ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Metlaoui
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
JS Kairouanaise
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.40
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS: Yes
20%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have strong defensive records in recent matches and ES Metlaoui are draw specialists at home (9 draws in 14 home games). The low-scoring trend and high clean sheet rates for both sides make a draw a plausible outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average less than 1 goal scored per game and have among the lowest over 2.5% rates in the league. Their last 5 matches average under 1 goal conceded per game, and H2H history is dominated by low-scoring results.
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BTTS: No
Only 1 of ES Metlaoui's last 5 and 0 of JS Kairouanaise's last 5 have seen both teams score. Both have strong recent clean sheet records and low attacking output.
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The Case For This ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise Prediction
ES Metlaoui host JS Kairouanaise in a clash of two low-scoring, defensively solid sides. Metlaoui are unbeaten at home this season, drawing the majority of their matches, while Kairouanaise have recently found some form but still struggle for goals away. Expect a cagey contest with few clear chances and a high probability of a low-scoring draw or narrow home win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →JS Kairouanaise have lost 8 of 14 away games and scored only 8 away goals all season.
Defence
- →ES Metlaoui are unbeaten at home (5W, 9D, 0L) and have conceded only 7 goals in 14 home games.
- →Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head is dominated by low scores: 7 of last 10 meetings saw under 2.5 goals.
- →Metlaoui have the league's lowest over 2.5% (17.24%), Kairouanaise also low at 37.93%.
How ES Metlaoui and JS Kairouanaise Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Metlaouilast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
JS Kairouanaiselast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Metlaoui come into this match with a strong recent record, winning 3 of their last 5 and conceding just 2 goals in that span. Their only recent loss was away, and they remain unbeaten at home all season. JS Kairouanaise have also won 3 of their last 5, including back-to-back victories, but their away form remains weak and they have struggled to score consistently.
ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +51.72% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise
The head-to-head history strongly favors ES Metlaoui, especially at home where they have kept clean sheets in the last three meetings. Most matches between these sides are tight, defensive affairs, with 0-0, 1-0, and 2-0 being the most common outcomes.
ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
ES Metlaoui wins
4
Draws
1
JS Kairouanaise wins
Things to Watch: ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed for this fixture.
- ⚠️Low attacking output increases draw and 0-0 risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Metlaoui vs JS Kairouanaise: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.