ES Setif vs US Biskra Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Ligue 1Ligue 1 ยท Algeria
high confidence
ES Setif

ES Setif

AI Predicted Score

1 - 0

US Biskra

US Biskra

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 CET (venue time) ยท 16:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

ES Setif 54%Draw 32%US Biskra 14%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: No

Recommended Bets: ES Setif vs US Biskra

BTTS: No
8/10
Match Result: ES Setif Win
7/10

ES Setif vs US Biskra: Match Preview

ES Setif come into this match 11th in the table with a modest return of five points from five games, but their underlying numbers are steadier than the record suggests. They have scored six and conceded four, with a single win and two draws in their last five. US Biskra, meanwhile, are bottom of the table, winless in six, and have managed just two points. Their form string of LLLDL and a -9 goal difference highlight a side in crisis, particularly away from home where they have shipped ten goals in three matches.

Statistically, the game profiles as low scoring. Setif's home attack is functional (2.0 goals per home game), but their overall games average just 2.0 goals. Biskra's away defence is the league's worst, conceding 3.3 per away match, but their attack is also the weakest, with only three goals in six games and four blanks in the last five. Both sides average under 1.5 goals scored per match, and Setif have failed to score in three of their last five, suggesting a slow tempo and few chances. H2H history backs this up: five of the last ten have finished level, and only three have seen more than two goals.

The model expects Setif's home advantage and Biskra's blunt attack to decide the game. A 1-0 home win is the likeliest result, with a significant chance of a goalless draw if Setif struggle to break down Biskra's deep block. The probabilities reflect a strong lean to under 2.5 goals (73%) and a high likelihood of at least one side failing to score (81% for BTTS 'No').

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

ES Setif1.25

Expected goals ยท model says 1.25

US Biskra0.50

Expected goals ยท model says 0.50

Win Probability
ES Setif 55% Draw 30% US Biskra 15%

Over 2.5 Goals

26%

BTTS: Yes

28%

Likely Scores

1-0 ยท 0-0 ยท 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

ES Setif vs US Biskra Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
54%
32%
14%
ES Setif 54%Draw 32%US Biskra 14%
Both Teams to Score
19%
81%
Yes 19%No 81%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
27%
73%
Over 2.5 27%Under 2.5 73%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind ES Setif vs US Biskra that most previews miss.

  • 1US Biskra have conceded ten goals in three away matches (3.33 per game), the worst away defensive record in the league.
  • 2ES Setif have failed to score in three of their last five, but scored five in their most recent home win.
  • 3Eight of the last ten H2H meetings have finished under 2.5 goals.

Who do you think wins: ES Setif vs US Biskra?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This ES Setif vs US Biskra Prediction

This fixture pits a mid-table ES Setif side with a stable if unspectacular attack against a US Biskra team struggling badly at both ends, particularly away from home. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring match, with Setif's home scoring rate (2.0 goals per home game) countered by Biskra's defensive frailty on the road (10 conceded in 3 away). However, Biskra's attack is among the weakest in the league, and Setif's defensive numbers are solid by comparison. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, with Biskra's poor scoring record and Setif's tendency to keep things tight at home driving the prediction.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Head-to-head: Setif unbeaten in the last nine meetings, with four wins and five draws.

Defence

  • โ†’ES Setif average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season.
  • โ†’US Biskra have failed to win any of their six matches, scoring just three goals and conceding twelve.

How ES Setif and US Biskra Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

ES Setif vs US Biskra Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

ES SetifES Setiflast 5 matches
R. BenayadXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Z. Benchaasub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. BoumechraXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. J. Yousefsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

US BiskraUS Biskralast 5 matches
M. BelkhademXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

ES Setif have stabilised after a slow start, picking up a 5-1 home win but also drawing two and losing two in their last five. US Biskra are in freefall, winless in six, with three straight defeats and just one goal scored in their last five outings. The momentum is firmly with the home side, despite some recent attacking inconsistency.

ES Setif vs US Biskra โ€” Last 6 Matches

ES SetifES SetifLast 5 results
D1-1
D0-0
W5-1
L0-1
L0-1
Dvs JS Kabylie1-1
D@ MC Oran0-0
Wvs CS Constantine5-1
L@ CR Belouizdad0-1
Lvs Ben Aknoun0-1
US BiskraUS BiskraLast 6 results
L1-4
L0-1
L0-4
D0-0
L0-1
D2-2
L@ JS Kabylie1-4
Lvs MC Oran0-1
L@ CS Constantine0-4
Dvs JS Saoura0-0
Lvs CR Belouizdad0-1
D@ Ben Aknoun2-2

Concerns

  • โˆ’4/5 losses in last 5 โ€” poor form
  • โˆ’Struggling to score โ€” 0.2 goals/game
  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: ES Setif vs US Biskra

ES Setif are unbeaten in the last nine meetings with US Biskra, winning four and drawing five. Most recent encounters have been low scoring, with the last match in Setif ending 1-0 and five of the last ten finishing level. US Biskra's only win in this fixture came over five years ago.

ES Setif vs US Biskra Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

ES Setif wins

5

Draws

1

US Biskra wins

40%50% draws10%
20 Jun 25ES Setif vs US Biskra1-0
27 Dec 24US Biskra vs ES Setif0-0
26 Apr 24US Biskra vs ES Setif2-2
9 Dec 23ES Setif vs US Biskra2-2
10 Feb 23ES Setif vs US Biskra3-1
27 Aug 22US Biskra vs ES Setif2-2

Things to Watch: ES Setif vs US Biskra

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available; value and expected value calculations are not possible.
  • โš ๏ธLimited shots, possession, and set piece data; model relies on goal and result rates.
  • โš ๏ธSmall sample size for both teams' season data (5-6 matches); early-season volatility possible.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

ES Setif 1โ€“0 US Biskra

The model projects a narrow 1-0 win for ES Setif, with US Biskra's away defensive collapse (ten conceded in three) and lack of attacking threat (0.5 goals per game) the decisive factors. The greatest risk to this call is Setif's own inconsistency in front of goal, as they've failed to score in three of five matches and could be held if Biskra sit deep.

ES Setif vs US Biskra: Common Questions

Who will win ES Setif vs US Biskra?

ES Setif are clear statistical favourites with a 54% win probability, based on their superior home record and Biskra's winless, defensively fragile start. US Biskra have just a 14% chance of victory according to the model.

Will both teams score in ES Setif vs US Biskra?

The model gives an 81% probability for 'No' on both teams to score, with US Biskra failing to score in four of their last five and Setif keeping things tight at home.

How many goals are expected in ES Setif vs US Biskra?

Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 73%, reflecting both teams' low scoring rates and the H2H trend of tight, low-scoring encounters.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Setif vs US Biskra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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