Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10Brave Brann Edge Bodo/Glimt Despite Red Card in Bergen Thriller
Brann pulled off a gritty 2-1 victory over Bodo/Glimt at Brann Stadion, overcoming both a dominant visiting side and a second-half red card to claim all three points. Despite Bodo/Glimt's overwhelming 63% possession and 17 total shots, it was the hosts who made their chances count, capitalizing on clinical finishing and resolute defending. The match saw Bodo/Glimt strike first in the 14th minute, but Brann responded swiftly, equalizing just five minutes later. The hosts then seized the lead early in the second half, before being reduced to ten men. Under intense pressure, Brann's defensive unit held firm, repelling wave after wave of Bodo/Glimt attacks to secure a memorable win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
14' — Goal
J. Hauge put Bodo/Glimt ahead with a well-taken finish after sustained pressure.
19' — Goal
N. Castro responded quickly for Brann, leveling the score with a clinical strike.
57' — Goal
Brann took the lead, seizing momentum early in the second half.
65' — Red Card
Brann were reduced to ten men after a second yellow card, setting up a tense finale.
Brann
Brann demonstrated remarkable resilience and efficiency, converting two of their six shots and standing tall defensively after being reduced to ten men. Their 37% possession belied a disciplined tactical approach, as they absorbed pressure and struck clinically on the break. The backline, marshaled by F. Knudsen and N. Kasanwirjo, put in a tireless shift, while the midfield worked relentlessly to disrupt Bodo/Glimt's rhythm.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt will rue their wastefulness in front of goal, having dominated possession (63%) and fired 17 shots, 8 of which were on target. They started brightly and took an early lead, but struggled to break down Brann's compact defense after the hosts went ahead. Despite a numerical advantage for much of the second half, their attacks lacked the cutting edge needed to salvage a result.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Brann lined up in a 4-3-3, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. Their midfield trio worked tirelessly to plug gaps and support the back four, while the front three pressed opportunistically. After the red card, Brann dropped deeper, shifting to a more defensive posture and relying on swift counters. Bodo/Glimt's 4-4-2 prioritized width and ball retention, with P. Berg orchestrating play from midfield. They pushed their fullbacks high and overloaded the flanks, but struggled to break through Brann's low block, especially after the hosts went down to ten men. Set pieces and crosses were frequent, but Brann's defenders dealt with the aerial threat admirably.
Turning Point
The red card to Brann in the 65th minute galvanized the home side's defensive efforts and forced Bodo/Glimt to chase the game, but ultimately, Brann's disciplined rearguard held out.
Man of the Match
F. Knudsen
Led Brann's defense with authority, making crucial clearances and blocks, especially after the red card.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Brann return to Brann Stadion off a mixed run, sitting 7th with a 5-0-5 home record and a recent home defeat to Lillestrom (1-2). Their campaign has been marked by volatility—eight wins, nine losses, and only two draws from nineteen league matches—while Bodo/Glimt arrive as league leaders, boasting 15 wins and a +34 goal difference. The visitors' away form is formidable (7-2-1), and they have outscored opponents 21-11 on their travels.
The statistical profile points to a high-scoring environment: Brann's matches average 3.47 goals, with 84% over 2.5 goals, and Bodo/Glimt's away games average 3.2. Brann concede 1.5 per home game, while Bodo/Glimt score 2.1 per away. Both sides are aggressive in attack—Brann average 10.4 shots per game in their last five, Bodo/Glimt 13.4—and neither keeps clean sheets reliably (Brann 16%, Bodo/Glimt 53%). Cards and corners are both above league average, with Brann's last five seeing 1.8 yellows per game and 6 corners.
The model expects Bodo/Glimt's superior attacking rates and away consistency to edge a game with multiple goals. Brann's ability to score late and their tendency to concede in both halves suggest a 2-1 away win, with the likeliest deviation being a high-scoring draw if Brann's attack capitalises on set pieces or transitions.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 2.05
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Brann vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Brann's home matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 this season.
- 2Bodo/Glimt have scored in 9 of 10 away league games, averaging 2.1 goals per away match.
- 3Only one of the last ten H2H meetings finished 0-0; eight of ten saw both teams score.
Who do you think wins: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
With Brann's season over 2.5 goal rate at 84% and Bodo/Glimt at 74%, the underlying goal environment is high; both teams combine for 86 goals in 38 matches.
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Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Bodo/Glimt have a 7-2-1 away record, a +10 away goal difference, and a season win rate of 79%; Brann have lost half their home games.
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Brann's last 5 and 2 of Bodo/Glimt's last 5; Brann have failed to score just once in that span, and Bodo/Glimt's away defence is less watertight (1.1 conceded per away game).
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More Eliteserien Predictions
The Case For This Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
Statistically, this is a clash between the league's most prolific attack and a mid-table side with a high-scoring, high-variance profile. Bodo/Glimt's away record (7 wins, 21 goals in 10 games) and Brann's leaky home defence (15 conceded in 10) set the stage for an open contest with a strong away bias.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Brann have lost 5 of 10 at home; Bodo/Glimt have lost just 1 of 10 away.
Attack
- →Brann's matches see 3.47 goals per game, with 84% over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Bodo/Glimt average 2.1 goals scored and just 1.1 conceded per away game.
🚩 Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.8 corners for Brann and 4.6 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 12.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 87% · Over 10.5: 69%.
How Brann and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Brannlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Brann's recent form is inconsistent, with a 'LDWWD' run and a negative home streak—five home losses in ten. Bodo/Glimt, despite a heavy Champions League defeat to Bayern, have won four of their last five domestically and remain unbeaten away in the league since May. The momentum and underlying numbers favour the visitors.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 84.21% of games this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +52.63% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.68% of games this season
What History Says: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning four of the last ten, including a 3-1 home victory in May. Draws are frequent (four in ten), and both teams have scored in eight of the last ten meetings, underlining the fixture's high-scoring tendency.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Brann wins
4
Draws
4
Bodo/Glimt wins
Things to Watch: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent European fixtures for both sides may affect squad rotation and energy levels.
- ⚠️Brann's attack is capable of spikes (1.95 goals/game), so a home upset is not out of the question.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Brann 1–2 Bodo/GlimtThe numbers point to a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt, driven by their league-best attack (2.58 goals/game) and Brann's tendency to lose high-scoring home matches. The greatest risk is Brann's attacking volatility—if they convert their chances at a higher rate, a draw or even a home win becomes plausible, but the underlying rates favour the visitors.
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt are modelled at a 52% win probability, with Brann at 22% and the draw at 26%. The away side's superior season record and away form tip the balance in their favour.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
There's a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging over 3 goals per match this season and 84% of Brann's games going over this line.
Will both teams score in Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Both teams to score is rated at 60% probability, reflecting Brann's attacking output and Bodo/Glimt's strong but not impenetrable away defence.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.