Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Predictions
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Shenyang Urban
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Tianjin Teda Edge Shenyang Urban Despite Possession Deficit
Tianjin Teda claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Shenyang Urban at the TEDA Football Stadium, making the most of their limited possession with an early goal and resolute defending. The hosts struck in the 10th minute and then absorbed wave after wave of Shenyang pressure, as the visitors dominated the ball but failed to convert their control into goals. Despite holding just 31% possession and facing 14 shots, Tianjin Teda's defensive organization and clinical finishing proved decisive. Shenyang Urban, meanwhile, saw plenty of the ball (69% possession) and matched their hosts in shots, but lacked the cutting edge in the final third. The result highlights Tianjin's efficiency and defensive discipline, while Shenyang Urban will rue their missed opportunities.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
Alberto Quiles scores for Tianjin Teda, finishing a swift move to give the hosts an early lead.
20-90' — Sustained Pressure
Shenyang Urban dominate possession but are repeatedly repelled by Tianjin's organized defense.
75' — Save
Yan Bingliang makes a crucial stop to preserve Tianjin's lead as Shenyang threaten.
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda started brightly, capitalizing on an early chance to take the lead in the 10th minute. From there, they adopted a pragmatic approach, sitting deep in their 4-4-2 and focusing on defensive solidity. Despite conceding the majority of possession and territory, they limited Shenyang Urban to just two shots on target and managed to keep a clean sheet. Their attacking threat was sporadic, but they made their three shots on target count, demonstrating efficiency in front of goal. The midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Shenyang's rhythm, while the backline stood firm under sustained pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Shenyang Urban
Shenyang Urban controlled the match for long stretches, boasting 69% possession and dictating the tempo with their 3-4-3 formation. They created 14 shots but only managed two on target, struggling to break down a disciplined Tianjin defense. Despite their dominance in midfield and ability to win the ball high up the pitch, Shenyang Urban lacked sharpness in the final third. Their inability to convert possession into clear chances or goals ultimately cost them, as they left the TEDA Football Stadium empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tianjin Teda set up in a compact 4-4-2, focusing on defensive shape and quick transitions. After taking the lead, they dropped deeper, ceding possession but maintaining discipline and numbers behind the ball. Their midfielders worked hard to close down space and disrupt Shenyang's passing lanes, while the forwards pressed selectively. Shenyang Urban's 3-4-3 emphasized width and ball retention, with wing-backs pushing high and midfielders recycling possession. However, their attacks often fizzled out in the final third, as Tianjin's back four stayed narrow and denied space between the lines. Substitutions appeared to freshen legs but did not alter the tactical balance, as Shenyang continued to probe without reward.
Turning Point
Alberto Quiles' goal in the 10th minute set the tone, allowing Tianjin Teda to defend their lead for the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
Alberto Quiles
Scored the match-winning goal and led the line with intelligence, making the difference in a tight contest.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Shenyang Urban Win
Shenyang Urban have shown stronger recent attacking form (2.4 goals per game last 5), have already beaten Tianjin Teda 3-0 this season, and face a home side with just 2 wins in 9 home matches. However, lack of odds data limits value assessment.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Tianjin 53%, Shenyang 71% season), and Shenyang's matches especially trend high-scoring. Recent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 2 of Tianjin's last 5 and 3 of Shenyang's last 5. Both teams have shown defensive frailties and attacking threat, especially in second halves.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Prediction
Tianjin Teda, struggling near the bottom of the table, host a Shenyang Urban side that has found attacking form but remains inconsistent, particularly away from home. Recent matches suggest both teams are capable of scoring, but Shenyang's offensive output and their earlier 3-0 win over Tianjin give them a slight edge. Expect an open contest with goals, as both teams' defensive records are patchy and over 2.5 goals has been a frequent outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Tianjin's form is mixed (WLWDL), while Shenyang have won 3 of last 5.
Attack
- →Shenyang Urban average 2.4 goals scored in last 5 matches, with 3 wins in that span.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Tianjin Teda have only 2 home wins in 9 and a negative home goal difference.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates this season (Tianjin 53%, Shenyang 71%).
- →Shenyang Urban won the reverse fixture 3-0.
🚩 Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.1 corners for Tianjin Teda and 5 for Shenyang Urban, for an expected total of 11.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 78% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Shenyang Urbanlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Teda have alternated wins and losses in their last five, recently beating Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0 but losing narrowly to Chongqing Tongliang Long. Their home form remains poor. Shenyang Urban, meanwhile, have won three of their last five, including a 5-0 away win and a 3-1 home victory, showing strong attacking momentum despite a heavy 1-5 loss to Shandong Luneng.
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 65.38% of games this season
- +Dominant in possession — 58% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban
There has been only one recent head-to-head, with Shenyang Urban dominating Tianjin Teda 3-0 at home earlier this season. This result underscores Shenyang's attacking threat and Tianjin's defensive vulnerabilities in this matchup.
Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Tianjin Teda wins
0
Draws
1
Shenyang Urban wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban
Without odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges, but model probabilities suggest that Shenyang Urban are more likely to win than a typical away side, and goal markets (over 2.5) are also more probable than average. If odds for away win or over 2.5 are above 2.30 and 1.70 respectively, they would represent potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Only one recent H2H, so trends are not robust.
- ⚠️Corner and card data is incomplete for some recent matches.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent, especially Shenyang away from home.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.