ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
US Ben Guerdane
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: US Ben Guerdane Win
Recommended Bets: ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane: Match Preview
ES Zarzis return to Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium desperate to halt a slide that has seen them lose four of their last five matches, including back-to-back league defeats. Their only recent bright spot was a 2-0 home win over Hammam-Sousse, but overall, they've managed just six goals in seven league outings and sit 13th with mounting pressure. In stark contrast, US Ben Guerdane arrive as the league's form side: unbeaten in seven, riding a four-match winning streak, and top of the table with 17 points. Their recent run includes away wins and a defence that's conceded just twice in five games.
The tactical battle tilts heavily towards Ben Guerdane, whose defensive record (three clean sheets in five) and late-game scoring habit (five of their last seven goals after the break) suggest they can absorb pressure and strike when Zarzis tire. Zarzis' attack has been blunt, averaging just 0.86 goals per game this season, and they have failed to score in one of their last five. Set-piece threat is muted on both sides, with corners and shots data limited, but discipline could play a role—Zarzis average nearly a card per game and have seen a red in their last outing.
Expect Ben Guerdane to control proceedings, likely keeping things tight early before exploiting Zarzis' second-half frailty. The visitors' momentum and defensive discipline should see them through, with the model projecting a 2-0 away win. Any upset would likely require Zarzis to rediscover their early-season home resilience or capitalise on a rare Ben Guerdane lapse.
How ES Zarzis and US Ben Guerdane Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Zarzis are struggling for momentum, losing four of their last five and scoring just once in their last two league games. By contrast, US Ben Guerdane are flying—unbeaten in seven, with four consecutive wins and only two goals conceded in their last five. The form lines point decisively towards the visitors.
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane — Last 7 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane that most previews miss.
- 1US Ben Guerdane have scored five of their last seven goals in the second half, highlighting their late-game strength.
- 2Only three of the last ten H2H meetings have produced more than two goals, and five have finished level.
- 3Zarzis' last five matches have averaged just 1.6 goals conceded, but they've managed only one clean sheet in that span.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.55
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
32%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane?
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The Case For This ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction
US Ben Guerdane's relentless momentum—four straight wins and an unbeaten start—meets a Zarzis side still searching for answers after back-to-back defeats and just two wins in seven. The visitors' defensive discipline and knack for late goals have underpinned their surge to the top, while Zarzis' attack has too often flickered late and failed to trouble stronger opponents. Unless Zarzis can rediscover the spark that saw them put two past Hammam-Sousse, this looks set to continue the current trajectories.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →US Ben Guerdane are unbeaten in seven (W5 D2) and have won four straight matches.
Defence
- →Ben Guerdane have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding only two goals in that stretch.
Match Context
- →ES Zarzis have lost four of their last five and scored just six goals in seven league games.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: US Ben Guerdane Win
US Ben Guerdane arrive on a four-match winning streak and have yet to lose this season, while ES Zarzis have lost four of their last five and average just 0.86 goals per game. The away side's momentum and defensive solidity (three clean sheets in five) tilt this heavily in their favour.
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BTTS: No
Zarzis have failed to score in one of their last five and average less than a goal per match across the season, while Ben Guerdane have conceded only two goals in their last five. The away side's defensive form and Zarzis' blunt attack make both teams scoring unlikely.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in 57% of their league matches this season, and Ben Guerdane have kept three clean sheets in their last five. With Zarzis rarely threatening and Ben Guerdane's away matches averaging just 2.33 goals, a low-scoring contest is probable.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
🚩 ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for ES Zarzis and 5 for US Ben Guerdane, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane have dominated this fixture in recent years, losing just once in the last ten meetings and taking points from each of their last three away visits to Zarzis. Draws are common (five in ten), and goals are usually at a premium, with only three of those matches seeing more than two goals.
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
ES Zarzis wins
5
Draws
4
US Ben Guerdane wins
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Shot and possession data is incomplete for both teams, limiting some attacking/defensive comparisons.
- ⚠️If Zarzis' home form (two wins from three) proves more predictive than recent overall form, the away win probability may be overstated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Zarzis 0–2 US Ben GuerdaneThe model calls a 2-0 win for US Ben Guerdane, driven by their four-match winning streak and a defence that's conceded just twice in their last five. The strongest data point is Ben Guerdane's momentum—unbeaten in seven and consistently shutting out opponents. The main risk is Zarzis' patchy but occasionally stubborn home form, which could frustrate the visitors if they fail to break through early.
ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane: Common Questions
Who will win ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane?
The model gives US Ben Guerdane a 58% chance of victory, compared to just 14% for Zarzis, reflecting the away side's four-match winning streak and unbeaten start to the season.
Will both teams score in ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane?
Both teams scoring is rated at just 29%, with Ben Guerdane keeping three clean sheets in their last five and Zarzis averaging under a goal per game.
Can US Ben Guerdane extend their winning streak?
With 81% of the form comparison and a four-match win streak, Ben Guerdane are well-placed to extend their run, especially against a Zarzis side that has lost four of its last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs US Ben Guerdane: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.