Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Bursaspor
AI Predicted Score
3 - 1
Sivasspor
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bursaspor Win
Recommended Bets: Bursaspor vs Sivasspor
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor: Match Preview
Bursaspor arrive at Timsah Park in the midst of a purple patch, unbeaten in five and sitting top of the 1. Lig. Their recent run has seen them dispatch opponents with ease, netting 13 goals and conceding just three in their last five outings—a sequence that includes emphatic home wins over Bandırmaspor and Pendikspor. Sivasspor, by contrast, are in freefall: three straight defeats have left them languishing in 18th, with defensive frailties exposed by nine goals conceded across those losses.
The tactical matchup is lopsided. Bursaspor's attack is humming, averaging 15.8 shots and 7 on target per game in their last five, while their high-possession style (59% average) has suffocated visiting sides. Sivasspor's defence has been unable to withstand pressure, conceding 2.2 per game recently and failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last five. Bursaspor also hold a significant set-piece advantage, averaging over twice as many corners as their visitors, and their ability to strike early (seven first-half goals in five matches) could see them seize control quickly.
Given the sharp contrast in form and underlying numbers, the model expects Bursaspor to assert themselves from the outset. Sivasspor's only hope may rest on snatching a goal against the run of play, but their lack of resilience away from home suggests the leaders will run out convincing winners. A 3-1 scoreline reflects both Bursaspor's attacking momentum and Sivasspor's tendency to concede multiple times on the road.
How Bursaspor and Sivasspor Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Bursasporlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sivassporlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Bursaspor are flying at the top of the league, unbeaten in five and having scored 13 goals in that run. Their attack has been both prolific and efficient, while their defence has conceded just three times in those matches. Sivasspor, in contrast, have lost their last three and are winless in five, conceding nine and scoring only three in their most recent outings.
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Bursaspor vs Sivasspor that most previews miss.
- 1Bursaspor have scored in every one of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game in that stretch.
- 2Sivasspor have gone five games without a clean sheet, conceding at least twice in four of those fixtures.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in a Bursaspor win, with the home side scoring at least twice in each of those victories.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.45
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 2-1 · 3-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction
Bursaspor enter this clash at Timsah Park riding a wave of confidence, unbeaten in five and top of the league. Their attack has been relentless, with 13 goals scored in their last five and a string of early goals setting the tone. In stark contrast, Sivasspor are mired in a three-match losing streak, shipping nine goals in that span and struggling to keep games competitive. The tactical contrast is clear: Bursaspor's high-possession, high-shot approach (15.8 shots, 7 on target per game in the last five) faces a Sivasspor defence that's allowed 2.2 goals per game recently and managed just one away win all season. With Bursaspor averaging over 2.5 goals per game at home and Sivasspor's away record reading four losses from seven, the home side's momentum looks decisive. Set-piece threat is also on Bursaspor's side, averaging 5.4 corners per match compared to Sivasspor's 2.4. Expect Bursaspor to dictate terms early, likely breaking through before the half-hour mark. Sivasspor's habit of conceding first and their lack of clean sheets point to another uphill battle. The model projects a comfortable home win, with the only caveat being a potential overperformance from Sivasspor's attack against the run of play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bursaspor's last five: 4 wins, 1 draw, 13 goals scored, only 3 conceded.
- →Sivasspor on a three-game losing streak, conceding 9 and scoring just 3 in that span.
Match Context
- →Bursaspor's home record: 4 wins from 6, with 13 goals for and only 4 against.
Where the Model Sees Value: Bursaspor vs Sivasspor(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Bursaspor Win
Bursaspor are unbeaten in their last five (DWWWW) and have averaged 2.6 goals per game in that run, while Sivasspor have lost three straight and conceded 2.2 per game in their last five. The momentum and underlying shot data both point strongly towards a home win.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Bursaspor's last five have all gone over 2.5 goals except one, and they have scored three or more in three of those matches. Sivasspor's defensive frailty (no clean sheets in their last five, conceding 11) increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
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Over/Under 0.5: Over 0.5
Bursaspor have scored seven first-half goals in their last five, regularly starting fast at home. Sivasspor have conceded early in three of their last five, suggesting a strong chance of early action.
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More 1. Lig Predictions
🚩 Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.4 corners for Bursaspor and 3.2 for Sivasspor, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 36%.
What History Says: Bursaspor vs Sivasspor
Bursaspor have dominated this fixture historically, winning seven of the last ten meetings and each of the last three at home. Most of these encounters have been close, but Bursaspor have consistently scored at least twice when playing Sivasspor in Bursa. However, the most recent H2H data is several years old, so the current form is more instructive.
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Bursaspor wins
1
Draws
2
Sivasspor wins
Things to Watch: Bursaspor vs Sivasspor
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Sivasspor's away attack has been inconsistent but has scored in 4 of last 5, so a consolation goal is plausible.
- ⚠️Long-term H2H is heavily in Bursaspor's favour, but most meetings are several years old—relevance may be limited.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Bursaspor 3–1 SivassporThe model projects a 3-1 win for Bursaspor, driven by their rampant recent form—13 goals and four wins in their last five—against a Sivasspor side on a three-game losing skid. The strongest data point is Bursaspor's attacking output and shot volume, which should overwhelm a Sivasspor defence that has conceded nine in their last three. The main risk is a sudden improvement in Sivasspor's finishing or a lapse in Bursaspor's concentration, but all recent indicators point to a home win.
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor: Common Questions
Who will win Bursaspor vs Sivasspor?
Bursaspor are strong favourites, with the model giving them a 69% chance of victory based on their five-match unbeaten run and Sivasspor's three straight losses.
Will both teams score in Bursaspor vs Sivasspor?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, as Sivasspor have managed to find the net in four of their last five despite their struggles, but Bursaspor's defence has been solid recently.
Can Bursaspor's winning streak continue?
Bursaspor's momentum is backed by both results and underlying stats, with 13 goals and three clean sheets in their last five. The model expects their run to continue against a Sivasspor side in poor form.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bursaspor vs Sivasspor: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.