CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Predictions

Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Tunisia
high confidence
CA Bizertin

CA Bizertin

Full Time

1 - 1

AI predicted 0 - 1

ES Tunis

ES Tunis

🗓️ Sunday, 26 Apr 2026 at 15:30 CET (venue time) · 14:30 UTC (your time)📍 Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte

Win Probability (1X2)

CA Bizertin 14%Draw 41%ES Tunis 45%

Best Value Pick

Double Chance: Draw or ES Tunis

Match Result

6.5/10

Stalemate in Bizerte: CA Bizertin and ES Tunis Share the Spoils

CA Bizertin and ES Tunis played out a hard-fought 1-1 draw at the Stade 15 Octobre, with both sides finding the net early in the second half but unable to break the deadlock further. The visitors struck first through a goal in the 51st minute, only for the hosts to respond swiftly with an equalizer just five minutes later. Despite a flurry of bookings for ES Tunis, neither team could seize control in a tense, physical affair. The match was characterized by competitive midfield battles and disciplined defending, with both sides showing flashes of attacking intent but ultimately lacking the clinical edge to claim all three points. ES Tunis's four yellow cards reflected their combative approach, while CA Bizertin managed to keep their discipline intact throughout the contest.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

0 - 1

⚡

Actual

1 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/3 hit

Double Chance — X2
✅
Total Goals — Under 2.5
✅
Correct Score — 0-1
❌

Key Moments

51' — Goal

ES Tunis take the lead with a well-timed strike.

56' — Goal

CA Bizertin respond quickly with an equalizer, restoring parity.

Various' — Yellow Cards

ES Tunis pick up four yellow cards, reflecting a combative approach.

CA Bizertin

CA Bizertin

6.5/10

CA Bizertin showed resilience after conceding early in the second half, bouncing back quickly with an equalizer in the 56th minute. The hosts maintained their composure and discipline, avoiding any bookings and matching ES Tunis for intensity. While they struggled to carve out clear-cut chances as the game wore on, their defensive organization ensured they held firm against late pressure.

Key Players

CA Bizertin 56' goalscorer: Scored the crucial equalizer to secure a point for the home side.

Strengths

Resilience after concedingDefensive disciplineComposure under pressure

Weaknesses

Lack of cutting edge in attackStruggled to create clear chances late on
ES Tunis

ES Tunis

6.8/10

ES Tunis started the second half brightly, breaking the deadlock in the 51st minute. However, their lead was short-lived as they conceded just minutes later. The visitors' aggressive approach was evident in the four yellow cards they received, which may have tempered their attacking ambitions as the match progressed. Despite periods of control, ES Tunis were unable to capitalize further and had to settle for a point.

Key Players

ES Tunis 51' goalscorer: Opened the scoring and set the tempo early in the second half.

Strengths

Quick start to second halfPhysical presence in midfieldAbility to disrupt opposition play

Weaknesses

Disciplinary issues (4 yellow cards)Inability to maintain leadLost momentum after equalizer

Tactical Analysis

With both teams' specific formations unavailable, the match unfolded as a tactical battle in midfield, with neither side able to dominate possession or territory for extended periods. ES Tunis's aggressive pressing led to multiple bookings, disrupting CA Bizertin's rhythm but also limiting their own attacking fluidity. The hosts remained compact and disciplined, focusing on quick transitions after conceding and showing mental fortitude to equalize swiftly. Set pieces and physical duels featured prominently, but clear chances were at a premium as both defenses held firm.

Turning Point

CA Bizertin's immediate response to ES Tunis's opener in the 56th minute shifted the momentum and ensured the hosts stayed in the contest.

Man of the Match

CA Bizertin 56' goalscorer

His timely equalizer galvanized the home side and secured a valuable point.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

CA Bizertin0.40

Expected goals · model says 0.40

ES Tunis0.90

Expected goals · model says 0.90

Win Probability
CA Bizertin 16% Draw 38% ES Tunis 46%

Over 2.5 Goals

14%

BTTS: Yes

20%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 0-1 · 0-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
14%
41%
45%
CA Bizertin 14%Draw 41%ES Tunis 45%
Both Teams to Score
23%
77%
Yes 23%No 77%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
17%
83%
Over 2.5 17%Under 2.5 83%

Who do you think wins: CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis?

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The Case For This CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Prediction

ES Tunis travel to CA Bizertin in a clash of strong defenses and contrasting ambitions. The hosts are solid at home but struggle to score, while ES Tunis boast the league’s best defense and are chasing the title. Recent form and H2H history heavily favor the visitors, but CA Bizertin’s resilience at home suggests a close, low-scoring contest. Expect a tactical battle, with ES Tunis’s quality likely to make the difference.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →CA Bizertin’s home record is strong (6W, 4D, 1L), but ES Tunis are unbeaten in 10/12 away.
  • →H2H: ES Tunis have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 2-0 earlier this season.

Attack

  • →Low over 2.5 goal rates for both sides; 6/10 H2H finished under 2.5.

Defence

  • →ES Tunis have conceded just 7 goals in 24 league matches (0.29 per game).
  • →Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Match Context

  • →CA Bizertin score only 0.67 goals/game and have failed to score in 2 of their last 5.

How CA Bizertin and ES Tunis Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

CA BizertinCA Bizertinlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

ES TunisES Tunislast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis — Last 10 Matches

CA BizertinCA BizertinLast 10 results
D1-1
D1-1
W1-0
W2-1
D0-0
D0-0
W1-0
L0-1
W1-0
L0-4
Dvs ES Tunis1-1
D@ Stade Tunisien1-1
Wvs AS Soliman1-0
W@ JS Kairouanaise2-1
Dvs US Monastirienne0-0
D@ AS Gabes0-0
Wvs US Ben Guerdane1-0
L@ Club Africain0-1
Wvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1-0
L@ CS Sfaxien0-4

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
  • +48% clean sheet rate this season
ES TunisES TunisLast 10 results
D1-1
D2-2
D0-0
W1-0
W3-0
D1-1
W1-0
W3-0
W1-0
L1-2
D@ CA Bizertin1-1
Dvs ES Zarzis2-2
D@ ES Sahel0-0
Wvs AS Marsa1-0
W@ Olympique Béja3-0
D@ ES Metlaoui1-1
Wvs Stade Tunisien1-0
W@ AS Soliman3-0
Wvs JS Kairouanaise1-0
L@ US Monastirienne1-2

Strengths

  • +69.23% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game

What History Says: CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis

CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

1

CA Bizertin wins

3

Draws

6

ES Tunis wins

10%30% draws60%
26 Apr 26CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis1-1
30 Oct 25ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin2-0
22 Feb 25CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis2-1
26 Oct 24ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin0-0
3 Jan 24ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin1-1
8 Nov 23CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis0-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
CA Bizertin Win4.3314.0%-9.1%
Drawvalue3.4041.0%+11.6%
ES Tunis Win1.1845.0%-39.7%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.52.3817.0%-25.0%
Under 2.5value1.5383.0%+17.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue6.0023.0%+6.3%
No1.0777.0%-16.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.40EV +0.394
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 1.53EV +0.270
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 6.00EV +0.380

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Limited advanced stats (shots, xG, possession) for CA Bizertin.
  • ⚠️ES Tunis may rotate after recent continental fixtures.
  • ⚠️Tunisia Ligue 1 can be unpredictable, especially in late season.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 18 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More CA Bizertin vs ES Tunis Resources