Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Cleethorpes Town
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Newcastle Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town: Match Preview
Cleethorpes Town enter this FA Cup tie on the back of a strong run, winning three of their last five and scoring 13 goals in that span. Their attacking output at home has been especially notable, highlighted by a 6-0 thrashing of Whitby Town. Newcastle Town, meanwhile, closed last season with four wins in five, including two away victories, and have also found the net in every recent outing. Both sides have shown attacking intent, but Cleethorpes' home scoring rate gives them a marginal edge.
Statistically, the matchup leans towards goals. Cleethorpes average 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game over their last five, while Newcastle Town post 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Neither side has failed to score in their last five, and both have a high BTTS rate (Cleethorpes 60%, Newcastle 80%). The head-to-head record is split, but the last two meetings were goalless draws, suggesting past encounters were tighter than current form implies. With limited data on set pieces and discipline, the attacking and defensive rates are the primary drivers for this prediction.
The model expects a relatively open contest, with Cleethorpes Town's recent home firepower likely to tilt the balance. Newcastle Town's consistent scoring away from home should keep them in the match, but their slightly leakier defence compared to Cleethorpes' recent record points to a narrow home win in a game with multiple goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town that most previews miss.
- 1Cleethorpes Town have scored in every one of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
- 2Four of Newcastle Town's last five matches have seen both teams score, with a BTTS rate of 80%.
- 3The last two head-to-head meetings finished 0-0, but both were played over five years ago.
Who do you think wins: Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average at least 2 goals scored per game across their last five, with Cleethorpes Town at 2.6 and Newcastle Town at 2.0, while the BTTS rate is high (3 of last 5 for Cleethorpes, 4 of last 5 for Newcastle), supporting a goal-friendly environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Neither side has failed to score in their last five matches, and both have conceded in at least three of those, indicating a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town Prediction
Recent attacking output from both Cleethorpes Town and Newcastle Town points to a competitive FA Cup tie with a bias towards goals. Cleethorpes have been prolific at home, notably putting six past Whitby Town, while Newcastle Town's away form late last season included two wins with multiple goals scored. The data suggests a slight edge for the hosts, but Newcastle's scoring consistency keeps the contest open.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cleethorpes Town average 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game over their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Newcastle Town have scored in every one of their last five, averaging 2.0 per game.
- →Both teams have a high BTTS rate in recent fixtures (Cleethorpes 60%, Newcastle 80%).
How Cleethorpes Town and Newcastle Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Cleethorpes Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Newcastle Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Cleethorpes Town arrive with momentum, having won three of their last five and scoring 13 goals in that stretch, including a six-goal home performance. Newcastle Town also closed last season well, with four wins in their last five and a consistent record of finding the net. Both teams have been reliable in attack, but Cleethorpes' recent home results are particularly eye-catching.
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town
The head-to-head record is balanced, with each side taking one win and two draws (both 0-0) in their last four meetings. However, these matches date back over five years, so their relevance to the current matchup is limited. Historically, the fixture has not been high scoring, but recent form from both teams suggests that could change.
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Cleethorpes Town wins
2
Draws
1
Newcastle Town wins
Things to Watch: Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town
- ⚠️No current season data for either team; all rates are based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No information on lineups, injuries, or discipline trends for this specific fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cleethorpes Town 2–1 Newcastle TownCleethorpes Town are favoured to edge a high-scoring tie, with a 2-1 predicted scoreline underpinned by their 2.6 goals per game average in recent matches. The biggest risk to this forecast is the lack of current season data and the possibility that early-season form or squad changes could disrupt recent attacking trends.
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town: Common Questions
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
The model gives Cleethorpes Town a 44% chance of victory, with Newcastle Town at 26% and a draw at 30%. Recent attacking form and home advantage slightly favour Cleethorpes.
Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
There is a 61% probability of both teams scoring, supported by the fact that neither side has failed to score in their last five matches and both concede at least one goal per game on average.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 62%, reflecting both teams' recent averages of over 2 goals scored per game and high BTTS rates.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.