Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Motor Lublin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin: Match Preview
Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin meet in a mid-table clash with both sides seeking to establish momentum after inconsistent starts. Cracovia have collected 12 points from 11 matches (W3 D3 L5), but their recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five league outings (form string: DWLLL). Motor Lublin sit a point above with 13 from 12 (W3 D4 L5), but arrive on a stronger run, posting two wins and two draws in their last five (DWWDL) and scoring freely.
Statistically, this fixture sets up as a high-goal environment. Cracovia average 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per match, while Motor Lublin's figures are even more volatile at 1.42 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in a majority of their matches (Cracovia 54.6%, Motor 66.7%), and both have kept just two clean sheets apiece all season. Notably, both sides have a strong second-half scoring trend: Cracovia have scored 6 of their last 7 league goals after the interval, while Motor have netted 8 second-half goals in their last five.
The model expects an open contest with both teams likely to score and multiple lead changes possible. Neither side's defence inspires confidence, and both have produced high shot volumes in recent matches (Motor averaging 21.2 shots per game over the last five). Given the head-to-head history and current defensive frailties, a 2-2 draw emerges as the most probable outcome, with value concentrated in the goals and BTTS markets.
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin that most previews miss.
- 1Cracovia have seen both teams score in each of their last five league matches.
- 2Motor Lublin's away games average 3.6 total goals per match this season.
- 3Across the last four H2H meetings, three have produced at least four goals.
Who do you think wins: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have seen BTTS in 4+ of their last 5 league matches (Cracovia 5/5, Motor 4/5), and neither keeps clean sheets with any regularity (season clean sheet rates: 18% and 17%).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Season-long over 2.5 rates are high for both (Cracovia 54.6%, Motor 66.7%), and both average at least 1.4 goals conceded per game.
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Prediction
Both teams enter from mid-table positions separated by a single point, with Cracovia's home scoring (9 in 6) offset by a leaky defence and Motor's recent attacking surge (7 goals in last 3). The underlying rates point to a high-probability goal environment, with both attacks regularly finding the net but neither defence offering much resistance. Expect a contest shaped by open play and late goals, as both sides have shown a tendency to concede in the second half.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cracovia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 league matches.
- →Motor Lublin average 1.75 goals conceded per game this season.
Match Context
- →Both teams' over 2.5 goal percentages exceed 54%.
🚩 Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Cracovia Krakow and 4.8 for Motor Lublin, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Motor Lublinlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cracovia's recent form is mixed, with only one win in their last five league matches and a run of five straight games without a clean sheet. Motor Lublin, by contrast, have gathered momentum with two wins and two draws in their last five, scoring at least twice in each of their last three league outings.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 21 shots/game
What History Says: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin
The four most recent meetings have been high-scoring, averaging 3.75 goals per game. Cracovia's 6-2 home win and the 3-3 draw in Lublin highlight the attacking potential on both sides, while away teams have won twice in this short series.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Cracovia Krakow wins
1
Draws
1
Motor Lublin wins
Things to Watch: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Sample size for head-to-head is small (4 matches).
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cracovia Krakow 2–2 Motor LublinA 2-2 draw is the likeliest result, underpinned by both teams' high BTTS and over 2.5 rates and their inability to keep clean sheets. The single strongest data point is that both have seen BTTS in at least four of their last five, but the main risk is if either attack underperforms against a soft defence, leading to a lower total.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin: Common Questions
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
The model rates this as a near coin-flip: 36% home win, 32% draw, and 32% away win. Both teams are mid-table with similar records, so no clear favourite emerges.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
Yes is favoured at 66%, as both teams have seen BTTS in at least four of their last five league games and neither keeps clean sheets consistently.
How many goals are expected in Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
The model gives a 59% probability to over 2.5 goals, with both teams' matches regularly exceeding this line (Cracovia 54.6%, Motor 66.7% over 2.5). A 2-2 scoreline is the single most likely result.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.