Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
National Bank of Egypt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.87(+5% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Ceramica Cleopatra Sink National Bank with Second-Half Surge
Ceramica Cleopatra claimed a deserved 2-0 victory over National Bank of Egypt at the Arab Contractors Stadium, thanks to a pair of second-half goals that broke open a tightly contested encounter. After a cagey first half, the hosts found their rhythm after the break, striking in the 49th and 65th minutes to secure all three points. National Bank of Egypt, despite edging possession and firing more shots, struggled to convert their attacking intent into meaningful chances, managing just two shots on target from 13 attempts. The match was marked by disciplined defending and a competitive midfield battle, with both sides racking up 13 fouls apiece. Ceramica Cleopatra's clinical finishing and superior organization in the second half proved decisive, while National Bank of Egypt were left to rue their lack of cutting edge in the final third. The result sees Ceramica Cleopatra continue their strong start to the season, while National Bank of Egypt are left searching for answers in attack.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
49' — Goal
N. Gradišar opens the scoring for Ceramica Cleopatra, finishing off a swift attacking move to break the deadlock.
65' — Goal
Ceramica Cleopatra double their lead with a well-worked team goal, effectively sealing the result.
58' — Yellow Card
National Bank of Egypt pick up their second yellow card as frustration mounts.
67' — Yellow Card
Ceramica Cleopatra receive a booking as they look to manage the game and protect their lead.
Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra delivered a disciplined and efficient performance, particularly after the interval. Operating in a 4-2-3-1 formation, they absorbed pressure in the first half before stepping up their attacking intent in the second. Their 49% possession was put to good use, as they managed four shots on target from seven attempts, converting two of them to seal the win. The defensive line, marshaled by M. Alaa in goal and supported by a cohesive back four, kept National Bank of Egypt at bay throughout. Key to their success was their ability to strike at crucial moments and maintain composure under pressure. The midfield duo of Amr Kalawa and Ahmed Belhadji provided balance, while N. Gradišar led the line with energy and purpose.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
National Bank of Egypt
National Bank of Egypt started brightly, edging possession with 51% and registering 13 shots, but only two of those tested the goalkeeper. Their 4-4-2 formation offered width and numbers in attack, but the lack of a clinical edge in front of goal proved costly. Despite winning the midfield battle early on, they failed to capitalize on their territorial advantage and were punished by Ceramica Cleopatra's incisive counter-attacks. The visitors' frustration grew as the match wore on, reflected in three yellow cards and a lack of composure in the final third. Defensively, they struggled to contain Ceramica Cleopatra's surges after the break, ultimately conceding twice in the space of 16 minutes.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Ceramica Cleopatra's 4-2-3-1 provided a solid base, with two holding midfielders shielding the back four and allowing the attacking trio to support N. Gradišar up front. Their tactical discipline was evident, as they remained compact out of possession and broke forward with purpose, especially after halftime. The decision to commit more men forward after the break paid dividends, as they exploited spaces left by National Bank of Egypt's advancing full-backs. National Bank of Egypt's 4-4-2 looked promising in the opening stages, offering width and numbers in the box. However, their inability to convert possession and shots into clear-cut chances hampered their progress. As Ceramica Cleopatra grew in confidence, National Bank of Egypt's shape became stretched, leaving them vulnerable to quick transitions. The match also saw both sides employ aggressive pressing in midfield, leading to a high foul count and several bookings.
Turning Point
N. Gradišar's goal in the 49th minute shifted momentum decisively in Ceramica Cleopatra's favor, forcing National Bank of Egypt to chase the game.
Man of the Match
N. Gradišar
His opening goal broke the deadlock and set the tone for Ceramica Cleopatra's dominant second-half display.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt: Match Preview
Ceramica Cleopatra enter this fixture on a three-match winning streak, having dispatched Smouha SC, Future FC, and Al Ittihad with a combined score of 7-1. Their early season form has propelled them to third in the table, and they look to consolidate their top-three status against a National Bank of Egypt side sitting mid-table after two wins and two losses. National Bank's recent results have been mixed, but back-to-back wins, including a 3-1 home victory over Ghazl El Mehalla, suggest a side finding its feet after a shaky start.
The statistical matchup tilts slightly towards the hosts: Ceramica Cleopatra average 1.6 goals and 5.4 shots on target per game over their last five, while National Bank have conceded 1.4 per match in the same span and have kept just one clean sheet. Both teams generate a healthy number of corners (Ceramica 4.6, National Bank 5.4 per game), but the away side's attack has been less efficient, with only one goal scored in two away outings. Notably, both teams tend to grow into matches, with Ceramica netting five of their last eight in the second half.
