Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Crowborough Athletic

Crowborough Athletic

Full Time

1 - 2

AI predicted 2 - 1

Wimborne Town

Wimborne Town

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Crowborough Athletic 41%Draw 33%Wimborne Town 26%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Crowborough Athletic Win

Match Result

7/10

Wimborne Town Edge Crowborough Athletic in FA Cup Thriller

Wimborne Town advanced in the FA Cup with a hard-fought 2-1 away victory over Crowborough Athletic. In a closely contested match, both teams battled for supremacy, but it was the visitors who ultimately made their chances count. Despite the home side’s spirited effort, Crowborough Athletic fell just short in front of their supporters. With neither side able to dominate statistically or on the scoreboard for long, the match was decided by key moments of composure and clinical finishing from Wimborne Town. The absence of bookings underscored a fair, open contest, but it was the visitors’ sharper edge in front of goal that proved decisive.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 1

⚡

Actual

1 - 2

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

1X2 — Crowborough Athletic
❓
Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5
✅
Both Teams To Score — Yes
✅

Key Moments

N/A' — Goal

Wimborne Town open the scoring, seizing the early initiative.

N/A' — Goal

Crowborough Athletic respond with an equalizer, reigniting the contest.

N/A' — Goal

Wimborne Town restore their lead, which ultimately proves decisive.

Crowborough Athletic

Crowborough Athletic

6.5/10

Crowborough Athletic delivered a spirited display, pushing Wimborne Town throughout the match and managing to find the net once. However, they struggled to convert pressure into clear chances and ultimately fell short by the narrowest of margins. Their attacking efforts kept the contest alive, but defensive lapses at crucial moments proved costly. Despite not picking up any cards, Crowborough Athletic’s inability to capitalize on key opportunities and their vulnerability at the back were decisive factors in their cup exit.

Strengths

Resilience and fighting spiritDisciplined play (no cards received)

Weaknesses

Lack of clinical finishingDefensive lapses at key moments
Wimborne Town

Wimborne Town

7.5/10

Wimborne Town showed composure on the road, taking their chances to secure a 2-1 win and progress in the FA Cup. Their ability to find the net twice proved the difference, as they managed the game well and kept their discipline throughout. The visitors’ attacking efficiency and defensive organization were evident, even as Crowborough pressed for an equalizer late on. A professional performance with no bookings, Wimborne Town’s sharper finishing and game management saw them through a tricky away tie.

Strengths

Clinical finishingComposed game managementSolid defensive organization

Weaknesses

Allowed the home side back into the gameOccasional lapses in concentration

Tactical Analysis

With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to approach the match with attacking intent, as reflected in the 2-1 scoreline. The absence of cards suggests a fair, open game, with both sides focusing on football rather than physicality. Wimborne Town’s ability to strike twice away from home hints at an effective forward line and a tactical setup that allowed them to exploit Crowborough’s defensive vulnerabilities. Crowborough Athletic, meanwhile, showed resilience to get back into the match but lacked the cutting edge to turn pressure into goals. Both teams’ discipline and willingness to play on the front foot made for an engaging contest, but Wimborne Town’s sharper execution in key moments was the difference.

Turning Point

Wimborne Town’s second goal, which restored their lead and ultimately sealed their progression, proved to be the decisive moment.

Man of the Match

Unavailable

With no individual player data provided, the award goes collectively to Wimborne Town’s attack for making the difference.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: Match Preview

Crowborough Athletic enter this FA Cup tie on the back of a five-match unbeaten run in the competition, having scored three or more in three of their last four. Their attack leads the sample with 2.5 goals per game this season, and they have yet to fail to score. Wimborne Town, by contrast, have drawn four of their last five and managed just one win, with only 0.6 goals scored per match in that stretch and three matches ending goalless for them.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by Crowborough’s high output against a Wimborne defence that has kept four clean sheets in five. The home side’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, and both teams have scored in all of their last five. Wimborne’s away record is more robust defensively, conceding just two in two games, but their attack has struggled, especially on the road. The lack of clean sheets for Crowborough suggests Wimborne may find a goal despite their recent struggles.

