ES Setif vs Témouchent Predictions
Ligue 1 · Algeria
ES Setif
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Témouchent
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
ES Setif vs Témouchent: Match Preview
ES Setif and Témouchent enter this fixture separated by a single point in the Ligue 1 table, with Setif sitting 7th (3 points) and Témouchent just above in 6th (4 points). Setif’s form string reads WLL, with their only win a 5-1 home demolition of CS Constantine, while Témouchent arrive off a 1-0 home win and have lost just once in three. Both sides are still establishing their identities early in the campaign, and neither has found sustained attacking rhythm.
The statistical shape of this matchup is defined by low goal output and defensive discipline. ES Setif’s home games are averaging 2.5 goals, but this is inflated by a single high-scoring result; they’ve failed to score in two of their last five. Témouchent’s away record is sparse but telling: one match, no goals scored, two conceded. Both teams’ season averages (Setif 1.67 scored/1 conceded, Témouchent 0.67 scored/1 conceded) and their combined over 2.5 goal rate (16.7%) point to a contest likely to be decided by a single goal, with the first half especially cagey (only 4 first-half goals combined in their last 10 matches).
The model projects a controlled home performance, with Setif’s higher shot volume and home advantage tipping the balance. Témouchent’s defensive structure should keep the scoreline tight, but their lack of away attacking output limits their upside. Expect a low-scoring affair, with Setif’s probability of a clean sheet (78% chance at least one team fails to score) the defining factor.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Setif vs Témouchent Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Setif vs Témouchent that most previews miss.
- 1Témouchent’s matches have yet to see over 2.5 goals this season (0% over 2.5 in league play).
- 2ES Setif have scored 5 of their 6 goals at home, but failed to score in two of their last five matches.
- 3Only 2 of the last 10 combined matches for these teams have seen both teams score.
Who do you think wins: ES Setif vs Témouchent?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Setif vs Témouchent(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have combined for just 8 goals in 6 league matches this season, and Témouchent’s matches have yet to see more than two goals (season over 2.5%: 0%).
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BTTS: No
Only one of ES Setif’s and one of Témouchent’s last five matches saw both teams score, with both sides averaging under 1 goal conceded per game.
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Match Result: ES Setif Win
ES Setif’s home attack (5 goals in 2 home games) contrasts with Témouchent’s away record (0 goals scored, 2 conceded in their only away game), giving the hosts a statistical edge.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Setif vs Témouchent Prediction
A low-scoring contest is projected, with ES Setif’s home scoring rate offset by Témouchent’s defensive approach and lack of away attacking threat. The model expects a narrow home victory, with the most likely scenario being a single-goal margin and a high chance of at least one clean sheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →ES Setif average 2.5 goals scored per home game so far, but have failed to score in two of their last five overall.
Defence
- →Témouchent have yet to score away and have conceded only twice in three league matches.
Match Context
- →Both teams’ matches have produced under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 combined league games.
How ES Setif and Témouchent Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Setif vs Témouchent Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ES Setiflast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Témouchentlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Setif’s recent form is mixed, with a heavy home win sandwiched between two defeats, while Témouchent have lost just once in five and come off a 1-0 home victory. Both sides have shown defensive stability, with Setif conceding only three in three and Témouchent keeping three clean sheets in their last five.
ES Setif vs Témouchent — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: ES Setif vs Témouchent
There is no available head-to-head data between these teams, so no historical pattern can be drawn. This increases the reliance on current season statistics and home/away splits for predictive insight.
ES Setif vs Témouchent Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
ES Setif wins
1
Draws
0
Témouchent wins
Things to Watch: ES Setif vs Témouchent
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams at this level; uncertainty about matchup dynamics.
- ⚠️Early season small sample size may exaggerate defensive solidity or bluntness.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds prevents explicit value calculations.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Setif 1–0 TémouchentThe model calls a 1-0 win for ES Setif, with the strongest signal coming from Témouchent’s lack of away goals and the overall low scoring rates on both sides. The main risk is an early goal disrupting the expected defensive pattern, opening the game up for more chances than the underlying rates suggest.
ES Setif vs Témouchent: Common Questions
Who will win ES Setif vs Témouchent?
ES Setif are favoured with a 48% probability of victory, while Témouchent’s chances are estimated at 18% and the draw at 34%. The edge comes from Setif’s stronger home scoring and Témouchent’s limited away output.
Will both teams score in ES Setif vs Témouchent?
Both teams to score is rated at just 22%, with the model giving a 78% chance that at least one side keeps a clean sheet. This is driven by both teams’ recent defensive records and Témouchent’s lack of away goals.
Is under 2.5 goals a strong bet for ES Setif vs Témouchent?
Yes, the model assigns a 72% probability to under 2.5 goals, reflecting the fact that only one of these teams’ six league games has gone over that mark so far this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Setif vs Témouchent: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.