Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs Predictions
FA Cup · England
Bury
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Wythenshawe Amateurs
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs: Match Preview
Bury approach this FA Cup fixture with a mixed but positive recent run, posting a 'LWLWW' form string and three wins from their last five matches. Their home record in this stretch includes two clean sheets and a narrow 1-0 win, suggesting some defensive resilience at Gigg Lane. Wythenshawe Amateurs, meanwhile, have alternated between wins and losses ('LWWLL'), conceding three goals in two of their last five and struggling for consistency, especially away from home.
The statistical profile for both sides points to a moderate scoring environment. Bury average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last five, while Wythenshawe Amateurs post identical attacking numbers but a slightly leakier defence at 1.6 goals conceded. Both teams have seen BTTS in two of their last five, and Bury’s matches have tended to feature early goals, with four first-half strikes in their recent run. Set piece and discipline data are unavailable, so the focus remains on open play trends.
Given these rates and the absence of a strong defensive record on either side, the model expects a closely contested match, with Bury’s home advantage and marginally steadier results tipping the probabilities in their favour. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 home win, but with a broad distribution of possible outcomes reflecting the volatility of early-round cup ties and the limited available data.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs that most previews miss.
- 1Bury have scored in four of their last five matches, with three different players contributing to their last five goals.
- 2Wythenshawe Amateurs have conceded three goals in two of their last five matches, both away from home.
- 3Bury’s matches have seen more first-half goals (four) than second-half (three) in their last five outings.
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The Case For This Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs Prediction
Both teams enter this FA Cup tie with recent form showing similar attacking output, each averaging 1.4 goals scored over their last five matches. Bury have edged their recent home fixtures, winning two of their last three at Gigg Lane, while Wythenshawe Amateurs have alternated between wins and losses, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in the same span. With neither side posting a clean sheet percentage above 40% in the last five, the contest profiles as competitive but with a slight edge to the hosts. The statistical profile points to a moderate goal environment. Both sides have seen two of their last five matches finish with both teams scoring, and their combined last-5 average goals per game sits at 2.8. Bury’s matches have tended to be decided by narrow margins, and their first-half goal output (four in five matches) suggests they start quickly. Wythenshawe’s defensive numbers are slightly weaker, especially away from home, and their only recent clean sheets have come against lower-tier opposition. Given the lack of standout defensive records and the similar attacking rates, the model expects a contest that is likely to be decided by small margins, with Bury’s home advantage and slightly steadier recent results tipping the balance. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 home win, but the overall distribution of outcomes is broad due to the limited data and volatility typical of early-round FA Cup ties.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game over their last five matches.
Defence
- →Wythenshawe Amateurs have conceded 1.6 goals per game in their last five.
Match Context
- →Bury have won three of their last five, including two home victories.
How Bury and Wythenshawe Amateurs Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Burylast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wythenshawe Amateurslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Bury’s recent form shows three wins in their last five, including a pair of home victories and two clean sheets, indicating some defensive solidity. Wythenshawe Amateurs have alternated between wins and losses, conceding heavily in two away fixtures and lacking consistency. Both sides average 1.4 goals scored per game, but Bury’s results suggest a slightly stronger platform entering this tie.
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be cited between Bury and Wythenshawe Amateurs.
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Bury wins
0
Draws
0
Wythenshawe Amateurs wins
Things to Watch: Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs
- ⚠️No full season records or league standings available for either team.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data between these sides.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds limits value analysis.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Bury 2–1 Wythenshawe AmateursThe model projects a 2-1 win for Bury, with the single strongest data point being both teams’ identical attacking average of 1.4 goals per game over their last five, but Bury’s slightly better defensive record at home providing the edge. The main risk to this forecast is the lack of full-season data and the inherent volatility of early FA Cup rounds, which could see a wider range of outcomes than the model’s central estimate.
Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs: Common Questions
Who will win Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs?
Bury are given a 47% probability of winning, compared to 24% for Wythenshawe Amateurs and 29% for the draw. This edge is based on Bury’s marginally steadier recent results and home advantage.
Will both teams score in Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs?
The model estimates a 48% chance of both teams scoring (BTTS), with both sides averaging 1.4 goals per game over their last five matches. However, slightly more matches have ended with a clean sheet for one side.
How many goals are expected in Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs?
There is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams combining for an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five. The most likely correct score is 2-1 to Bury.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.