Cordoba vs Eibar Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Cordoba
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Eibar
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Cordoba vs Eibar
Cordoba vs Eibar: Match Preview
Cordoba come into this match sitting 13th, with 4 wins and 6 losses from 10, and a defensive record that has seen them concede 20 goals already—2 per game. Their recent form is mixed, alternating wins and losses in their last five, but they have managed to score in every one of those matches. Eibar, meanwhile, are riding high in 2nd place with 7 wins from 9, a +9 goal difference, and an away record of 4 wins from 5, underlining their credentials as promotion contenders.
Statistically, this is a clash between Cordoba's attacking intent and defensive frailty, and Eibar's clinical edge in front of goal. Cordoba's matches average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of their games; Eibar's away fixtures see 3.2 goals on average, and their last five have produced 13 goals for and 7 against. Eibar's shot efficiency (5.8 on target per game in their last five) and Cordoba's tendency to concede (just 1 clean sheet in 10) suggest that Eibar will get chances, but Cordoba's own average of 4.8 shots on target per match means they are rarely shut out.
The model expects a high-tempo, open contest with Eibar's superior attacking rates likely to tell. With both teams trending towards BTTS and over 2.5, and Cordoba's home volatility, a 2-1 away win is the most probable outcome. Eibar's away consistency and Cordoba's defensive numbers are the decisive factors, but Cordoba's ability to score could keep the result in doubt until late.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cordoba vs Eibar Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cordoba vs Eibar that most previews miss.
- 1Cordoba's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 this season (80%).
- 2Eibar have scored at least twice in 4 of their 5 away games.
- 3Cordoba average 17.8 fouls and 3.6 yellow cards per game across their last five, indicating a likely high card count.
Who do you think wins: Cordoba vs Eibar?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cordoba vs Eibar(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have high season over 2.5 goal rates (Cordoba 80%, Eibar 77.8%), and their combined average goals per game exceeds 3.5, supporting a goal-heavy contest.
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Match Result: Eibar Win
Eibar's away record (4 wins from 5, 11 scored, 5 conceded) and a +9 goal difference overall, compared to Cordoba's -5, mark them as the stronger side on underlying rates.
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BTTS: Yes
Cordoba have scored in all of their last 5, but kept just 1 clean sheet; Eibar have failed to score only once in 9, with both teams scoring in 4 of their last 5.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Cordoba vs Eibar Prediction
This fixture matches Cordoba's leaky defence against one of the league's most efficient away attacks. Eibar's statistical edge is clear in both goal difference and away performance, while Cordoba's attacking output at home keeps them in most games but rarely delivers a clean sheet. The underlying rates point to a contest with goals at both ends, but Eibar's consistency on the road gives them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Eibar average 2.2 goals scored per away game, Cordoba concede 2 per match overall.
- →Eibar's away clean sheet rate is 40%, but Cordoba have failed to score in just 1 of 10.
Match Context
- →Cordoba have the league's highest over 2.5 goal rate at 80%.
🚩 Cordoba vs Eibar Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Cordoba and 3.3 for Eibar, for an expected total of 8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (71%). Over 8.5: 41% · Over 10.5: 19%.
How Cordoba and Eibar Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cordoba vs Eibar Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cordobalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Eibarlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cordoba's recent form is erratic, alternating wins and losses in their last five, but they have found the net in every match, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game. Eibar, on the other hand, have won four of their last five and boast a +9 goal difference, with their only recent defeat coming away at Oviedo. The momentum is with Eibar, but Cordoba's attack keeps them competitive.
Cordoba vs Eibar — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season
What History Says: Cordoba vs Eibar
In the last six meetings, Eibar have the edge with three wins to Cordoba's one, and two draws. The most recent match in Cordoba finished 0-0, but overall, away sides have often found success in this fixture. Goals have not always flowed in these games, but both teams' current attacking form suggests a more open contest this time.
Cordoba vs Eibar Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
Cordoba wins
2
Draws
3
Eibar wins
Things to Watch: Cordoba vs Eibar
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Cordoba's home volatility (2 wins, 2 losses, 6:8 goal tally) increases scoreline variance.
- ⚠️Both teams' high BTTS and over 2.5 rates may regress in a single match sample.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cordoba 1–2 EibarEibar's away scoring rate and Cordoba's defensive record make an Eibar win with both teams scoring the statistically likeliest scenario, with a 2-1 scoreline reflecting both sides' season averages. The single strongest data point is Cordoba's 2.0 goals conceded per game, which aligns with Eibar's 2.2 scored away. The main risk is Cordoba's attacking output at home, which could push this match into a higher-scoring draw if Eibar's defence wobbles.
Cordoba vs Eibar: Common Questions
Who will win Cordoba vs Eibar?
Eibar are favoured by the model with a 50% probability of victory, compared to 21% for Cordoba and 29% for the draw. Eibar's away form (4 wins from 5) and Cordoba's defensive record tip the balance.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cordoba vs Eibar?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 62%, supported by both teams' high season rates (Cordoba 80%, Eibar 77.8%) and their combined average of 3.4 goals per game.
Will both teams score in Cordoba vs Eibar?
There is a 57% chance of both teams scoring, as Cordoba have scored in all of their last five matches and Eibar have failed to score only once in nine games this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cordoba vs Eibar: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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