Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Chesterfield
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Yeovil Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: Match Preview
Chesterfield enter this FA Cup fixture on the back of a mixed run, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches, conceding nine goals in that span. Yeovil Town, meanwhile, arrive in prolific form, having scored 17 goals across their last five games and losing just once. Both sides have struggled for defensive solidity, each keeping just one clean sheet in their recent run, and both are averaging over 1.5 goals conceded per match.
The matchup is defined by Yeovil's explosive attack (3.4 goals per game in their last five) against a Chesterfield defence conceding 1.8 per game. Chesterfield's home matches have featured high shot volumes (14.6 per game), while Yeovil have been especially dangerous in the second half, netting 12 of their last 17 after the break. Both teams are prone to open contests: four of Chesterfield's last five and four of Yeovil's last five have seen both teams score, and Yeovil's season over 2.5 goals rate is a perfect 100%.
The model expects a high-tempo, end-to-end encounter with both sides likely to find the net. Chesterfield's home advantage is balanced by Yeovil's recent scoring surge, making a draw the most probable outcome. The goal environment is projected to be well above average, with 2-2 the likeliest scoreline, reflecting both teams' attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS: Yes
69%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town that most previews miss.
- 1Yeovil Town's last five matches have produced a total of 25 goals, averaging 5.0 per game.
- 2Chesterfield have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding at least once in every match.
- 3Both teams have scored in 80% of each side's last five matches, and in five of the last seven H2H meetings.
Who do you think wins: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 3 goals scored per game in their last five matches (Chesterfield 1.8, Yeovil 3.4), and Yeovil's season over 2.5 rate stands at 100%. Four of the last five for each have seen BTTS, supporting a high-goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in four of the last five for both teams, and neither side has kept more than one clean sheet in that span. Both attacks are outperforming their defences in recent weeks.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Prediction
Chesterfield and Yeovil Town approach this FA Cup tie with attacking momentum but defensive frailties, as evidenced by both teams averaging at least 1.8 goals scored and conceded over their last five matches. Yeovil have been especially prolific, netting 17 goals in their last five, while Chesterfield have scored nine. Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five, pointing to vulnerability at the back. The statistical matchup is shaped by Yeovil's high-scoring away form (six goals at Wealdstone, three at Leatherhead) and Chesterfield's strong shot production at home (14.6 shots, 4 on target per game). Both teams have a BTTS rate of 80% across their last five, and Yeovil's season over 2.5 goals rate is 100%. First-half action is common, with Chesterfield scoring six first-half goals in five games and Yeovil netting five, but both are even more dangerous after the break (Yeovil: 12 second-half goals). Given the attacking rates and defensive records, the model expects an open contest with multiple goals. Chesterfield's home advantage is offset by Yeovil's recent scoring form, and the most likely outcome is a draw with both teams scoring at least twice. The expected goal environment is well above the FA Cup average, with the likeliest scorelines clustering around 2-2 and 2-1 either way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Yeovil Town average 3.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Chesterfield have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding 1.8 per game.
🚩 Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Chesterfield and 5 for Yeovil Town, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Chesterfield and Yeovil Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Chesterfieldlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yeovil Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chesterfield's recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five and a worrying defensive record of nine goals conceded. Yeovil Town, by contrast, have been prolific in front of goal, scoring 17 in their last five and losing only once, though they too have struggled to keep opponents out. Both teams are trending towards high-scoring, open matches.
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 64% avg
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town
Chesterfield have the historical advantage in this fixture, winning five of the last ten meetings and losing only twice. Draws are a recurring theme, with three in the last ten, and both teams have found the net in five of the last seven. While previous encounters have often been tight, the current attacking form of both sides points to a more open contest this time.
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Chesterfield wins
3
Draws
2
Yeovil Town wins
Things to Watch: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value calculations and expected value are unavailable.
- ⚠️Seasonal averages for Chesterfield are not populated, so recent form is weighted more heavily than usual.
- ⚠️Limited data on set pieces and discipline for Yeovil Town due to missing match stats.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Chesterfield 2–2 Yeovil TownA 2-2 draw is the most probable outcome, driven by Yeovil's 3.4 goals per game recent average and Chesterfield's inability to keep clean sheets. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Yeovil's attack is stifled by the step up in opposition quality or if Chesterfield's home advantage translates into a more controlled defensive performance.
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: Common Questions
Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
The probabilities are closely matched, with Chesterfield at 36%, Yeovil Town at 33%, and a draw at 31%. Both teams are in attacking form, but neither has a decisive edge.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
There is a 68% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides seeing BTTS in four of their last five matches and neither defence in strong form.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Yeovil's 100% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams averaging at least 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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