Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville Predictions
FA Cup · England
Chippenham Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Havant & Wville
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville: Match Preview
Chippenham Town enter this FA Cup tie with a mixed bag of results—two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, but crucially, both victories came at home. Havant & Wville's recent form is more concerning: four defeats in five, with only one goal scored in their last three outings. With both sides yet to find rhythm in the new campaign, the fixture represents a chance to reset, but recent momentum favours the hosts.
The statistical matchup is defined by blunt attacks and leaky defences. Chippenham Town average just 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game across their last five, while Havant & Wville's attack has produced only 0.4 per game, failing to score in three of those fixtures. The head-to-head record supports a low-scoring trend, with five of the last ten meetings finishing 1-0, 0-0, or 1-1. Both teams have struggled to generate clear chances, and neither side's defensive record suggests a clean sheet is out of reach.
Given these rates, the model expects a cagey contest with limited goalmouth action. The likeliest outcome is a narrow Chippenham Town win, with a 1-0 scoreline most probable. The lack of attacking output from Havant & Wville, combined with Chippenham's modest home record in recent H2H matches, shapes a low total goals environment and a strong case for under 2.5 goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville that most previews miss.
- 1Havant & Wville have failed to score in three of their last five, averaging just 0.4 goals per match in that span.
- 2Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings ended under 2.5 goals, with three 0-0 or 1-0 results.
- 3Chippenham Town have scored in only three of their last five, but both home matches in that stretch produced goals.
Who do you think wins: Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recent matches for both sides have been low-scoring, with Chippenham Town averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.8 against, and Havant & Wville at 0.4 for and 2.2 against over the last five. Five of the last ten H2H meetings ended under 2.5 goals, and both teams' attack output is limited.
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Match Result: Chippenham Town Win
Chippenham Town have won four of their last ten meetings with Havant & Wville, including a 1-0 home win in the most recent encounter. Havant & Wville have lost four of their last five in all competitions.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville Prediction
Statistical indicators point to a low-scoring contest, with both sides struggling for attacking output in recent weeks and a head-to-head history that often produces tight margins. Chippenham Town's modest home advantage and slightly better recent record tip the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Havant & Wville have failed to score in three of their last five and average just 0.4 goals per game in that stretch.
Defence
- →Chippenham Town average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Five of the last ten H2H meetings ended 1-0, 0-0, or 1-1.
How Chippenham Town and Havant & Wville Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Chippenham Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Havant & Wvillelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Chippenham Town's recent form is mixed, with two wins, a draw, and two defeats in their last five, but both victories have come at home. Havant & Wville are on a downward trend, losing four of their last five and scoring just once in their last three competitive matches.
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville
The head-to-head record is tight, with Chippenham Town winning four, Havant & Wville two, and four draws in the last ten meetings. Low-scoring games are common: five of those ten finished 1-0, 0-0, or 1-1, and Chippenham edged the most recent home fixture 1-0.
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Chippenham Town wins
4
Draws
2
Havant & Wville wins
Things to Watch: Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville
- ⚠️No meaningful season-long data for either side due to early stage of campaign.
- ⚠️Lack of shot and possession data limits model granularity.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Chippenham Town 1–0 Havant & WvilleThe model projects a 1-0 win for Chippenham Town, anchored by Havant & Wville's anaemic attack (0.4 goals per game, three blanks in five). The biggest risk is that both sides' lack of attacking threat leads to a goalless draw rather than a narrow home win.
Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville: Common Questions
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville?
Chippenham Town are marginal favourites with a 42% win probability, compared to 36% for the draw and 22% for Havant & Wville. Recent form and head-to-head results both tilt slightly towards the hosts.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 63%, reflecting both teams' low scoring rates—Chippenham Town average 1.0 goals for and 1.8 against, while Havant & Wville average just 0.4 scored per match in their last five.
Are both teams likely to score in Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville?
Both teams to score is rated at just 31%, with Havant & Wville failing to find the net in three of their last five and Chippenham Town blanking twice in that period.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chippenham Town vs Havant & Wville: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.