ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Tunis
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 0
ES Zarzis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
Match Result
7.5/10Late Drama as ES Tunis and ES Zarzis Share the Spoils in Four-Goal Thriller
ES Tunis and ES Zarzis played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, with both sides exchanging blows in a pulsating first half. The hosts took an early lead in the 7th minute, but Zarzis responded with an equalizer five minutes before the break. The drama peaked just before halftime, as both teams found the net in quick succession, leaving the score level at 2-2 heading into the interval. The second half saw tempers flare, particularly for the visitors, who picked up five yellow cards in total, but neither side could find a decisive breakthrough. Despite their efforts, both teams were forced to settle for a point apiece, reflecting the balance of play and the intensity of the contest.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
7' — Goal
ES Tunis open the scoring to take an early lead.
40' — Goal
ES Zarzis equalize, shifting the momentum.
45' — Goal
ES Tunis retake the lead just before halftime.
45' — Goal
ES Zarzis immediately respond with another equalizer.
Various' — Yellow Cards
ES Zarzis pick up five yellow cards, reflecting their combative approach.
ES Tunis
ES Tunis started brightly, capitalizing on their home advantage with an early goal in the 7th minute. Their attacking intent was evident, and they managed to regain the lead just before halftime after Zarzis had equalized. However, defensive lapses allowed the visitors to respond almost immediately, and Tunis were unable to reassert their dominance in the second half, ultimately settling for a draw.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis showed impressive resolve, coming from behind twice in the first half. Their equalizer in the 40th minute was a testament to their persistence, and their immediate response to Tunis's second goal highlighted their fighting spirit. The visitors were aggressive, as shown by their five yellow cards, but managed to keep their discipline just enough to avoid a sending off and secure a valuable away point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams' formations unspecified, the match was characterized by fast-paced transitions and a willingness to commit numbers forward. ES Tunis looked to assert themselves early, pressing high and seeking to control the tempo, while Zarzis focused on quick counters and aggressive midfield play. The high number of yellow cards for Zarzis suggests a physical approach, likely aimed at disrupting Tunis's rhythm. Both sides struggled to maintain defensive solidity, especially in the final moments of the first half, where concentration lapses led to a flurry of goals. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half failed to break the deadlock, as both defenses tightened and attacking opportunities became more limited.
Turning Point
The frantic exchange of goals in first-half stoppage time, with both teams scoring in the 45th minute, set the tone for a cagey second half and ultimately ensured the points were shared.
Man of the Match
Unknown (ES Zarzis, 45')
Scored a vital equalizer just before halftime to secure a hard-fought point for the visitors.
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 0.40
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
28%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 3-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
ES Tunis are unbeaten at home this season (11W, 1D), have the best defensive record (0.29 conceded/game), and face a mid-table ES Zarzis with poor recent form (DLDLL) and negative goal difference. The home side's motivation in the title race is also a factor.
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BTTS: No
ES Tunis have kept 75% clean sheets this season and ES Zarzis average less than 1 goal per game away. Only 1 of ES Tunis's last 5 saw BTTS.
Correct Score: 2–0
Scoreline aligns with ES Tunis's home dominance and low-scoring nature of their matches; ES Zarzis rarely score more than 1 away.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Prediction
ES Tunis come into this match as strong favorites, boasting an unbeaten home record and the league's most formidable defense. Their recent form is solid despite a narrow CAF Champions League loss. ES Zarzis, meanwhile, are struggling for consistency and have a negative goal difference. The home side's title ambitions should ensure focus and intensity, while ES Zarzis may struggle to break down a defense that has conceded just twice at home all season.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →ES Zarzis: DLDLL form, negative goal difference, average less than 1 goal per away match.
- →Head-to-head: ES Tunis have won 6 of last 10 meetings, including 3-1 and 4-2 at home.
Defence
- →ES Tunis: 11W, 1D, 0L at home; only 2 goals conceded in 12 home games.
- →ES Tunis clean sheet rate: 75%.
Match Context
- →Motivation: ES Tunis in title race, Zarzis mid-table.
🚩 ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for ES Tunis and 5 for ES Zarzis, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How ES Tunis and ES Zarzis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Tunislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +69.23% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
ES Tunis wins
2
Draws
3
ES Zarzis wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis
- ⚠️No recent away team form data for last 5 matches; reduces confidence in Zarzis projections.
- ⚠️Limited set piece and discipline data for both teams.
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable at time of analysis; late injuries or rotations possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.