating a modest value angle.
Read more ↓
Corners: Over 8.5
Hacken average 7 corners per game and Fredrikstad 4.2 in their last five, with both sides regularly surpassing this line. The attacking momentum on both sides should keep the corner count high.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
🚩 BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for BK Hacken and 4.8 for Fredrikstad, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 45%.
What History Says: BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad
The head-to-head history is limited but competitive, with BK Hacken winning two of the last three friendlies and Fredrikstad taking one. All three encounters have been decided by a single goal, with Hacken edging the last two meetings 2-1 and 1-0. This pattern suggests another closely contested match is likely.
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
BK Hacken wins
0
Draws
1
Fredrikstad wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad
The model finds the best value on the draw at odds of 3.96, with a 29% model probability versus 25% implied by the bookmaker. Other markets such as over 2.5 goals and BTTS are priced tightly to model probabilities, offering little value. Hacken's win odds are slightly short given the friendly context and Fredrikstad's attacking threat.
Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad
- ⚠️No league standings data is available for context on overall team strength.
- ⚠️As a friendly, squad rotation and experimental lineups are possible, increasing unpredictability.
- ⚠️Recent form may be influenced by differing levels of opposition quality.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
BK Hacken 2–1 FredrikstadThe model calls a 2-1 win for BK Hacken, with the strongest signal coming from their five-match clean sheet streak and overwhelming shot volume. The main risk is Fredrikstad's ability to exploit any defensive complacency, as their attack has shown it can produce goals even when the team is under pressure.
BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad: Common Questions
Who will win BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad?
BK Hacken are favoured with a 44% win probability, reflecting their five-match unbeaten run and defensive dominance. Fredrikstad's chances are rated at 27%, with the draw at 29%.
Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad?
There's a 62% probability for both teams to score, as Fredrikstad have managed to find the net in four of their last five despite defensive issues, and Hacken's attack is in top gear.
Can BK Hacken keep their clean sheet streak going?
While Hacken have not conceded in five straight, the model gives a 38% chance of a clean sheet here due to Fredrikstad's consistent scoring and high BTTS rate.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.