Charleroi vs OH Leuven Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
OH Leuven
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Charleroi Win
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Charleroi vs OH Leuven(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Charleroi Win
Charleroi are in strong form (WWWDL), have won three straight, and just beat OH Leuven away 2-0. OH Leuven are winless in five and have lost four of those, with a poor away defensive record (32 conceded in 19).
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BTTS: No
OH Leuven have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, while Charleroi have kept 3 clean sheets in 5. Both teams have low BTTS rates recently.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams' season over 2.5% is below 50%, and recent meetings have often been low-scoring. Charleroi's last 5 average just 2 goals per game combined.
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The Case For This Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction
Charleroi come into this fixture in excellent form, having won three consecutive matches and conceding just once in their last four. OH Leuven, in contrast, are struggling badly, winless in five and having lost four of those, including a 0-2 home defeat to Charleroi just weeks ago. Charleroi's defensive solidity and home advantage make them clear favourites, while OH Leuven's lack of attacking output and leaky defence suggest another tough outing.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →OH Leuven have lost 4 of their last 5 and failed to score in 3 of those.
- →Recent H2H: Charleroi won 2-0 away; Leuven won 2-0 away in March, but form has since diverged.
Defence
- →Charleroi's 3-match winning streak and strong recent defensive record (3 clean sheets in 5).
- →OH Leuven concede 1.68 goals per away game on average; Charleroi score 1.39 at home.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Charleroi's home record is stronger than Leuven's away record.
🚩 Charleroi vs OH Leuven Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Charleroi and 4.5 for OH Leuven, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Charleroi and OH Leuven Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Charleroi vs OH Leuven Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Charleroilast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
OH Leuvenlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Charleroi are peaking at the right time, winning their last three matches and showing defensive resilience with three clean sheets in five. In contrast, OH Leuven are on a poor run, winless in their last five and losing four, including a heavy 0-2 home defeat to Charleroi. Leuven's attack has dried up, failing to score in three of their last five.
Charleroi vs OH Leuven — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Charleroi vs OH Leuven
The head-to-head record is balanced, but recent meetings suggest a shift: Charleroi won the last fixture 2-0 away, while OH Leuven won 2-0 away in March. Draws are common, but the recent trend and form momentum both point toward Charleroi.
Charleroi vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Charleroi wins
4
Draws
4
OH Leuven wins
Things to Watch: Charleroi vs OH Leuven
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edge calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Small sample size for some recent averages; possible variance in match tempo.
- ⚠️Charleroi's home record is only moderate (6W/5D/7L), so some risk remains.
- ⚠️OH Leuven have occasionally pulled off away results in this H2H.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Charleroi vs OH Leuven: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.