Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Crowborough Athletic

Crowborough Athletic

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Wimborne Town

Wimborne Town

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Crowborough Athletic 41%Draw 33%Wimborne Town 26%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Crowborough Athletic Win

Recommended Bets: Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town

Match Result: Crowborough Athletic Win
6/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
5/10

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: Match Preview

Crowborough Athletic enter this FA Cup tie on the back of a five-match unbeaten run in the competition, having scored three or more in three of their last four. Their attack leads the sample with 2.5 goals per game this season, and they have yet to fail to score. Wimborne Town, by contrast, have drawn four of their last five and managed just one win, with only 0.6 goals scored per match in that stretch and three matches ending goalless for them.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by Crowborough’s high output against a Wimborne defence that has kept four clean sheets in five. The home side’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, and both teams have scored in all of their last five. Wimborne’s away record is more robust defensively, conceding just two in two games, but their attack has struggled, especially on the road. The lack of clean sheets for Crowborough suggests Wimborne may find a goal despite their recent struggles.

The model expects Crowborough’s attacking rate to tilt the balance, projecting a moderately high-scoring contest with the home side more likely to edge it. The likeliest path is Crowborough exploiting their scoring momentum, but Wimborne’s defensive discipline could keep it tight, especially in the first half. The most probable outcomes are 2-1 or 1-1, with goals expected at both ends but the home side’s firepower decisive.

🎮 Prediction Playground

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Crowborough Athletic1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Wimborne Town1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Win Probability
Crowborough Athletic 44% Draw 25% Wimborne Town 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

51%

BTTS: Yes

54%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
41%
33%
26%
Crowborough Athletic 41%Draw 33%Wimborne Town 26%
Both Teams to Score
53%
47%
Yes 53%No 47%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Crowborough Athletic have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game in that span.
  • 2Wimborne Town have failed to score in three of their last five outings, but have kept four clean sheets in that same period.
  • 3Crowborough’s season matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, compared to just 25% for Wimborne.

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The Case For This Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Prediction

This tie features a high-scoring Crowborough Athletic side at home against a Wimborne Town outfit with a defensive streak but limited attacking output. The statistical shape is defined by Crowborough’s 2.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match, against Wimborne’s 1.25 scored and just 0.75 conceded. Expect a contest where the home side’s attacking rate tests the visitors’ recent defensive solidity, with the goal environment likely above average.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Wimborne Town have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Attack

  • →Crowborough Athletic average 2.5 goals scored per game this season, highest in the sample.

Defence

  • →Crowborough have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, with BTTS in all.

How Crowborough Athletic and Wimborne Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Crowborough AthleticCrowborough Athleticlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Wimborne TownWimborne Townlast 5 matches
W. Fletcher
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Sullivan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Crowborough Athletic arrive in strong attacking form, unbeaten in their last four FA Cup matches and averaging 2.4 goals per game across their last five. Wimborne Town, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net, failing to score in three of their last five, but have kept four clean sheets and remain unbeaten in their last five competitive matches.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town — Last 4 Matches

Crowborough AthleticCrowborough AthleticLast 4 results
W3-1
D3-3
W3-2
D1-1
Wvs Hampton & Richmond3-1
D@ Hampton & Richmond3-3
W@ Whyteleafe3-2
Dvs Whyteleafe1-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Wimborne TownWimborne TownLast 4 results
D1-1
D1-1
W3-1
D0-0
Dvs Weston-super-Mare1-1
D@ Weston-super-Mare1-1
W@ Portishead Town3-1
Dvs Portishead Town0-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches

Things to Watch: Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
  • ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data; relative team strength is inferred from recent results and scoring rates.
  • ⚠️Absence of shot, possession, and set-piece data reduces confidence in tactical and set-piece predictions.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Crowborough Athletic 2–1 Wimborne Town

The model projects a 2-1 win for Crowborough Athletic, with the home side’s 2.5 goals per game average the strongest factor in their favour. The main risk lies in Wimborne Town’s defensive record—four clean sheets in five—potentially suppressing the goal count or holding out for a draw if Crowborough’s attack underperforms.

Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: Common Questions

Who will win Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

Crowborough Athletic are favoured with a 41% probability of victory, compared to 26% for Wimborne Town and 33% for the draw. The home side’s stronger attacking rate gives them the edge.

Will both teams score in Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

Both teams to score is rated at 53% probability. Crowborough have seen BTTS in all of their last five, while Wimborne have failed to score in three but face a home defence yet to keep a clean sheet.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 54% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by Crowborough’s matches averaging 4.25 total goals and their 75% over 2.5 rate this season, though Wimborne’s defensive record tempers the probability.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Crowborough Athletic vs Wimborne Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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