Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Predictions
Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Qingdao Jonoon
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dalian Zhixing Win
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon: Match Preview
Dalian Zhixing approach this fixture with momentum on their side, having taken eight points from their last five matches (DWDLW) and climbing to third in the table. Their recent run includes a hard-fought away win and a pair of clean sheets, while their only defeat came against a top-half side. Qingdao Jonoon, in stark contrast, are rooted to the foot of the table and arrive on a five-game losing streak, their form string (LLLLL) highlighting a team in freefall and in desperate need of a spark.
Statistically, the matchup tilts heavily towards the hosts. Dalian have built their home success on defensive improvement—conceding just three across their last three—and have failed to score only once at home all season. Jonoon's away woes are glaring: just one win from 13, and a defence that has leaked 32 goals on the road. Dalian's ability to strike early (three first-half goals in five) could be telling against a Jonoon side yet to register a second-half goal in their last five outings. Set pieces may also play a role, with Dalian averaging over four corners per game recently.
Given the stark form trajectories, the model expects Dalian to dictate play, break the deadlock before half-time, and see out a controlled win. Jonoon's lack of attacking threat and porous away defence suggest another blank on their travels, while Dalian's recent defensive discipline points to a low-scoring home victory.
How Dalian Zhixing and Qingdao Jonoon Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Dalian Zhixinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Qingdao Jonoonlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Dalian Zhixing are trending upward, taking eight points from their last five and tightening up defensively, with two clean sheets and no games without scoring. Qingdao Jonoon, by contrast, have lost five straight, failed to score in three, and look short of confidence at both ends. The form gap between the sides is as wide as any in the division right now.
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Jonoon have failed to score a single second-half goal in their last five matches.
- 2Dalian Zhixing have kept two clean sheets in their last three, after managing just one in their previous eight.
- 3Jonoon's away record is the league's worst: 1 win, 1 draw, 11 losses, and 32 goals conceded in 13 outings.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.85
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction
Momentum is everything in this clash: Dalian Zhixing ride a wave of positive results, while Qingdao Jonoon are mired in a deep rut. Dalian's recent form string of DWDLW includes a gritty away win and a pair of clean sheets, showing a newfound resilience at the back. In contrast, Jonoon's five straight defeats have come with a worrying lack of attacking punch, failing to score in three and conceding at least two in four of those outings. The tactical contrast is clear. Dalian's attack is not prolific (1 goal per game last five), but their home record is formidable (8 wins from 12) and their defence has tightened. Jonoon, meanwhile, have shipped 2 goals per game in their last five and average 2.46 conceded per away game across the season. Dalian's ability to strike early—scoring three first-half goals in their last five—could be decisive against a Jonoon side that hasn't scored after the break in five matches. Expect Dalian to control the tempo, using their midfield to limit Jonoon's chances and capitalise on set pieces (4.2 corners per game last five). Unless Jonoon can break their attacking malaise, the form lines point strongly to a home win and another clean sheet for the hosts.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Dalian Zhixing have lost just once in their last five (DWDLW), including two clean sheets and no failed-to-score games.
- →Qingdao Jonoon are on a five-match losing streak, failing to score in three and conceding 2+ in four.
- →Dalian have an 8W-1D-3L home record; Jonoon's away record is 1W-1D-11L with 32 conceded in 13.
Where the Model Sees Value: Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dalian Zhixing Win
Dalian Zhixing have lost just once in their last five and boast an 8W-1D-3L home record, while Qingdao Jonoon arrive on a five-match losing streak with only one away win all season (1W-1D-11L). The form gap is stark, with Dalian's defensive improvement (two clean sheets in five) contrasting with Jonoon's average of two goals conceded per game over the same span.
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BTTS: No
Qingdao Jonoon have failed to score in three of their last five and have not scored a second-half goal in that stretch, while Dalian Zhixing have kept two clean sheets and conceded just one goal in each of their last three matches.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Despite season-long high over 2.5 rates (Dalian 56%, Jonoon 58%), both sides have averaged just 1.4 total goals in Dalian's last five and 2.4 in Jonoon's, with the visitors' attack looking particularly blunt of late.
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More Super League Predictions
🚩 Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Dalian Zhixing and 3.7 for Qingdao Jonoon, for an expected total of 8.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (63%). Over 8.5: 50% · Over 10.5: 26%.
What History Says: Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing have the upper hand at home in this matchup, winning 2-0 last season and drawing away, while Jonoon's only win came at home earlier this year. Notably, Jonoon have never scored away at Dalian in the Super League era, and each of the three meetings has produced at least two goals.
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
1
Dalian Zhixing wins
1
Draws
1
Qingdao Jonoon wins
Things to Watch: Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value/edge cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent goal output is low, but season-long over 2.5 rates are high, suggesting volatility.
- ⚠️No injury or suspension news, but late changes to lineups could impact defensive solidity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Qingdao JonoonThe model calls a 2-0 win for Dalian Zhixing, with the single strongest data point being Jonoon's five-match losing streak and complete absence of second-half goals in that run. The most plausible way this forecast goes wrong is if Dalian's attack again struggles for cutting edge and Jonoon nick a goal from a set piece, but the form lines and home/away splits are overwhelmingly in the hosts' favour.
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon: Common Questions
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Dalian Zhixing are strong favourites with a 61% win probability, driven by their eight points from five and Jonoon's five straight defeats. Qingdao Jonoon's away record (1W-1D-11L) and lack of recent goals make an upset unlikely.
Will both teams score in Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Both teams to score is rated at just 29%. Jonoon have failed to score in three of their last five and have not found the net after half-time in that span, while Dalian have kept two clean sheets in three.
Can Dalian Zhixing's strong form continue?
Dalian Zhixing have lost only once in their last five (DWDLW) and have an 8W-1D-3L home record. With Jonoon on a five-match losing streak and struggling for goals, Dalian's momentum is expected to continue here.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.