Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Manisa F.K.
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Pendikspor
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor: Match Preview
Manisa F.K. and Pendikspor meet with just one point separating them and both hovering just above the drop zone. Manisa have lost three of their last five, but their attack has remained functional, scoring in four of those games. Pendikspor, meanwhile, have only one win in their last five and have struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in that stretch. With both teams desperate to avoid being dragged deeper into relegation trouble, the stakes are high.
From a statistical perspective, Manisa F.K. are more dangerous going forward, averaging 1.5 goals per game for the season and 1.57 at home. Pendikspor’s away defence is a liability, conceding 2.14 goals per away match, and their clean sheet rate stands at just 14%. Manisa’s defensive record is also poor, with only one clean sheet in 14 games and 1.71 conceded per match, so both teams are likely to create chances. The over 2.5 goals rate for Manisa is 64%, and four of their last five matches have seen both teams score, suggesting a higher-than-average goal environment.
The model expects Manisa’s attacking output and home advantage to be decisive, especially given Pendikspor’s away defensive numbers. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, but both teams’ defensive weaknesses mean the draw and BTTS remain plausible. The balance of underlying rates points towards goals, with Manisa’s shot volume and Pendikspor’s concession rate driving the prediction.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor that most previews miss.
- 1Manisa F.K. have kept just one clean sheet in 14 league matches this season, the lowest rate in the division.
- 2Pendikspor concede an average of 2.14 goals per away game, but have scored just 1.0 per away match themselves.
- 3Despite their struggles, Manisa F.K. have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their 14 matches (64%), well above the league average.
Who do you think wins: Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. have seen over 2.5 goals in 64% of their league matches and their last 5 have averaged 3.2 total goals, while Pendikspor concede 1.79 per game and have gone over 2.5 in 43%. The underlying rates point to a goal environment above league average.
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Match Result: Manisa F.K. Win
Manisa F.K.'s home attack (1.57 goals per home game) faces a Pendikspor defence conceding 2.14 away per game. The model gives Manisa a 40% win probability, above the away win rate, but the lack of market odds limits certainty on value.
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More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Prediction
Both sides enter this fixture in the lower reaches of the table, separated by a single point and with negative goal differences. Manisa F.K. have only one win in their last five but have scored in four of those, while Pendikspor have just one win in the same span and have struggled for goals, averaging 0.8 per game recently. With relegation pressure mounting, neither side can afford another defeat. Statistically, Manisa F.K. possess the more potent attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game across the season and 1.57 at home, while Pendikspor's away defence is among the league's worst at 2.14 conceded per away match. However, Manisa's defensive record is also poor (1.71 conceded per game, only one clean sheet all season), suggesting both teams will have opportunities. The over 2.5 goals rate for Manisa (64%) is well above the league mean, and four of their last five have seen both teams score. The model expects a match tilted towards Manisa F.K. by virtue of their attacking output at home and Pendikspor's defensive frailty on the road. The most likely scenario is a high-scoring contest, with Manisa's superior chance creation (12.2 shots, 3.8 on target per last five) tipping the balance. A 2-1 home win is the modal outcome, but both sides' defensive vulnerabilities keep the draw and BTTS firmly in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Manisa F.K. average 1.57 goals scored per home game, Pendikspor concede 2.14 goals per away game.
- →Pendikspor's away attack is poor (1.0 goals per away game), but Manisa have managed just one clean sheet all season.
Match Context
- →Manisa's matches go over 2.5 goals 64% of the time, with 4/5 recent games seeing both teams score.
🚩 Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Manisa F.K. and 4.4 for Pendikspor, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
How Manisa F.K. and Pendikspor Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Manisa F.K.last 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pendiksporlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Manisa F.K. have taken just four points from their last five matches (form string: LWLLD), but have managed to score in all but one of those games. Pendikspor's recent form is similarly patchy, with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five (form string: LWDLL), and a worrying lack of goals, averaging 0.8 per game in that span.
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor
The last ten head-to-head meetings are evenly balanced, with each team winning four and two draws. Notably, the home side has won five of the last six encounters, and Manisa F.K. have beaten Pendikspor 2-0 in their last two home games. However, only two of the last six meetings have produced more than two goals.
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Manisa F.K. wins
2
Draws
4
Pendikspor wins
Things to Watch: Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value estimation and expected value calculations are limited.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and near the relegation zone, raising volatility and motivation-related uncertainty.
- ⚠️Neither side has a strong recent run, so small-sample form swings may not be predictive.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Manisa F.K. 2–1 PendiksporThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Manisa F.K., driven primarily by their strong home attack (1.57 goals per home game) against a Pendikspor defence conceding over two per away outing. The single biggest risk to this forecast is Manisa’s own defensive record—just one clean sheet all season—leaving the door open for Pendikspor to take something if they capitalise on their chances.
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor: Common Questions
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor?
The model gives Manisa F.K. a 40% chance of victory, with the draw at 34% and Pendikspor at 26%. Manisa's stronger home attack and Pendikspor's away defensive record tip the balance slightly in favour of the hosts.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor?
There is a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Manisa F.K.'s 64% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities. Four of Manisa's last five matches have also gone over this line.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, with Manisa keeping just one clean sheet all season and Pendikspor failing to score in only two of their last five. The underlying defensive rates make BTTS more likely than not.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.