CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CS Sfaxien
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
ES Sahel
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.40
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: CS Sfaxien Win
CS Sfaxien are in excellent form with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5, have a strong home record (10W-2D-2L), and boast the league's best defense. ES Sahel have lost 3 of their last 5 and struggle away (3W-5D-6L, 19 conceded).
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have a season over 2.5 goals rate of just 27.6%. Sfaxien concede just 0.41 per game and 4 of their last 5 have finished under 2.5. H2H also trends low scoring.
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BTTS: No
Sfaxien have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 and have the highest clean sheet % in the league, while Sahel have failed to score in 1 of their last 5 and average less than 1 goal per away game.
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The Case For This CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Prediction
CS Sfaxien come into this fixture in dominant form, riding a 5-match unbeaten run with 4 wins and a draw, and are especially formidable at home. ES Sahel, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, losing 3 of their last 5 and leaking goals on the road. With both sides tending toward low-scoring matches and Sfaxien's elite defensive record, this is likely to be a tight contest where the hosts are favored to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →CS Sfaxien: 4 wins, 1 draw in last 5, 4 clean sheets, only 0.2 goals conceded per game in that span
- →Sfaxien season clean sheet rate: 69%
- →H2H last 5: 4/5 under 2.5 goals, 3/5 Sfaxien clean sheets
Match Context
- →Sfaxien home record: 10W-2D-2L, 24:6 goal difference
- →ES Sahel away: 3W-5D-6L, 12:19 goal difference
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal %: 27.6%
How CS Sfaxien and ES Sahel Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CS Sfaxienlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Sahellast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CS Sfaxien are on a strong run, unbeaten in five with four wins and a draw, and have conceded just once in that stretch. ES Sahel have been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses and conceding 1.8 goals per game in their last five, including two away defeats.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +68.97% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +48.28% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel
Head-to-head clashes between these sides are typically close, with 4 of the last 5 matches ending 1-0 or 0-0. Sfaxien have had the edge in recent meetings, especially away, but home advantage could be decisive here.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
CS Sfaxien wins
2
Draws
4
ES Sahel wins
Things to Watch: CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches, increasing uncertainty on secondary markets.
- ⚠️Lineups not released; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Tunisia Ligue 1 can be low-event; a single early goal could change the match dynamic.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.