Club Africain vs ES Tunis Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
Club Africain
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
ES Tunis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Club Africain vs ES Tunis
Club Africain vs ES Tunis: Match Preview
Club Africain come into this fixture fourth in the table, unbeaten at home with three wins from three, but their attack has not been prolific—averaging just 1.14 goals per game this season. ES Tunis, second in the standings, have lost only once in seven and boast a slightly stronger attack (1.57 goals per game) but have been less convincing away, with just two goals scored in three road matches.
The statistical matchup points to a low-scoring contest. Club Africain's defence is robust at home (two goals conceded in three), while ES Tunis have conceded only three in three away. Both sides have kept multiple clean sheets recently (Africain 2, Tunis 3 in last five), and the last five head-to-heads have averaged just 1.4 total goals per game. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but neither side racks up many corners or cards based on the available averages.
Given these rates, the model expects a cautious first half, with a higher probability of a goalless opening period. The most likely outcome is a draw, with both teams' defensive solidity outweighing their attacking output. A 1-1 scoreline is rated highest, but a 0-0 or narrow win either way is plausible if either side capitalises on a rare chance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Club Africain vs ES Tunis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Club Africain vs ES Tunis that most previews miss.
- 1Club Africain's last five home league games have averaged just 2.0 goals per match, with three clean sheets in that span.
- 2ES Tunis have failed to score in two of their last five away matches in all competitions.
- 3Seven of the last ten head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, including three goalless draws.
Who do you think wins: Club Africain vs ES Tunis?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Club Africain vs ES Tunis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average just over a goal per game (Club Africain 1.14, ES Tunis 1.57), but their defensive records and the H2H trend towards low scores (four draws in last ten, three 1-1 or 0-0).
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Club Africain home matches see 2.33 goals per game, ES Tunis away only 1.67, and both have under 2.5 in the majority of their last five league games.
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Double Chance: Draw Or ES Tunis
ES Tunis have lost only one of their last seven, and are unbeaten in four of their last five away to Club Africain; model rates X2 at 0.69.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This Club Africain vs ES Tunis Prediction
This is a statistical deadlock: both sides are strong defensively, average just over a goal per game, and have a history of tight, low-scoring encounters. The underlying rates point to a low goal environment and a high likelihood of a draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Four of the last ten head-to-heads ended level, with three finishing 0-0 or 1-1.
Defence
- →ES Tunis have conceded just three goals in three away league games and have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions.
Match Context
- →Club Africain have a 100% home record this season (3W, 0D, 0L) but have scored only five goals in those matches.
🚩 Club Africain vs ES Tunis Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Club Africain and 4.5 for ES Tunis, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Club Africain and ES Tunis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Club Africain vs ES Tunis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Club Africainlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Tunislast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Club Africain are unbeaten at home this season and have lost only once in their last five, but their last two league matches yielded just one point. ES Tunis are in slightly better form, with three wins and a draw in their last five and only one defeat all season. Both sides have shown defensive resilience, with multiple clean sheets in recent outings.
Club Africain vs ES Tunis — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +57.14% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Club Africain vs ES Tunis
ES Tunis have won four of the last ten meetings, but draws are common, including three goalless affairs. Club Africain have struggled to break down ES Tunis at home, failing to score in three of the last five at this venue. The fixture's history points to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Club Africain vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Club Africain wins
4
Draws
4
ES Tunis wins
Things to Watch: Club Africain vs ES Tunis
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Limited shot and set-piece data restricts model confidence in corners and cards markets.
- ⚠️Recent CAF Champions League fixtures may affect squad freshness but no injuries are reported.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Club Africain 1–1 ES TunisThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' defensive records (Club Africain 0.86 goals conceded per game, ES Tunis 1.0) and the head-to-head trend towards stalemates. The likeliest way this forecast fails is if one side scores early and the match opens up, but the underlying rates point to a cagey, low-scoring affair.
Club Africain vs ES Tunis: Common Questions
Who will win Club Africain vs ES Tunis?
The model rates both sides equally likely to win (31% each), with a draw slightly more probable at 38%. Both teams are strong defensively and have a history of close encounters.
Will both teams score in Club Africain vs ES Tunis?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'No' more likely at 56%. Recent meetings have often been low scoring, with three of the last ten ending 0-0.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Club Africain vs ES Tunis?
Yes, under 2.5 goals is favoured by the model at 64% probability. Both teams average fewer than 2.5 goals per match in their respective home and away fixtures.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Club Africain vs ES Tunis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.