The model expects Crowborough’s attacking rate to tilt the balance, projecting a moderately high-scoring contest with the home side more likely to edge it. The likeliest path is Crowborough exploiting their scoring momentum, but Wimborne’s defensive discipline could keep it tight, especially in the first half. The most probable outcomes are 2-1 or 1-1, with goals expected at both ends but the home side’s firepower decisive.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Crowborough Athletic1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Wimborne Town1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Win Probability
Crowborough Athletic 44% Draw 25% Wimborne Town 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

51%

BTTS: Yes

54%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
41%
33%
26%
Crowborough Athletic 41%Draw 33%Wimborne Town 26%
Both Teams to Score
53%
47%
Yes 53%No 47%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Crowborough Athletic have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game in that span.
  • 2Wimborne Town have failed to score in three of their last five outings, but have kept four clean sheets in that same period.
  • 3Crowborough’s season matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, compared to just 25% for Wimborne.

Who do you think wins: Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Prediction

This tie features a high-scoring Crowborough Athletic side at home against a Wimborne Town outfit with a defensive streak but limited attacking output. The statistical shape is defined by Crowborough’s 2.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match, against Wimborne’s 1.25 scored and just 0.75 conceded. Expect a contest where the home side’s attacking rate tests the visitors’ recent defensive solidity, with the goal environment likely above average.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Wimborne Town have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Attack

  • →Crowborough Athletic average 2.5 goals scored per game this season, highest in the sample.

Defence

  • →Crowborough have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, with BTTS in all.

How Crowborough Athletic and Wimborne Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Crowborough AthleticCrowborough Athleticlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Wimborne TownWimborne Townlast 5 matches
W. Fletcher
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. Munn
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Walker
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Williams
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Sullivan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Crowborough Athletic arrive in strong attacking form, unbeaten in their last four FA Cup matches and averaging 2.4 goals per game across their last five. Wimborne Town, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net, failing to score in three of their last five, but have kept four clean sheets and remain unbeaten in their last five competitive matches.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town — Last 5 Matches

Crowborough AthleticCrowborough AthleticLast 5 results
L1-2
W3-1
D3-3
W3-2
D1-1
Lvs Wimborne Town1-2
Wvs Hampton & Richmond3-1
D@ Hampton & Richmond3-3
W@ Whyteleafe3-2
Dvs Whyteleafe1-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Wimborne TownWimborne TownLast 5 results
W2-1
D1-1
D1-1
W3-1
D0-0
W@ Crowborough Athletic2-1
Dvs Weston-super-Mare1-1
D@ Weston-super-Mare1-1
W@ Portishead Town3-1
Dvs Portishead Town0-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game

What History Says: Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town

There is no available head-to-head data for this fixture, so no historical patterns or dominant trends can be referenced for this matchup.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Crowborough Athletic wins

0

Draws

1

Wimborne Town wins

0%0% draws100%
3 Oct 26Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town1-2

Things to Watch: Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
  • ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data; relative team strength is inferred from recent results and scoring rates.
  • ⚠️Absence of shot, possession, and set-piece data reduces confidence in tactical and set-piece predictions.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Crowborough Athletic 2–1 Wimborne Town

The model projects a 2-1 win for Crowborough Athletic, with the home side’s 2.5 goals per game average the strongest factor in their favour. The main risk lies in Wimborne Town’s defensive record—four clean sheets in five—potentially suppressing the goal count or holding out for a draw if Crowborough’s attack underperforms.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: Common Questions

Who will win Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

Crowborough Athletic are favoured with a 41% probability of victory, compared to 26% for Wimborne Town and 33% for the draw. The home side’s stronger attacking rate gives them the edge.

Will both teams score in Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

Both teams to score is rated at 53% probability. Crowborough have seen BTTS in all of their last five, while Wimborne have failed to score in three but face a home defence yet to keep a clean sheet.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 54% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by Crowborough’s matches averaging 4.25 total goals and their 75% over 2.5 rate this season, though Wimborne’s defensive record tempers the probability.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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