The model expects a cagey, low-scoring affair, with neither side likely to dominate. Ceramica Cleopatra's superior recent form and attacking output are balanced by National Bank's ability to create chances and their historical success in this fixture. A 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome, with the strongest value in the BTTS 'no' market given both teams' recent defensive improvements.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
The market is almost perfectly balanced on the 1x2, and the model finds little in the way of clear value there. However, the BTTS 'no' market is slightly mispriced, with the model's 56% probability suggesting a small edge over the bookmaker's 1.87 odds. Under 2.5 goals is also close to fair value, but not enough to warrant a recommendation.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.78
Both teams have failed to score in three of their last five combined, and Ceramica Cleopatra have kept two clean sheets in their last three. The model gives BTTS 'no' a 56% chance versus an implied 53.5% from the odds, offering a modest value edge.
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Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt that most previews miss.
- 1Ceramica Cleopatra have kept two clean sheets in their last three matches, conceding just once in that span.
- 2National Bank of Egypt have scored only once in two away games this season, and failed to score in two of their last five overall.
- 3Five of the last ten head-to-heads have finished with under 2.5 goals, despite the occasional high-scoring outlier.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction
The market rates this as a dead-even contest, with both Ceramica Cleopatra and National Bank of Egypt priced at 2.75 for the win, and the draw only slightly longer. However, the data suggests Ceramica Cleopatra arrive with a touch more momentum, having won three of their opening four and boasting a +5 goal difference, while National Bank of Egypt have been more erratic, conceding five in four and only netting four themselves. Tactically, Ceramica Cleopatra's attack has looked sharper, averaging 1.6 goals and 5.4 shots on target per game over their last five, while National Bank's defensive record—just one clean sheet in five—remains a concern. However, the away side's underlying numbers (13.2 shots per game, 5.4 corners) hint at a team capable of creating chances, even if their conversion rate has lagged. Both sides have been stronger after the break, with Ceramica Cleopatra scoring five of their last eight in the second half. Given the market's near-perfect balance, the model leans slightly towards a draw, with neither side's strengths overwhelming the other's weaknesses. The most plausible scenario is a low-scoring contest, with Ceramica Cleopatra's slight attacking edge offset by National Bank's recent uptick in away form.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Ceramica Cleopatra have won three straight, scoring seven and conceding just one in that run.
Match Context
- →National Bank of Egypt have managed only one away goal in two away matches this season.
- →Head-to-head is competitive: Ceramica Cleopatra have five wins in the last ten meetings, but National Bank have won three, including a 4-2 away victory in 2025.
🚩 Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Ceramica Cleopatra and 4.8 for National Bank of Egypt, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.
How Ceramica Cleopatra and National Bank of Egypt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ceramica Cleopatralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
National Bank of Egyptlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Ceramica Cleopatra have hit their stride early, stringing together three consecutive wins and conceding just once in that run. National Bank of Egypt, meanwhile, have recovered from a slow start with back-to-back victories but remain less convincing on the road, netting only once in two away games. Both sides' momentum is positive, but Ceramica's consistency and defensive solidity stand out.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
The head-to-head record is competitive, with Ceramica Cleopatra taking five of the last ten meetings and National Bank of Egypt three, including a notable 4-2 away win in 2025. Draws are not rare, and matches have swung between tight, low-scoring affairs and the occasional goal-fest, making the goal markets tricky to call.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Ceramica Cleopatra wins
2
Draws
2
National Bank of Egypt wins
Things to Watch: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
- ⚠️Both teams' early season form is based on a small four-match sample.
- ⚠️Recent head-to-heads have produced both high and low scoring games, introducing volatility to goal markets.
- ⚠️No injury or suspension data is available, but lineups are not yet confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 National Bank of EgyptA 1-1 draw stands out as the most probable result, driven by Ceramica Cleopatra's solid form and National Bank of Egypt's tendency to keep matches tight on the road. The strongest data point is Ceramica's three-match winning streak with just one goal conceded, but the main risk is National Bank's ability to spring an away upset, as seen in their 4-2 win here last year.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt: Common Questions
Who will win Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt?
The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra a 36% chance of winning, National Bank of Egypt a 30% chance, and the draw a 34% probability. With both sides closely matched and the market pricing them evenly, a draw is the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt?
There is a 44% chance both teams score, with the model favouring 'no' (56%) due to Ceramica Cleopatra's two clean sheets in their last three and National Bank's struggles to find the net away from home.
Is there value in betting the draw or BTTS 'no' in this match?
The BTTS 'no' market offers a modest value edge, with the model's 56% probability outstripping the bookmaker's implied 53.5% (odds 1.87). The draw is priced fairly close to model probability, so value is slim but present.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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