Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Chengdu Better City Win
Match Result
6.5/10Stalemate in Chengdu: Better City and Tongliang Long Share the Spoils
Chengdu Better City and Chongqing Tongliang Long played out a hard-fought 1-1 draw at the Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, with both sides finding the net either side of half-time. The hosts took the initiative in the first half, breaking the deadlock in the 35th minute, but Chongqing responded swiftly after the interval, leveling the score in the 49th minute. Despite flashes of attacking intent and a flurry of yellow cards, neither team could find a decisive breakthrough in a match that was competitive but ultimately lacking in clinical finishing. The contest was marked by periods of determined defending and midfield battles, as both teams looked to assert themselves. Chengdu picked up three yellow cards in a physical display, while Chongqing were shown one, reflecting the intensity of the encounter. With both teams settling for a point, the result leaves plenty to ponder for their respective managers as they look to sharpen their attacks in the coming fixtures.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
35' — Goal
Chengdu Better City break the deadlock with a well-taken goal.
49' — Goal
Chongqing Tongliang Long equalize early in the second half, shifting the momentum.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Three Chengdu players and one Chongqing player booked in a physical contest.
Chengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City started brightly and deservedly took the lead in the 35th minute, capitalizing on their early momentum. However, their inability to maintain control after the break allowed Chongqing to equalize shortly after halftime. The hosts' physical approach was evident, as they collected three yellow cards, but their defense held firm to deny the visitors a winner. Ultimately, Chengdu's lack of cutting edge in the final third prevented them from claiming all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long showed resilience to come from behind, equalizing just four minutes into the second half. Their disciplined approach limited their disciplinary issues, with only one yellow card shown. While they matched Chengdu's intensity and managed to stifle the home side's attacking threats, Chongqing could not convert their second-half momentum into a winning goal, settling for a valuable away point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both starting lineups and formations unavailable, the match's flow suggested a balanced tactical battle. Chengdu Better City imposed themselves in the first half, likely pressing high and looking to control the midfield. After conceding, Chongqing Tongliang Long adjusted well, showing greater attacking intent and composure in possession. The number of yellow cards for Chengdu indicates a willingness to disrupt Chongqing's rhythm through tactical fouling, while Chongqing's disciplined approach minimized their own bookings. Both defenses remained organized, and neither side was able to exploit set pieces or moments of transition to find a winner.
Turning Point
Chongqing Tongliang Long's equalizer in the 49th minute shifted the momentum and set the tone for a balanced second half.
Man of the Match
Chongqing Tongliang Long Goalscorer
His timely equalizer rescued a point for the visitors and changed the course of the match.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Chengdu Better City Win
Chengdu Better City have a dominant home record (7W-0D-1L), stronger attack, and are on a 3-match winning streak, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are solid but less prolific away and have not beaten Chengdu in previous meetings.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Chengdu's matches are more likely to go over 2.5 (62.5% this season), and both teams have shown attacking potential in recent fixtures, including a 3-3 H2H draw.
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BTTS: No
Both teams have only 1 BTTS in their last 5 league matches, and Chongqing have 4 clean sheets in that span, indicating a decent chance one side blanks.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction
Chengdu Better City, leading the Super League, host second-placed Chongqing Tongliang Long in a clash that could have significant implications for the title race. Chengdu's attacking firepower and imperious home form make them favorites, but Chongqing's defensive solidity and knack for avoiding defeat suggest a competitive contest. Expect Chengdu to control proceedings, but Chongqing's resilience could keep the match close, with goals likely coming in the second half.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Chengdu are on a 3-match winning streak; Chongqing have 2 straight wins but less consistent away.
Attack
- →Chengdu average 2.25 goals per game this season, with 62.5% of matches over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Chongqing Tongliang Long have 4 clean sheets in last 5, but average just 1.2 goals scored in that span.
Match Context
- →Chengdu Better City's home record: 7 wins, 1 loss, 21:4 goal difference.
- →Head-to-head: Both previous meetings ended in draws, including a 3-3 thriller this season.
🚩 Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7 corners for Chengdu Better City and 3.6 for Chongqing Tongliang Long, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Chengdu Better City and Chongqing Tongliang Long Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Chengdu Better Citylast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chongqing Tongliang Longlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chengdu Better City are in strong form, winning their last three matches and boasting a formidable home record. Their attack has been prolific, though they have had two recent losses. Chongqing Tongliang Long are unbeaten in their last three league matches and have kept four clean sheets in their last five, but their attack has been less consistent.
Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
The head-to-head record is balanced, with both previous encounters ending in draws. The most recent was a 3-3 draw away for Chengdu, suggesting that Chongqing can compete but struggle to secure wins against the league leaders.
Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Chengdu Better City wins
3
Draws
0
Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
With no available odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges. However, the model rates Chengdu as clear favorites, especially at home, and sees a moderate chance for over 2.5 goals based on season averages. If odds for a home win or over 2.5 goals are generous, these would be the primary value angles.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and EV calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Only two H2H meetings, both draws, so limited direct matchup data.
- ⚠️Lineups not yet available; possible late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Chongqing's recent defensive improvement could make them more competitive than model expects.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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