Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Predictions

Wisla Plock
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2

Piast Gliwice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Piast Gliwice Win
Recommended Bets: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice: Match Preview
Wisla Plock enter this fixture in 10th place with 14 points from 10 matches, having won three of their last four league outings, including a narrow 1-0 home victory over Radomiak Radom. Piast Gliwice, sitting two places higher in 8th with 17 points from 11 games, have shown greater attacking output and have lost just once in their last four league matches. Both clubs are within striking distance of the top half, making this a significant test for mid-table ambitions.
Statistically, Piast Gliwice's attack is more productive, averaging 1.73 goals per game and 11 shots per match, while Wisla Plock's defence concedes at a rate of 1.5 per game. However, Piast's away attack is less prolific (1.0 per away match), and their defence is similarly vulnerable (1.2 conceded away). Wisla Plock's home record is balanced (2W, 1D, 1L, 4:3 GF/GA), and their last five matches average 1.8 goals scored, mirroring Piast's recent output. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in roughly half their games (Wisla Plock 50%, Piast 54.6%), and BTTS has landed in four of Piast's last five.
The model projects a moderate goal environment, with a slight edge to Piast Gliwice based on their season-long scoring rates and historical head-to-head advantage. Expect a match where both teams create chances, but Piast's superior conversion and recent form give them the edge in a likely 2-1 away win.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice that most previews miss.
- 1Piast Gliwice have seen both teams score in four of their last five league matches.
- 2Wisla Plock's home matches average just 1.75 total goals (4 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games), but their last five overall average 2.8 per game.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have been won by the away side, with only one draw in that span.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Piast Gliwice Win
Piast Gliwice's away scoring rate (1.0 goals per away game) is modest, but their overall attacking output (1.73 per game) and a superior recent form string (DWLLW) against a Wisla Plock side conceding 1.5 per match tilt the balance towards the visitors. Six wins in the last ten head-to-heads also underline their historical edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average above 1.5 goals conceded per game and Piast Gliwice have seen over 2.5 in 54.6% of their matches this season. The recent five-game averages for both teams (1.8 goals scored apiece) suggest a higher-than-average goal environment.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Prediction
A mid-table clash with both sides showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Piast Gliwice's superior scoring rate and historical head-to-head dominance give them a statistical edge, but Wisla Plock's recent home improvement keeps the contest competitive. Expect a match shaped by high shot volumes and a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Piast Gliwice average 1.73 goals scored per league match, compared to Wisla Plock's 1.0.
Defence
- →Wisla Plock have conceded 1.5 goals per game this season, with only 30% clean sheets.
Match Context
- →Six of the last ten head-to-heads have been won by Piast Gliwice.
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Wisla Plock and 4 for Piast Gliwice, for an expected total of 8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 41% · Over 10.5: 18%.
How Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Plock have won three of their last four league matches, including back-to-back home victories, and are averaging 1.8 goals scored over their last five. Piast Gliwice's recent form is mixed but positive, with two wins and a draw in their last four and no failures to score in their last five. Both sides are trending upwards in attack, but defensive issues persist.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning six of the last ten meetings, including three away wins. Only one of the last ten has ended in a draw, and most matches have been settled by narrow margins, with several 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Wisla Plock wins
1
Draws
6
Piast Gliwice wins
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent results include friendlies, which may not fully reflect competitive form.
- ⚠️Piast Gliwice's away scoring rate (1.0 per game) is lower than their overall average, adding uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Plock 1–2 Piast GliwiceThe model favours a 2-1 away win for Piast Gliwice, driven primarily by their superior season-long scoring rate (1.73 per game) and a strong head-to-head record. The main risk is Piast's lower away scoring average and Wisla Plock's recent defensive improvement at home, which could keep the contest tighter than projected.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice?
Piast Gliwice are given a 40% probability of victory, compared to 28% for Wisla Plock and 32% for the draw. This edge is based on Piast's higher scoring rate and a strong head-to-head record.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice?
There is a 55% probability that both teams will score, as Piast Gliwice have seen BTTS in four of their last five league matches and both sides average over 1.5 goals conceded per game.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57%, with both teams averaging above 1.5 goals scored in their last five and Piast's matches going over 2.5 in 54.6% of cases this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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