Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Cray Wanderers
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Chippenham Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town
Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town: Match Preview
Cray Wanderers and Chippenham Town enter this FA Cup clash with identical unbeaten league records (2 wins, 2 draws), each conceding less than a goal per game. Cray come off a 2-0 away win at Maidstone United, showing defensive solidity, while Chippenham have been more inconsistent in attack, drawing 0-0 at Yate Town last time out and failing to score in two of their last five.
Statistically, the teams are near-mirror images: both average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per league match. Cray have been marginally more effective at home, conceding just once in two home games, while Chippenham's away record (3 goals scored, 1 conceded in two matches) suggests a compact approach on the road. The majority of goals for both sides arrive after half-time, with only a single first-half goal for Cray and two for Chippenham in their last five, indicating that the opening 45 minutes could be cagey.
Given these underlying rates, the model expects a low-scoring, tightly contested match, with neither side likely to dominate. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the statistical favourite, reflecting the balanced attacking and defensive outputs and the tendency for both teams to grow into games after the break.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town that most previews miss.
- 1Cray Wanderers have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches this season.
- 2Chippenham Town have failed to score in two of their last five matches despite averaging 1.5 goals per game overall.
- 3Across both teams' last ten matches combined, eight have seen both teams score.
Who do you think wins: Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game in the league, while three of their last five matches have seen both teams score. The model rates 1-1 as the single most likely outcome at 24%.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Cray Wanderers have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches and Chippenham Town in 50%, with both sides showing a strong defensive record (0.75 goals conceded per game).
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town Prediction
This FA Cup tie brings together two sides with matching league records, each unbeaten in their opening four fixtures and averaging 1.5 goals scored per game. Cray Wanderers have shown resilience, remaining undefeated and keeping two clean sheets in their last five, while Chippenham Town arrive with a slightly more conservative attack, failing to score in two of their last five but also conceding only once in their last three. The statistical matchup points to a low-scoring contest. Both teams' season averages are identical for goals scored and conceded, and Cray's home games and Chippenham's away outings have both been tight, with only three goals conceded between them in four combined matches. The majority of goals for both sides have come after the break, with Cray netting just once in the first half across their last five and Chippenham twice, suggesting a slow start is likely. With both teams' underlying rates so closely matched and neither side showing a clear attacking edge, the model projects a balanced game with a high probability of a draw and a moderate chance of both teams finding the net. The most likely scenario is a cautious first half followed by a more open second period, ending in a 1-1 scoreline.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Both teams average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per league game.
- →Cray Wanderers have kept two clean sheets in their last five matches; Chippenham Town just one.
Match Context
- →Neither side has lost in the league this season, both with 2W 2D 0L records.
How Cray Wanderers and Chippenham Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Cray Wandererslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chippenham Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Cray Wanderers are unbeaten in their last five, with a form string of WDDLW and two clean sheets, showing consistency at both ends. Chippenham Town have also avoided defeat in their last five (DLWDW), but have failed to score in two of those, hinting at some attacking inconsistency. Both teams' league campaigns have started solidly, each with two wins and two draws.
Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Things to Watch: Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head data or league standings available for cross-checking relative strength.
- ⚠️Absence of shot, possession, and set-piece data limits granularity of attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cray Wanderers 1–1 Chippenham TownThe model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely outcome, driven by both teams' identical scoring and concession rates (1.5 for, 0.75 against per game) and a pattern of low-scoring league matches. The key risk is that either side's defence falters under cup pressure, opening the door for a higher-scoring result than the underlying rates suggest.
Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town: Common Questions
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town?
The model gives Cray Wanderers a 32% chance to win, Chippenham Town a 31% chance, and the draw a 37% probability. The teams' matching records and goal rates suggest a very even contest.
Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town?
There's a 54% probability that both teams will score, with each side averaging at least a goal per game and three of their last five matches featuring goals for both.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Yes, the model rates under 2.5 goals at 62%, reflecting Cray's 75% under 2.5 rate in league play and both teams' strong defensive records.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cray Wanderers vs Chippenham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.