Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Celta de Vigo II
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Valladolid
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid: Match Preview
Celta de Vigo II enter this clash sitting 17th, having picked up just one win in their last five and conceding 11 goals in that stretch. Their home record is middling (2W, 3D, 2L, 13 scored, 13 conceded), and they find themselves just above the relegation zone, needing points to stabilise. Valladolid, 12th in the table, are five points better off and have won three of their last five in all competitions, including a 2-1 away win at Sporting Gijon, but come off a home defeat to Castellón.
Statistically, this is a meeting of two teams with above-average attacking output and below-average defensive reliability. Celta II average 1.46 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game, while Valladolid post 1.57 scored and 1.5 conceded. Both teams' matches clear the 2.5-goal mark more often than not (61.5% for Celta II, 57.1% for Valladolid). BTTS has landed in all of Celta II's last five, and their shot volume at home (11 per game, 4.6 on target in the last five) suggests they will create chances, but their defensive structure remains suspect. Discipline is a concern for both, with each averaging over three yellow cards per game recently.
The model expects a relatively open game, with neither side likely to control territory for long spells. Valladolid's slightly more reliable away defence (10 conceded in 7 away) and more consistent attack tip the balance towards the visitors, but the likeliest path is both teams scoring and the match decided by which side capitalises on defensive lapses. A 2-1 away win is the modal outcome, but volatility in both back lines could see higher scores.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid that most previews miss.
- 1Celta de Vigo II have seen both teams score in 100% of their last five league matches.
- 2Valladolid's away games average 2.43 total goals, with only one clean sheet kept on their travels.
- 3Celta II's matches feature over 2.5 goals in 61.5% of cases, well above the league average.
Who do you think wins: Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have found the net in all of Celta de Vigo II's last five matches and three of Valladolid's last five, with the home side averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game in that stretch.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II have seen over 2.5 goals in 61.5% of their league games and Valladolid in 57.1%, with both sides averaging above 1.45 goals scored and 1.5+ conceded per game.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Prediction
This fixture pits a leaky Celta de Vigo II defence (1.92 goals conceded per game) against a Valladolid side that, while inconsistent, has shown more attacking punch and sits five points above their hosts. Both teams have struggled for clean sheets, and the statistical profile points to a match with goals at both ends. The away side's marginally better defensive record and greater attacking balance, especially away from home, tips the model towards Valladolid edging a contest that could swing on defensive lapses rather than sustained control.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Celta de Vigo II have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches and have just a 15.4% season clean sheet rate.
- →Valladolid average 1.57 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, with a strong BTTS trend in recent away matches.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches are above league average for over 2.5 goals (Celta II 61.5%, Valladolid 57.1%).
🚩 Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Celta de Vigo II and 5 for Valladolid, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Celta de Vigo II and Valladolid Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Celta de Vigo IIlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Valladolidlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Celta de Vigo II are winless in their last four (LDLD), conceding 11 goals in that span and struggling for defensive stability. Valladolid, despite a recent home loss, have won three of their last five in all competitions and posted back-to-back league wins before the Castellón defeat, suggesting slightly better momentum.
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Things to Watch: Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available, increasing uncertainty around matchup-specific trends.
- ⚠️Market odds unavailable, so value calculation and recommended bet EVs are not provided.
- ⚠️Both sides have shown volatile form, with defensive errors and red cards impacting recent results.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Celta de Vigo II 1–2 ValladolidThe model projects a 2-1 win for Valladolid, anchored by both teams' high BTTS and over 2.5 goal rates, and Celta de Vigo II's inability to keep clean sheets at home. The biggest risk to this outlook is a low-tempo first half or a red card disrupting the open pattern suggested by the underlying numbers.
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid: Common Questions
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
Valladolid are given a 41% chance of victory by the model, compared to 28% for Celta de Vigo II and 31% for the draw. The visitors' stronger away attack and marginally better defensive record tilt the probabilities in their favour.
Will both teams score in Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
Yes is favoured at 62%, as Celta de Vigo II have seen BTTS in all of their last five and neither side has a reliable clean sheet record this season.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
The model estimates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both teams' matches regularly exceeding this line (Celta II 61.5%, Valladolid 57.1%).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Resources
Celta de Vigo II Predictions
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Valladolid Predictions
All Valladolid fixtures & tips
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II
Celta de Vigo II — next match predictions
Segunda División Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results