Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Brentwood Town PredictionsDagenham & Redbridge PredictionsFA CupH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
high confidence
Brentwood Town

Brentwood Town

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Dagenham & Redbridge

Dagenham & Redbridge

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 12:30 BST (venue time) · 11:30 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Brentwood Town 41%Draw 34%Dagenham & Redbridge 25%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS: Yes
6/10

Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Match Preview

Brentwood Town come into this FA Cup clash on the back of two straight wins, including a 5-1 home victory and a 3-2 away win in the previous round. Their recent run features three victories in five, with no failures to score, and a form string of WWLLW. Dagenham & Redbridge, meanwhile, have steadied after a pair of league defeats, progressing in the cup with a 3-0 home win over Waltham Abbey and drawing the first leg away. Both sides have shown the ability to score, but Dagenham's overall recent record is less explosive than Brentwood's.

The statistical matchup tilts toward a high-scoring contest: Brentwood average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in their last five, with every match featuring both teams scoring. Dagenham's cup matches have been lower scoring (2.0 for, 0.5 against per game), but their league form includes two games without a goal. Brentwood's matches are more open, while Dagenham's defensive numbers are padded by a single clean sheet in the cup. The lack of shots, corners, and possession data means set-piece and tactical nuances are unclear, but the goal rates are decisive.

Given the above, the model expects Brentwood's attacking momentum to produce goals at both ends. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win, but with both teams finding the net and the total pushing over 2.5. The main statistical driver is Brentwood's 100% BTTS rate and their average of five total goals per game in the last five outings.

🎮 Prediction Playground

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Brentwood Town1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Dagenham & Redbridge1.30

Expected goals · model says 1.30

Win Probability
Brentwood Town 46% Draw 24% Dagenham & Redbridge 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

57%

BTTS: Yes

59%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
41%
34%
25%
Brentwood Town 41%Draw 34%Dagenham & Redbridge 25%
Both Teams to Score
62%
38%
Yes 62%No 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
59%
41%
Over 2.5 59%Under 2.5 41%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge that most previews miss.

  • 1Brentwood Town have seen both teams score in 100% of their last five matches, with an average of 5.0 total goals per game.
  • 2Dagenham & Redbridge have failed to score in two of their last five, but have averaged 2.0 goals per game in the FA Cup this season.
  • 3Brentwood's last five matches have produced more second-half goals (5) than first-half (3), suggesting late action.

Who do you think wins: Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction

This tie brings together a Brentwood Town side in prolific form and a Dagenham & Redbridge outfit with a more measured, defensively sound approach. Brentwood's matches have been high-scoring affairs, while Dagenham's recent cup outings suggest a more balanced threat. The statistical shape of the fixture points to goals, but with Brentwood's defensive frailties, both teams are likely to contribute to the scoreline.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Brentwood Town averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game over their last five.
  • →Dagenham & Redbridge have kept only one clean sheet in their last five, but have conceded just 0.5 per game in the cup.

Match Context

  • →Brentwood have not failed to score in any of their last five, with BTTS landing in all five.

How Brentwood Town and Dagenham & Redbridge Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Brentwood TownBrentwood Townlast 5 matches
H. Gibbs
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

M. Linton
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

B. Sach
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Hudson
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridgelast 5 matches
H. Beautyman
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Brentwood Town have surged in recent weeks, posting three wins from five and scoring at least once in every outing, including a 5-1 rout at home. Dagenham & Redbridge's form is steadier, with a cup win and draw sandwiching two league defeats, and a clean sheet in their most recent match. Brentwood's matches have been consistently high-scoring, while Dagenham's have varied between tight and open.

Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge — Last 3 Matches

Brentwood TownBrentwood TownLast 3 results
W3-2
W4-2
D0-0
W@ Aveley3-2
Wvs Concord Rangers4-2
D@ Concord Rangers0-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & RedbridgeLast 2 results
W3-0
D1-1
Wvs Waltham Abbey3-0
D@ Waltham Abbey1-1

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

Things to Watch: Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge

  • ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data available; comparative strength is inferred from league tiers and recent results.
  • ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set-piece data limits tactical depth.
  • ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be calculated.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Brentwood Town 2–1 Dagenham & Redbridge

The model projects a 2-1 win for Brentwood Town, grounded in their prolific attack (3.0 goals per game over the last five) and a perfect BTTS record. The most plausible way this call goes wrong is if Dagenham's cup defensive solidity (0.5 conceded per game) holds up against a higher-scoring opponent.

Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Common Questions

Who will win Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

The model gives Brentwood Town a 41% chance of victory, with a 34% probability for a draw and 25% for a Dagenham & Redbridge win. Brentwood's recent attacking form gives them a slight edge.

Will both teams score in Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

There is a 62% probability of both teams scoring, based on Brentwood's 100% BTTS rate in their last five and Dagenham's 2.0 goals per game in the FA Cup.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 59%, supported by Brentwood's 66.7% over 2.5 rate this season and their average of 5.0 total goals per game in recent matches.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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Model Accuracy

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