Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United Predictions
FA Cup · England
Dartford
Full Time
4 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Hayes & Yeading United
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
8/10Dartford Outgun Hayes & Yeading in Six-Goal FA Cup Thriller
Dartford surged into the next round of the FA Cup with an emphatic 4-2 victory over Hayes & Yeading United in a pulsating encounter. The home side's attacking prowess proved decisive as they outscored their visitors in a match that delivered goals and entertainment in abundance. Despite a spirited effort from Hayes & Yeading, Dartford's clinical finishing made the difference. While both teams showed attacking intent, Dartford ultimately pulled away, capitalizing on their chances to build an unassailable lead. Hayes & Yeading managed to find the net twice, but their defensive frailties were exposed by a rampant Dartford frontline. With no cards shown and both teams playing open football, the match was a showcase for attacking play.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
4 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Dartford open the scoring to set the tone for an attacking contest.
N/A' — Goal
Hayes & Yeading respond to keep themselves in the match.
N/A' — Goal
Dartford restore their lead and begin to pull away.
N/A' — Goal
Dartford extend their advantage, making it difficult for the visitors to recover.
N/A' — Goal
Hayes & Yeading find a second goal, but Dartford's earlier strikes prove decisive.
Dartford
Dartford impressed with their attacking verve, scoring four times and controlling the key moments of the match. Their ability to keep their composure and maintain pressure on the Hayes & Yeading defense paid dividends, as they consistently found ways to break through. The home side's discipline was also notable, with no cards received and a professional approach throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hayes & Yeading United
Hayes & Yeading United showed plenty of attacking ambition, managing to score twice away from home. However, their defensive organization let them down, conceding four goals and struggling to contain Dartford's forwards. Despite their efforts, they were unable to mount a sustained comeback, with their vulnerabilities at the back ultimately proving costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both sides opting for attacking football, the match was played at a high tempo with chances at both ends. Dartford's ability to transition quickly and exploit gaps in the Hayes & Yeading defense was a key factor, as their forwards found space and finished clinically. Hayes & Yeading, for their part, pushed numbers forward in search of goals, but this left them exposed at the back and vulnerable to Dartford's counterattacks. The absence of cards suggested a relatively open and fair contest, with both teams focusing on positive play rather than physicality.
Turning Point
Dartford's third goal, which gave them a two-goal cushion and effectively put the match beyond Hayes & Yeading's reach.
Man of the Match
Dartford Forward
Instrumental in the win with decisive goals and a constant attacking threat.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United: Match Preview
Dartford approach this FA Cup tie off a mixed run, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five, but have steadied with a home win and clean sheet in their most recent outing. Hayes & Yeading United arrive on a two-game winning streak, including a 4-0 away victory in the FA Trophy, but their sample of competitive matches this season is limited, especially away from home. With both sides having kept two clean sheets in their last five, defensive solidity has been a recent theme.
Statistically, Dartford's matches have averaged just 2.2 total goals over the last five, and their season over 2.5 goal percentage sits at 0%. Hayes & Yeading United's games have been slightly more open, but their away record is untested this campaign. Both teams have failed to score in one of their last five, and neither side has established a pattern of high-scoring contests. The first half is likely to be particularly cagey, with only one first-half goal for Dartford in their last five matches.
The model anticipates a balanced, low-scoring encounter, with a 1-1 draw the likeliest outcome. Both sides' recent defensive numbers and lack of sustained attacking output suggest that a single goal could swing the tie, but the underlying rates point to a match that is more likely to be decided by fine margins than attacking fireworks.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United that most previews miss.
- 1Dartford have not seen a single match go over 2.5 goals in their current season (0% over 2.5).
- 2Hayes & Yeading United's last five matches average 3.0 total goals, but their only away fixture was a 4-0 win in the FA Trophy.
- 3Dartford have kept two clean sheets in their last three home matches across all competitions.
Who do you think wins: Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average between 1 and 2 goals scored per game and have similar defensive records, with Dartford conceding 1.2 and Hayes & Yeading United 1.4 per match over their last five. The draw probability is high at 0.37, and neither team has shown consistent attacking dominance.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Dartford's season over 2.5 goal percentage is 0%, and their games average just 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against. Hayes & Yeading United's recent matches have been more open, but the combined defensive rates and the cup context suggest a lower-scoring contest.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United Prediction
This fixture pairs two sides with similar recent defensive records and moderate attacking output, suggesting a tight contest with little to separate them. Dartford have kept two clean sheets in their last five, while Hayes & Yeading United have also managed two, but both sides have failed to score in one of their last five as well. The statistical shape of the match points to a low-scoring, cagey affair, where a single goal could prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Dartford's last five matches average 2.2 total goals per game, with two clean sheets.
- →Hayes & Yeading United have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last five, but only one away match in that span.
Match Context
- →Neither side has a strong over 2.5 goal trend: Dartford's season over 2.5% is 0%, Hayes & Yeading United's is 100% from a single sample.
How Dartford and Hayes & Yeading United Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Dartfordlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hayes & Yeading Unitedlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Dartford's recent form reads WDWLL, with two wins in their last three and a clean sheet in their most recent match. Hayes & Yeading United have won two in a row, including a 4-0 away win, but their overall sample is small and their away record this season is untested. Both sides have shown defensive improvement, each with two clean sheets in their last five.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United
There is no head-to-head data available for Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United, so no direct historical trends can be drawn for this fixture.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Dartford wins
0
Draws
0
Hayes & Yeading United wins
Things to Watch: Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data; relative league strength is inferred from recent form and cup results.
- ⚠️Limited sample size for both teams' current season records, especially for Hayes & Yeading United away from home.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dartford 1–1 Hayes & Yeading UnitedThe model calls this a 1-1 draw, driven by Dartford's low-scoring, defensively solid home record and Hayes & Yeading United's lack of away data but similar defensive profile. The strongest data point is Dartford's 0% over 2.5 goal rate this season, indicating a low goal ceiling. The main risk is Hayes & Yeading United's potential for volatility, as seen in their 4-0 away win, but the overall rates point to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United: Common Questions
Who will win Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United?
The model gives Dartford a 39% chance of victory, Hayes & Yeading United 24%, and the draw 37%. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting both sides' similar defensive numbers and lack of sustained attacking output.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 59% probability, with Dartford's season over 2.5 goal rate at 0% and both teams averaging just over a goal scored per game recently.
Are both teams likely to score in Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United?
Both teams to score is rated at 47%, with 'no' slightly more likely at 53%, based on Dartford's two clean sheets in five and Hayes & Yeading United's similar record.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dartford vs Hayes & Yeading United: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.