Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Olympic El Qanah
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.5/10Late Drama as Olympic El Qanah Stun Ceramica Cleopatra with Last-Gasp Winner
Olympic El Qanah pulled off a dramatic 2-1 comeback victory over Ceramica Cleopatra at the Arab Contractors Stadium, with a stoppage-time winner sealing all three points for the visitors. Ceramica Cleopatra struck first, taking an early lead in the 10th minute, but El Qanah responded with a determined second-half performance, equalizing shortly after the break and snatching victory at the death despite being reduced to ten men. The hosts looked in control after their early goal, but momentum shifted in the second half as El Qanah pressed forward. A red card for the visitors threatened to derail their efforts, yet they showed remarkable resilience, capitalizing on a late opportunity to secure a dramatic win. The match was a tale of two halves, with Ceramica Cleopatra unable to hold onto their advantage against a spirited El Qanah side.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
Ceramica Cleopatra open the scoring with an early goal, setting the tone for the first half.
51' — Goal
Olympic El Qanah equalize shortly after halftime, swinging momentum their way.
Red Card' — Red Card
Olympic El Qanah reduced to ten men, raising the stakes for the final stages.
90' — Goal
Olympic El Qanah score a dramatic stoppage-time winner to complete the comeback.
Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra started brightly, capitalizing on early pressure to take the lead in the 10th minute. Their first-half performance was disciplined and organized, but they struggled to maintain momentum after the break. Despite having a numerical advantage late on, they failed to convert possession into clear chances and were ultimately punished for their inability to manage the game in the closing stages.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Olympic El Qanah
Olympic El Qanah showed impressive character, coming from behind to claim a memorable away win. Their response after conceding early was measured, and they grew into the game, equalizing in the 51st minute. Even after going down to ten men, they remained dangerous and ultimately found the winner in stoppage time, demonstrating both resilience and opportunism.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to favor a balanced approach in the opening stages, with Ceramica Cleopatra capitalizing on early pressure. As the match progressed, El Qanah grew into the contest, pressing higher and committing more numbers forward after halftime. The red card forced El Qanah to adjust, likely dropping deeper and seeking to hit on the counter, but their willingness to push for a winner even with ten men paid off. Ceramica Cleopatra, meanwhile, struggled to exploit their numerical advantage, lacking cutting edge and failing to create clear chances late on.
Turning Point
The stoppage-time winner by Olympic El Qanah, scored after they had been reduced to ten men, completely flipped the script and sealed the visitors' remarkable comeback.
Man of the Match
Olympic El Qanah 90th Minute Goalscorer
Delivered the decisive moment with a last-gasp winner, capping a resilient team performance.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah: Match Preview
Ceramica Cleopatra and Olympic El Qanah open their Premier League campaigns with little separating them statistically. Cleopatra finished last season with patchy form (LDLWD), scoring just four times in their final five matches and failing to score twice. Olympic El Qanah arrive off a promotion campaign and a slightly better recent run (WLWDL), but their defensive record in the Second League was inconsistent, conceding in four of their last five.
From a statistical perspective, both sides appear limited in attack and unconvincing at the back. Cleopatra's last five games averaged just 1.6 total goals, with 8 shots and 3.8 on target per match, while El Qanah's matches in the lower tier averaged 2.6 goals but with little available data on shot volume or possession. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet apiece in their last five, and neither has failed to score more than twice, pointing to a slight BTTS lean but a low ceiling for total goals.
Given the lack of top-flight data for El Qanah and the modest output from Cleopatra, the model projects a cautious, low-event contest. The most likely scenario is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the statistical mode, as both teams adjust to the new season and prioritise avoiding an opening defeat.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah that most previews miss.
- 1Ceramica Cleopatra's last five matches averaged just 1.6 total goals, with only one game seeing more than two goals.
- 2Olympic El Qanah have scored in all of their last five matches, but conceded in four of them.
- 3Ceramica Cleopatra averaged 18 fouls per game in their last five, suggesting a higher-than-average cards environment.
Who do you think wins: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have averaged close to a goal per game in their last five matches (Ceramica Cleopatra 0.8, Olympic El Qanah 1.4), and neither side has shown a consistent defensive edge, making a low-scoring draw the statistical mode.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recent match averages (1.6 and 2.6 total goals per game for home and away respectively) and only one clean sheet apiece in the last five suggest a low goal environment, with a 66% model probability for under 2.5.
Read more ↓
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a cagey contest between two sides lacking both proven top-flight scoring power and defensive solidity. Ceramica Cleopatra's attack has struggled for output (0.8 goals per game in the last five), while Olympic El Qanah, newly promoted, have found the net more regularly but against weaker opposition and with defensive lapses evident (1.2 conceded per game). The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw, with neither side demonstrating the shot volume or attacking efficiency to dominate.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Ceramica Cleopatra have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Olympic El Qanah have scored in every one of their last five but have only one clean sheet in that span.
Match Context
- →No head-to-head or season-long top-flight data available for Olympic El Qanah, increasing uncertainty.
🚩 Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Ceramica Cleopatra and 5 for Olympic El Qanah, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
How Ceramica Cleopatra and Olympic El Qanah Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ceramica Cleopatralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Olympic El Qanahlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ceramica Cleopatra enter the new season with a form string of LDLWD, scoring only four times in their last five and failing to score twice. Olympic El Qanah, promoted from the Second League, have been more consistent in front of goal, finding the net in every one of their last five, but their defensive record remains patchy with just one clean sheet.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah
There is no head-to-head data available for these two clubs in the supplied dataset, so no historical pattern can inform this fixture's prediction.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Ceramica Cleopatra wins
0
Draws
1
Olympic El Qanah wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah
With no bookmaker odds available, no value edges can be identified. Model probabilities suggest a low-goal, low-margin contest, so any market offering a strong price on under 2.5 goals or the draw would warrant attention if available.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah
- ⚠️No available odds or bookmaker probabilities for value comparison.
- ⚠️Both teams have zero matches played in the current season, so all estimates are based on last five games and lower-league form.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data between these sides at this level.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 Olympic El QanahThe model's baseline is a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' low scoring and concession rates in recent matches and the absence of clear attacking superiority. The single strongest data point is Cleopatra's 0.8 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five, indicating a low-event match. The greatest risk is that El Qanah's step up in competition either exposes their defence more than expected or sees them struggle to create chances, skewing the goal distribution.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah: Common Questions
Who will win Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah?
The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra a 36% chance to win, Olympic El Qanah a 29% chance, and a draw at 35%. Both teams have shown similar recent form and limited attacking output, so a draw is the statistical favourite.
Will both teams score in Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with Cleopatra averaging 0.8 goals scored and El Qanah scoring in all of their last five. However, neither side has been defensively solid, so BTTS is close to a coin flip.
How many goals will there be in Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 66% probability, reflecting both sides' recent low scoring rates and lack of attacking efficiency. Only one of Cleopatra's last five games featured over 2.5 goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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