ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Tunis
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
CS Sfaxien
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
5.2/10Stalemate in Tunis: ES Tunis and CS Sfaxien Share the Spoils in Goalless Draw
ES Tunis and CS Sfaxien played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, with neither side able to break the deadlock in a match marked by defensive discipline and physical battles. Despite the high stakes of this Ligue 1 clash, clear-cut chances were at a premium, and both teams ultimately lacked the cutting edge required to seize all three points. The visitors, CS Sfaxien, showed plenty of grit, picking up four yellow cards as they disrupted ES Tunis's rhythm and frustrated the home crowd. While both sides pushed for a breakthrough, resolute defending and a lack of attacking cohesion meant the contest fizzled out without a goal, leaving both teams to rue missed opportunities in front of goal.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
Various' — Yellow cards
CS Sfaxien collected four yellow cards as they committed tactical fouls to disrupt ES Tunis’s flow.
ES Tunis
ES Tunis controlled large spells of the match but struggled to translate their possession into tangible chances. Their attacking unit failed to penetrate a well-organized CS Sfaxien backline, and the lack of shots on target reflected their difficulties in the final third. Despite their efforts to raise the tempo, ES Tunis were unable to capitalize on their home advantage. Defensively, they remained solid and rarely looked threatened, but the lack of creativity in midfield and a blunt attack ultimately cost them the chance to claim victory.
Strengths
Weaknesses
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien approached the match with a disciplined, physical game plan, successfully stifling ES Tunis’s attacking ambitions. Their defensive line stood firm, and tactical fouls—evidenced by four yellow cards—helped break up the hosts’ rhythm. While their attacking play was limited, their resilience and work rate ensured they left Tunis with a valuable point. The visitors' commitment to defensive duties was clear, but their own lack of attacking impetus meant they rarely threatened to snatch a winner themselves.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams’ starting lineups and formations unavailable, the match was nonetheless defined by defensive solidity and a physical midfield battle. CS Sfaxien’s willingness to commit fouls and accept bookings highlighted their focus on containment, while ES Tunis struggled to find space or rhythm in the final third. The lack of goals and attacking statistics suggests both sides prioritized structure over risk, with neither able to break the other down through open play or set pieces. The absence of significant attacking moments or tactical shifts—such as impactful substitutions—meant the match remained cagey and largely played between the penalty areas, with defensive lines prevailing over attacking ambition.
Turning Point
CS Sfaxien's tactical fouling and accumulation of yellow cards in key moments effectively broke up ES Tunis’s attacking momentum, ensuring the match remained goalless.
Man of the Match
CS Sfaxien Defensive Unit
Collectively kept a clean sheet under pressure and executed a disciplined, physical game plan.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–0
Both teams are strong defensively, with ES Tunis boasting a 72% clean sheet rate at home and CS Sfaxien 64% overall. ES Tunis are unbeaten at home and H2H history heavily favors low-scoring, narrow home wins.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low over 2.5% rates (ES Tunis 40%, CS Sfaxien 28%). Recent matches and H2H show a strong under trend.
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
ES Tunis are unbeaten at home (11W 2D), have the best defensive record, and have dominated this fixture historically.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Prediction
This is a top-three clash in Tunisia's Ligue 1 between league leaders ES Tunis and third-placed CS Sfaxien. ES Tunis have been almost flawless at home, with an unbeaten record and a formidable defense, conceding just four goals in 13 home games. CS Sfaxien are in strong form (WDWWW), but their away record, while solid, is less dominant. Both teams have low season averages for goals conceded and high clean sheet rates, suggesting a tight, tactical battle. Historically, this fixture is low-scoring, with ES Tunis often edging it by a single goal. Expect a cagey game with few clear chances, where a single goal could decide the outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →ES Tunis: 11W 2D 0L at home, 72% clean sheet rate, only 4 home goals conceded
- →CS Sfaxien: 6W 5D 2L away, 64% season clean sheet rate, only 6 away goals conceded
Injuries & Team News
- →No notable injuries reported
Match Context
- →Both teams have failed to score in multiple recent matches; ES Tunis failed to score in 3 of last 5
- →Low over 2.5 goal rates: ES Tunis 40%, CS Sfaxien 28%
- →H2H: ES Tunis 6 wins in last 10, most games under 2.5 goals, 1-0 or 1-1 common
🚩 ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for ES Tunis and 5 for CS Sfaxien, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How ES Tunis and CS Sfaxien Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ES Tunislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
CS Sfaxienlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +70.37% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
ES Tunis wins
4
Draws
0
CS Sfaxien wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for both teams
- ⚠️Possible squad rotation after recent CAF Champions League fixtures for ES Tunis
- ⚠️Model confidence slightly reduced due to missing granular match data
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.