CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Predictions

Prediction by The Form Guide — ES Hammam-Sousse arrive on a 4-match losing run — routed to The Form Guide, which weights momentum most heavily.
Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Tunisia
high confidence
CA Bizertin

CA Bizertin

AI Predicted Score

1 - 0

ES Hammam-Sousse

ES Hammam-Sousse

🗓️ Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 16:30 CET (venue time) · 15:30 UTC (your time)📍 Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte

Win Probability (1X2)

CA Bizertin 52%Draw 35%ES Hammam-Sousse 13%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Recommended Bets: CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
9/10
BTTS: No
8/10

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse: Match Preview

CA Bizertin return to Stade 15 Octobre on the back of a five-match run that has seen them lose just once, with a pair of 1-0 wins and three clean sheets to their name. Their form string of DLDWW marks them as one of the steadier sides in the mid-table pack, and they currently sit 8th with eight points from five games. In stark contrast, ES Hammam-Sousse prop up the table, still searching for their first win after four consecutive defeats and only a solitary goal scored all season.

The tactical matchup is defined by CA Bizertin's defensive organisation against a Hammam-Sousse attack that has failed to score in four of five matches. Bizertin's home record (W1 D2 L0, 2 goals for, 1 against) underscores their resilience, while Hammam-Sousse have lost all three away matches without finding the net. With both teams averaging under a goal per game and only one BTTS result each in their last five, the data points to a cagey, attritional contest. Discipline could play a role, as both sides have picked up multiple bookings in recent outings, but no major suspensions or injuries are reported.

Given the hosts' momentum and the visitors' ongoing struggles, the model expects Bizertin to control proceedings, likely edging ahead in the second half as Hammam-Sousse's confidence continues to ebb. A narrow home win, probably 1-0, looks the likeliest outcome, with the strongest signal being Hammam-Sousse's four-match losing streak and lack of away goals. However, with both teams blunt in attack, a goalless draw cannot be ruled out if early chances go begging.

How CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

CA BizertinCA Bizertinlast 5 matches
A. Chaabanesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. AmamouXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. FerchichiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

ES Hammam-SousseES Hammam-Sousselast 5 matches
O. Smarisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

CA Bizertin have quietly built momentum, losing just once in five and keeping three clean sheets, including a recent 0-0 at home to US Monastirienne. In contrast, ES Hammam-Sousse are mired in a four-game losing streak, scoring only once all season and showing little sign of turning the tide.

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse — Last 5 Matches

CA BizertinCA BizertinLast 5 results
D0-0
L0-2
D1-1
W1-0
W1-0
Dvs US Monastirienne0-0
L@ CS Sfaxien0-2
Dvs Olympique Béja1-1
W@ CS Hammam-Lif1-0
Wvs AS Marsa1-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +60% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
ES Hammam-SousseES Hammam-SousseLast 5 results
L0-2
L1-3
L0-1
L0-1
D0-0
L@ ES Zarzis0-2
Lvs Stade Tunisien1-3
L@ ES Metlaoui0-1
L@ Club Africain0-1
Dvs US Monastirienne0-0

Concerns

  • −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
  • −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
52%
35%
CA Bizertin 52%Draw 35%ES Hammam-Sousse 13%
Both Teams to Score
14%
86%
Yes 14%No 86%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
14%
86%
Over 2.5 14%Under 2.5 86%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse that most previews miss.

  • 1CA Bizertin have not conceded a first-half goal in any of their last five matches.
  • 2ES Hammam-Sousse have failed to score in all three away games this season.
  • 3Four of the last six head-to-head meetings have ended level or with a one-goal margin.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

CA Bizertin1.00

Expected goals · model says 1.00

ES Hammam-Sousse0.35

Expected goals · model says 0.35

Win Probability
CA Bizertin 51% Draw 36% ES Hammam-Sousse 13%

Over 2.5 Goals

15%

BTTS: Yes

19%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 1-0 · 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

The Case For This CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Prediction

CA Bizertin's steady defensive form and ES Hammam-Sousse's ongoing struggles set up a low-scoring contest likely to be decided by a single goal, with momentum and home resilience firmly on the hosts' side.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →All of Bizertin's matches this season have finished under 2.5 goals.

Defence

  • →CA Bizertin have three clean sheets in their last five matches.

Match Context

  • →ES Hammam-Sousse have lost four consecutive games and failed to score in four of five.

More Ligue 1 Predictions

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What History Says: CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse

Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with two 2-2 draws and a 1-0 win for Bizertin in the last four encounters. Neither side has dominated, but this season's form suggests a shift in the balance toward the hosts.

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

3

CA Bizertin wins

3

Draws

2

ES Hammam-Sousse wins

38%38% draws25%
27 May 23ES Hammam-Sousse vs CA Bizertin1-0
26 Apr 23CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse2-2
25 Jan 23ES Hammam-Sousse vs CA Bizertin0-1
22 Oct 22CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse2-2
26 Feb 22Hammam-Sousse vs CA Bizertin1-0
23 Oct 21CA Bizertin vs Hammam-Sousse0-0

Things to Watch: CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse

  • ⚠️No shots, possession or set-piece data is available for either side, limiting insight into underlying attacking/defensive quality.
  • ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Low-scoring matches can be volatile, and a single early goal could open the game unexpectedly.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

CA Bizertin 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse

CA Bizertin are tipped to edge this, with a 1-0 scoreline reflecting both their defensive solidity and Hammam-Sousse's toothless attack. The single strongest data point is the visitors' four straight losses and just one goal scored in five matches. The main risk is Bizertin's own lack of firepower, which could see the match drift to a goalless draw if they fail to take their chances.

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse: Common Questions

Who will win CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

The model gives CA Bizertin a 52% chance of victory, with a 35% probability of a draw and just 13% for an away win. Bizertin's recent form and defensive record give them a clear edge.

Will both teams score in CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

Both teams to score is rated at just 14%, with 86% for 'no'. Hammam-Sousse have failed to score in four of five matches, while Bizertin have kept three clean sheets in the same span.

Can ES Hammam-Sousse end their losing streak?

The data suggests it's unlikely: Hammam-Sousse have lost four straight, failed to score in three away games, and are given just a 13% chance of winning. Their best hope may be to grind out a low-scoring draw.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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