Dover vs Wealdstone Predictions
FA Cup · England
Dover
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Wealdstone
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Wealdstone Win
Recommended Bets: Dover vs Wealdstone
Dover vs Wealdstone: Match Preview
Dover enter this FA Cup tie having won two of their last five in all competitions, but defensive frailty is a clear theme: they have not kept a clean sheet in any of those matches and conceded in every FA Cup round so far. Wealdstone, meanwhile, arrive with three wins from their last five and a recent away win at Aldershot, suggesting a side capable of travelling well. Neither side has a dominant unbeaten streak, but Wealdstone's 3-0 FA Cup win over Worthing underlines their attacking potential in knockout football.
The statistical matchup leans toward goals: Dover average 3.0 scored and 1.67 conceded in this season's FA Cup, while Wealdstone matched that 3.0 goals scored in their only Cup outing and have kept three clean sheets in their last five overall. However, Dover's inability to shut out opponents and Wealdstone's 1.8 goals conceded per game across the last five suggest neither defence is watertight. The H2H record further supports an open contest, with the last two meetings at Dover ending 2-3 and 0-0, but the more recent trend is for high-scoring away wins.
The model projects a moderate goal environment (58% over 2.5) and a slight edge to Wealdstone (43% win probability), largely on the back of their superior defensive record and H2H success. With both attacks showing recent form but neither defence fully convincing, the likeliest scenario is a narrow Wealdstone away win, with both teams on the scoresheet.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Dover vs Wealdstone Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dover vs Wealdstone that most previews miss.
- 1Dover have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5 matches, but have not managed a single clean sheet in that span.
- 2Wealdstone's last 5 matches feature a stark split: 0 first-half goals, 7 second-half goals scored.
- 3The last two meetings at Dover have produced a combined 7 goals, both won by Wealdstone.
Who do you think wins: Dover vs Wealdstone?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Dover vs Wealdstone(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Wealdstone Win
Wealdstone's higher clean sheet rate (3 in last 5), stronger away scoring rate, and a positive recent H2H record (2 wins from last 4) combine for a 43% win probability, outpacing Dover's 25% home win likelihood.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen 100% over 2.5 goals in their FA Cup campaigns so far, with Dover averaging 3.0 scored and 1.67 conceded per game, and Wealdstone scoring 3.0 in their only Cup match.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Dover vs Wealdstone Prediction
Statistically, this tie features two sides with recent attacking output but defensive volatility. Dover's FA Cup run has been high-scoring but marked by a lack of clean sheets, while Wealdstone arrive with a blend of defensive resilience and a proven edge in this head-to-head.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 3.0 goals scored per FA Cup match this season.
Defence
- →Dover have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5 matches.
- →Wealdstone have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and won both recent away H2H meetings.
How Dover and Wealdstone Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dover vs Wealdstone Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Doverlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wealdstonelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dover's recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five and no clean sheets, but they have found the net in four of those games. Wealdstone, by contrast, have won three of their last five and boast three clean sheets, though they did suffer a heavy 0-6 defeat in that span, highlighting some volatility.
Dover vs Wealdstone — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Dover vs Wealdstone
Wealdstone have the upper hand in recent head-to-heads, winning both of their last two visits to Dover and scoring five goals across those matches. The fixture has also produced two goalless draws, but the recent trend is for open, away-dominated games.
Dover vs Wealdstone Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
0
Dover wins
2
Draws
2
Wealdstone wins
Things to Watch: Dover vs Wealdstone
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Standings data and full season away record for Wealdstone are missing, reducing confidence in away/neutral venue projections.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' FA Cup records inflates scoring rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dover 1–2 WealdstoneThe model calls this 2-1 to Wealdstone, anchored by their superior clean sheet rate (3 in last 5) and recent away H2H dominance. The biggest risk is Dover's capacity to score late goals at home, as seen in multiple recent matches, which could turn a likely away win into a draw or force extra time.
Dover vs Wealdstone: Common Questions
Who will win Dover vs Wealdstone?
Wealdstone are favoured with a 43% win probability, compared to Dover's 25%, based on their stronger recent clean sheet rate and a positive head-to-head record at Dover.
Will both teams score in Dover vs Wealdstone?
There's a 54% chance both teams score, with Dover seeing BTTS in 4 of their last 5 and Wealdstone's defence conceding in 2 of their last 5.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Dover vs Wealdstone?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58%, driven by both teams averaging at least 3.0 goals scored per FA Cup game and a history of high-scoring recent H2H meetings.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dover vs Wealdstone: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Dover vs Wealdstone Resources
Dover Predictions
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Wealdstone Predictions
All Wealdstone fixtures & tips
Dover vs Wealdstone Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results