ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Tunis
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 0
Olympique Béja
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
Match Result
7/10ES Tunis Strike Early to Overpower Olympique Béja in 3-1 Home Victory
ES Tunis delivered a commanding performance at Stade Hedi-Enneifer, racing to an early lead and ultimately dispatching Olympique Béja 3-1 in front of their home fans. The hosts wasted no time, finding the net in the very first minute and doubling their advantage by the 13th. A third goal shortly after halftime put the result beyond much doubt, despite a spirited response from Olympique Béja, who managed to pull one back just before the hour mark. The match was marked by ES Tunis's clinical finishing and early intensity, which left Béja chasing the game from the outset. While Béja showed resilience and briefly threatened a comeback, ES Tunis's control and discipline ensured the three points stayed in Le Bardo.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
1' — Goal
ES Tunis open the scoring almost immediately after kickoff, stunning Béja.
13' — Goal
The hosts double their lead, putting Béja under severe pressure.
48' — Goal
ES Tunis strike again just after halftime to make it 3-0.
59' — Goal
Olympique Béja pull one back, threatening a comeback.
N/A' — Yellow Cards
ES Tunis receive two yellow cards, Béja one, but no reds are shown.
ES Tunis
ES Tunis set the tone with a lightning-fast start, scoring in the opening minute and quickly building a commanding lead. Their ability to strike early and maintain pressure paid dividends, as they added a third goal just after the break. The team managed the game well, showing both attacking intent and defensive discipline, only conceding once and avoiding any red cards despite two bookings.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Olympique Béja
Olympique Béja were caught cold by ES Tunis's early onslaught, conceding twice within the opening 13 minutes. Despite the difficult start, they regrouped and showed character, especially after finding a goal of their own in the 59th minute. However, the damage had largely been done, and their efforts to claw back further were stymied by a well-organized ES Tunis defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, the match flow suggests ES Tunis set up to attack aggressively from the outset, pressing high and capitalizing on Béja's slow start. Their early goals allowed them to manage the tempo, likely sitting deeper after establishing a cushion and focusing on transitions. Olympique Béja struggled to cope with the initial intensity but adjusted after halftime, pushing forward and eventually finding a goal. However, their inability to withstand ES Tunis's early pressure and limited offensive threat outside their lone goal proved costly.
Turning Point
The opening minute goal by ES Tunis shattered Béja's game plan and set the hosts on course for victory.
Man of the Match
First-minute goalscorer (ES Tunis)
Set the tone for the match with an immediate goal and inspired his team's dominant start.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja: Match Preview
ES Tunis arrive at Stade Hedi-Enneifer with momentum firmly on their side, having rebounded from an early-season defeat to post consecutive league wins and climb to second in the table. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with two victories out of two and five goals scored in front of their own fans. Olympique Béja, meanwhile, are yet to taste victory this season and sit 14th, their campaign marked by a lack of cutting edge and defensive frailties that have seen them concede in every match so far.
Statistically, the matchup tilts heavily in favour of the hosts. ES Tunis are averaging 1.6 goals per game over their last five, with a clear trend of second-half scoring (six of their last eight league goals after the interval). Olympique Béja, by contrast, have managed just 0.8 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five. The visitors have shown a tendency to concede first and struggle to recover, while their away record this season reads one draw and one loss, with only a single goal scored. Both sides have seen plenty of cards, suggesting a competitive midfield battle, but ES Tunis's attacking depth and home advantage look decisive.
The model expects ES Tunis to dictate play, leveraging their recent momentum and historical dominance in this fixture. Olympique Béja's lack of attacking threat and defensive vulnerability away from home make a home win with a clean sheet the most probable outcome. With ES Tunis typically finding their stride after the break, a tight first half could give way to a more comfortable margin as the match wears on.
How ES Tunis and Olympique Béja Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ES Tunislast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Olympique Béjalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Tunis are riding a wave of momentum, with three wins in their last four matches and a perfect home record so far this season. Their only setback was a 3-1 away loss, but they've responded with back-to-back victories, including a gritty 1-0 away win last time out. Olympique Béja, in contrast, are winless in their last five, drawing two and losing two in the league, and have yet to keep a clean sheet, highlighting their current struggles.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja that most previews miss.
