Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Cheshunt
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Cray Wanderers
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Cray Wanderers Win
Match Result
5/10Cray Wanderers Edge Cheshunt in Dramatic FA Trophy Penalty Shootout
Cray Wanderers advanced in the FA Trophy after a tense encounter with Cheshunt, ultimately prevailing 2-1 on penalties following a deadlocked contest. With neither side able to break the stalemate in regular time, the match was decided from the spot, where Cray Wanderers held their nerve to secure progression. Both teams battled hard but struggled to carve out clear opportunities, with the match statistics unavailable but the narrative suggesting a closely-fought, cagey affair. In the end, it was composure from twelve yards that separated the sides, as Cray Wanderers converted two penalties to Cheshunt's one.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
FT' — Full Time
The match ends level, sending the tie to a penalty shootout.
PEN' — Penalty Shootout
Cray Wanderers win the shootout 2-1 to advance in the FA Trophy.
Cheshunt
Cheshunt matched their opponents stride for stride throughout the contest, but ultimately fell short in the penalty shootout. Despite a determined effort, they were unable to find the breakthrough during open play and struggled to create decisive chances. The lack of goals and attacking threat proved costly as the tie went to penalties, where their composure deserted them.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers showed grit and determination, keeping Cheshunt at bay and holding their nerve when it mattered most. While they too struggled to create clear-cut chances during regular time, their focus and execution in the penalty shootout proved decisive. Their ability to handle the pressure in the shootout ultimately earned them a hard-fought victory.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams locked in a stalemate, the tactical battle was defined by defensive discipline and caution. The lack of open play goals suggests that both sides prioritized structure over risk, likely lining up in compact formations and minimizing space for opposition attackers. Without clear data on formations or substitutions, it is evident that neither side was able to seize the initiative or exploit weaknesses, leading to a match of few chances and little attacking fluency. Set pieces and individual moments of quality were at a premium, and the contest was ultimately decided by mental fortitude rather than tactical innovation. The shootout placed the emphasis squarely on composure and execution, where Cray Wanderers prevailed.
Turning Point
The penalty shootout, where Cray Wanderers converted two penalties to Cheshunt's one, proved decisive.
Man of the Match
Cray Wanderers Penalty Takers
Held their nerve in the shootout to secure victory in a tense, low-scoring affair.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers: Match Preview
Cheshunt approach this FA Trophy tie on the back of a five-match winless run, with three consecutive defeats and just three goals scored in that stretch. Their defensive record is a concern, having shipped 12 goals in their last five, and they have failed to score in two of those outings. Cray Wanderers, by contrast, have found the net 12 times in their last five, including a 4-1 win and a 3-3 draw, and have not failed to score in any of those fixtures.
The matchup is defined by Cray Wanderers' attacking output against Cheshunt's porous defence. The away side average 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game recently, while Cheshunt have managed just 1.0 for and 2.4 against. Both teams have seen frequent BTTS outcomes (three for Cheshunt, four for Cray in their last five), and second-half goals are a particular trend for the visitors (seven of their last nine goals scored after the break). Set-piece and discipline data are lacking, but neither side has shown a recent clean sheet streak.
The model expects Cray Wanderers to control much of the attacking play, with the likeliest scenario being an away win in a game that exceeds 2.5 goals. Cheshunt's home advantage is muted by their current form and the historical H2H, which leans heavily towards the visitors. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 to Cray Wanderers, with the main uncertainty stemming from the small sample size and Cheshunt's occasional ability to nick a result at home.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers that most previews miss.
- 1Cray Wanderers have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches, while Cheshunt have conceded at least two in four of five.
- 2Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have produced at least two goals, with Cray Wanderers winning five times in that span.
- 3Cray Wanderers have scored seven of their last nine goals in the second half, highlighting a late-game scoring trend.
Who do you think wins: Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Cray Wanderers Win
Cray Wanderers have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last five, while Cheshunt have lost three straight and conceded 2.4 per game in that span. The away side's historical H2H dominance (five wins in the last ten) further supports the probability edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams' recent matches have trended high-scoring, with Cheshunt's last five averaging 3.4 total goals and Cray Wanderers at 4.2. Four of the last five H2H meetings have also seen at least two goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Cheshunt have failed to score in two of their last five, but Cray Wanderers have seen BTTS in four of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet away in that sample.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Prediction
The statistical profile points to an away win in a match likely to feature goals, shaped by Cray Wanderers' superior attack and Cheshunt's defensive frailty. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 victory for the visitors, with the main risk coming from Cheshunt's sporadic ability to force a draw at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Cray Wanderers average 2.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches.
Defence
- →Cheshunt have conceded 2.4 goals per game over the same period and are winless in five.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head record favours Cray Wanderers with five wins in the last ten meetings.
How Cheshunt and Cray Wanderers Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Cheshuntlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cray Wandererslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cheshunt are in a poor run, without a win in five and having conceded multiple goals in each of their last three defeats. Cray Wanderers, meanwhile, are unbeaten in four of their last five and have scored at least twice in four of those games, suggesting a clear upward momentum.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning five of the last ten meetings and losing only once. Draws are common, but the away side has consistently found ways to get results, including a 1-0 win at Cheshunt in 2024 and several away victories.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Cheshunt wins
3
Draws
6
Cray Wanderers wins
Things to Watch: Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers
- ⚠️No season-long home/away splits or full league standings available; all rates are based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds prevents explicit value edge calculation.
- ⚠️Sample sizes are small and may not fully capture underlying team strengths or tactical shifts.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cheshunt 1–2 Cray WanderersThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Cray Wanderers, anchored by their 2.4 goals per game recent scoring rate and Cheshunt's three-game losing streak. The likeliest way this forecast fails is if Cheshunt can tighten up defensively at home or if the match follows the lower-scoring pattern of the most recent H2H stalemate.
Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers: Common Questions
Who will win Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?
Cray Wanderers are favoured, with a 47% probability of an away win compared to 23% for Cheshunt and 30% for the draw. This is based on their superior recent scoring rate and H2H dominance.
Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?
There's a 59% probability for both teams to score, supported by four BTTS outcomes in Cray Wanderers' last five matches and three for Cheshunt.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?
The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both teams' recent games averaging over three goals per match and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.