Egham Town vs Chatham Town Predictions

Egham Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2

Chatham Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Chatham Town Win
Egham Town vs Chatham Town: Match Preview
Egham Town enter this FA Cup tie with a patchy recent record, having won just once in their last five outings (form string: LDDWD) and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match in that span. Their only win came at home to Moneyfields, and they have failed to score in one of their last five. Chatham Town, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from three consecutive league wins, scoring three goals in each of their last three matches and averaging 2.0 per game over their last five. Both sides are playing outside their regular league competition, but Chatham's current streak and attacking output stand out.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards a higher-than-average goal environment. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and their combined recent average is 3.2 goals per game. Chatham's attack has been particularly effective in the second half, netting six of their last nine goals after the break, while Egham's defensive record shows vulnerability, especially at home. With no recent season data or head-to-head record, the last five matches provide the clearest guide, and both teams' defensive frailties suggest chances at both ends.
The model expects Chatham Town's superior finishing and recent form to edge the contest, projecting a 2-1 away win. The likeliest scenario is a competitive first half, with Chatham's attacking depth making the difference after the interval. The absence of robust home/away splits or league form data adds uncertainty, but the underlying rates point to a moderately open match with the visitors more likely to progress.
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Expected goals ยท model says 1.20
Expected goals ยท model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above โ every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
Egham Town vs Chatham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Egham Town vs Chatham Town that most previews miss.
- 1Chatham Town have scored at least three goals in each of their last three competitive matches.
- 2Egham Town's last five matches have averaged 3.2 total goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games.
- 3Chatham Town have netted twice as many second-half goals (6) as first-half goals (3) across their last five.
Who do you think wins: Egham Town vs Chatham Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Egham Town vs Chatham Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Chatham Town Win
Chatham Town average 2 goals per game over their last five, with three consecutive wins, while Egham Town have managed just one win in five and conceded 1.6 per game; the away side's attacking rate and momentum justify favouring them.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen three of their last five matches finish with BTTS, and their combined last-5 average is 3.2 total goals per game, supporting a moderate lean to over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in three of their last five, and neither side is keeping clean sheets consistently, with Chatham conceding in four of five and Egham in three of five.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Egham Town vs Chatham Town Prediction
Chatham Town's recent attacking output and three-match winning streak give them the statistical edge over an Egham Town side that has struggled for results and consistency at the back. The rates point toward a competitive cup tie with a slight lean to the visitors, and the goal environment is above average for this level.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โBoth teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches
Attack
- โChatham Town averaging 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches
Defence
- โEgham Town have conceded 1.6 goals per game over their last five
How Egham Town and Chatham Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Egham Town vs Chatham Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.
No scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Egham Town's recent form is mixed, with just one win in their last five and a negative goal difference, while Chatham Town come in on a strong upward trajectory, having won three straight and scored nine goals in those matches. The visitors' attack looks sharper and more consistent at this stage.
Egham Town vs Chatham Town โ Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- โLeaky defence โ 2.6 conceded/game
- โNo clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form โ 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack โ 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Egham Town vs Chatham Town
There is no head-to-head data available for these clubs, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be referenced for this fixture.
Egham Town vs Chatham Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Egham Town wins
0
Draws
1
Chatham Town wins
Things to Watch: Egham Town vs Chatham Town
- โ ๏ธNo league table, home/away season splits, or head-to-head data available for cross-checking
- โ ๏ธRecent form is drawn from a mix of friendlies and late previous season fixtures, which may not fully reflect current strength
- โ ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available to confirm value or market consensus
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Egham Town 1โ2 Chatham TownThe model projects a 2-1 win for Chatham Town, driven by their 2.0 goals per game average over the last five and a three-match winning streak. The main risk is the lack of recent competitive data for Egham Town, which could mask improvement or regression since their last league fixtures.
Egham Town vs Chatham Town: Common Questions
Who will win Egham Town vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town are favoured, with a 47% probability of winning based on recent scoring rates and a three-match winning streak, while Egham Town are given a 26% chance and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Egham Town vs Chatham Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, as each side has seen BTTS in three of their last five matches and neither has kept more than two clean sheets in that span.
How many goals are expected in Egham Town vs Chatham Town?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability, with both teams combining for an average of 3.2 goals per game across their last five competitive fixtures.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Egham Town vs Chatham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.