- 1ES Tunis have scored six of their last eight league goals in the second half, highlighting a strong finishing kick.
- 2Olympique Béja have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches and have conceded first in three of those.
- 3Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings have been won by ES Tunis, with the hosts keeping five clean sheets in that span.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja?
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The Case For This ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Prediction
ES Tunis come into this fixture riding a strong wave of early-season momentum, having claimed three wins from four and sitting second in the table. Their only blip was a 3-1 away defeat, but since then they've responded with back-to-back victories, including a hard-fought 1-0 win last time out. Olympique Béja, by contrast, are still searching for their first win of the campaign and languish near the foot of the standings, having drawn their last two but failed to impress at either end of the pitch. Tactically, the contrast is clear: ES Tunis are averaging 1.6 goals per game over their last five and have scored in every league match, with a notable second-half scoring edge (six of their last eight league goals coming after the break). Olympique Béja's attack has sputtered, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in the same span and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. The visitors have shown some resilience, with four of their last five seeing both teams score, but their inability to shut up shop away from home is a major concern. Discipline could play a role, as both sides have been picking up cards at a steady rate, hinting at a potentially scrappy contest. Given the form lines and the historic dominance of ES Tunis in this matchup—seven wins in the last ten meetings, including a 2-0 home victory last season—the model expects the hosts to control proceedings. Olympique Béja's lack of cutting edge and leaky defence on the road points to a home win, likely with a clean sheet, and a match that could be decided in the second half as ES Tunis's attacking depth wears down the visitors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Olympique Béja are winless in four, conceding in every match and scoring just three times.
Match Context
- →ES Tunis have won three of their last four league matches, including both home games.
- →Head-to-head strongly favours ES Tunis, with seven wins in the last ten meetings.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
ES Tunis have won three of their last four league matches and boast a perfect home record this season (2 wins from 2), while Olympique Béja are winless after four rounds and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. The momentum is firmly with the hosts, who have scored in every match this campaign.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Olympique Béja have scored just three goals in four matches, failing to score at all in one and managing only one goal in each of their last three. ES Tunis have kept two clean sheets in their last five and look defensively solid at home.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
What History Says: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
The head-to-head record is heavily tilted towards ES Tunis, who have won seven of the last ten meetings and kept five clean sheets in that span. At home, ES Tunis have been especially dominant, winning the last two encounters 2-0. Olympique Béja have only managed two wins in this fixture over the past decade, both away from home, but have not triumphed in Tunis since 2023.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
ES Tunis wins
1
Draws
2
Olympique Béja wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to calculate value edges for this fixture. However, the model's strong lean towards ES Tunis is driven by their recent form and dominant head-to-head record. If odds for a home win or 'both teams to score: no' are offered at reasonable prices, those markets would be the first to check for potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds were available at the time of analysis, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece data limits precision in attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️Early-season volatility means both teams' true levels may not yet be fully reflected in the data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Tunis 2–0 Olympique BéjaES Tunis's recent surge, with three wins in four and a perfect home record, makes them clear favourites to dispatch a struggling Olympique Béja side. The strongest data point is the home side's consistent scoring and defensive solidity at Stade Hedi-Enneifer, while Béja's winless start and leaky defence offer little resistance on current form. The main risk is a low-scoring stalemate if ES Tunis struggle to break down a deep-lying opponent, but all momentum signals point to a 2-0 home win.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja: Common Questions
Who will win ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja?
The model gives ES Tunis a 61% probability of victory, reflecting their strong home form and recent momentum, while Olympique Béja are rated just 11% to win. The draw is given a 28% chance, but all recent signals point towards a home win.
Will both teams score in ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja?
Both teams to score is rated at just 32%, with 'no' at 68%. Olympique Béja have scored only three times in four matches and face an ES Tunis side that has kept two clean sheets in their last five.
Can ES Tunis continue their winning streak?
ES Tunis have won their last two league matches and three of their last four overall. Given their perfect home record and Olympique Béja's winless run, the model expects their streak to continue, with a predicted 2-0 scoreline.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.