Egham Town vs Chatham Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup ยท England
medium confidence
Egham Town

Egham Town

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Chatham Town

Chatham Town

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Egham Town 26%Draw 27%Chatham Town 47%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Chatham Town Win

Egham Town vs Chatham Town: Match Preview

Egham Town enter this FA Cup tie with a patchy recent record, having won just once in their last five outings (form string: LDDWD) and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match in that span. Their only win came at home to Moneyfields, and they have failed to score in one of their last five. Chatham Town, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from three consecutive league wins, scoring three goals in each of their last three matches and averaging 2.0 per game over their last five. Both sides are playing outside their regular league competition, but Chatham's current streak and attacking output stand out.

Statistically, the matchup tilts towards a higher-than-average goal environment. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and their combined recent average is 3.2 goals per game. Chatham's attack has been particularly effective in the second half, netting six of their last nine goals after the break, while Egham's defensive record shows vulnerability, especially at home. With no recent season data or head-to-head record, the last five matches provide the clearest guide, and both teams' defensive frailties suggest chances at both ends.

The model expects Chatham Town's superior finishing and recent form to edge the contest, projecting a 2-1 away win. The likeliest scenario is a competitive first half, with Chatham's attacking depth making the difference after the interval. The absence of robust home/away splits or league form data adds uncertainty, but the underlying rates point to a moderately open match with the visitors more likely to progress.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Egham Town1.20

Expected goals ยท model says 1.20

Chatham Town1.65

Expected goals ยท model says 1.65

Win Probability
Egham Town 28% Draw 24% Chatham Town 48%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Egham Town vs Chatham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
26%
27%
47%
Egham Town 26%Draw 27%Chatham Town 47%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Egham Town vs Chatham Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Chatham Town have scored at least three goals in each of their last three competitive matches.
  • 2Egham Town's last five matches have averaged 3.2 total goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games.
  • 3Chatham Town have netted twice as many second-half goals (6) as first-half goals (3) across their last five.

Who do you think wins: Egham Town vs Chatham Town?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More FA Cup Predictions

View all FA Cup predictions โ†’

The Case For This Egham Town vs Chatham Town Prediction

Chatham Town's recent attacking output and three-match winning streak give them the statistical edge over an Egham Town side that has struggled for results and consistency at the back. The rates point toward a competitive cup tie with a slight lean to the visitors, and the goal environment is above average for this level.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches

Attack

  • โ†’Chatham Town averaging 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches

Defence

  • โ†’Egham Town have conceded 1.6 goals per game over their last five

How Egham Town and Chatham Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Egham Town vs Chatham Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

Egham TownEgham Townlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Chatham TownChatham Townlast 5 matches
O. Evans
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. Wild
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. Lyons
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Stevenson
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Allen
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Egham Town's recent form is mixed, with just one win in their last five and a negative goal difference, while Chatham Town come in on a strong upward trajectory, having won three straight and scored nine goals in those matches. The visitors' attack looks sharper and more consistent at this stage.

Egham Town vs Chatham Town โ€” Last 1 Matches

Egham TownEgham TownLast 1 results
L0-4
Lvs Chatham Town0-4

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Concerns

  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 2.6 conceded/game
  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Chatham TownChatham TownLast 1 results
W4-0
W@ Egham Town4-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack โ€” 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +100% clean sheet rate this season
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

What History Says: Egham Town vs Chatham Town

There is no head-to-head data available for these clubs, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be referenced for this fixture.

Egham Town vs Chatham Town Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Egham Town wins

0

Draws

1

Chatham Town wins

0%0% draws100%
5 Sept 26Egham Town vs Chatham Town0-4

Things to Watch: Egham Town vs Chatham Town

  • โš ๏ธNo league table, home/away season splits, or head-to-head data available for cross-checking
  • โš ๏ธRecent form is drawn from a mix of friendlies and late previous season fixtures, which may not fully reflect current strength
  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available to confirm value or market consensus

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Egham Town 1โ€“2 Chatham Town

The model projects a 2-1 win for Chatham Town, driven by their 2.0 goals per game average over the last five and a three-match winning streak. The main risk is the lack of recent competitive data for Egham Town, which could mask improvement or regression since their last league fixtures.

Egham Town vs Chatham Town: Common Questions

Who will win Egham Town vs Chatham Town?

Chatham Town are favoured, with a 47% probability of winning based on recent scoring rates and a three-match winning streak, while Egham Town are given a 26% chance and the draw 27%.

Will both teams score in Egham Town vs Chatham Town?

Both teams to score is rated at 56%, as each side has seen BTTS in three of their last five matches and neither has kept more than two clean sheets in that span.

How many goals are expected in Egham Town vs Chatham Town?

Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability, with both teams combining for an average of 3.2 goals per game across their last five competitive fixtures.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Egham Town vs Chatham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Egham Town vs Chatham Town Resources