ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
ES Sahel
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or ES Sahel
ES Sahel have a stronger away record than Zarzis' home record, are higher in the table, and have lost only 4 of 12 away. Zarzis have won just 3 of 13 at home. H2H also favors Sahel. Draw is likely, but away side less likely to lose.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game this season, and both have strong clean sheet rates. Only 40% (Zarzis) and 27% (Sahel) of their matches go over 2.5 goals.
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Match Result: Draw
Both teams draw frequently (Zarzis 8/26, Sahel 8/26), are closely matched on recent form, and have similar defensive stats. H2H also shows a history of close matches.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel Prediction
This is a low-scoring, closely contested mid-table clash. ES Zarzis are tough to beat at home but rarely win, while ES Sahel are solid away but not dominant. Both teams are defensively sound, with clean sheets in 40-50% of matches. Recent form is balanced, though Sahel have a slightly better attack. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw or narrow away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Sahel have won 6 of last 10, but most games are close.
- →Recent form: Zarzis (WDDLD), Sahel (WLLDW), both inconsistent.
Attack
- →ES Zarzis: Only 3 home wins in 13, 9 goals scored at home.
Defence
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored and conceded per game.
- →High clean sheet rates (Zarzis 40%, Sahel 50%).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →ES Sahel: 3 away wins in 12, but better overall record and higher league position.
- →Low over 2.5 goal percentages (Zarzis 40%, Sahel 27%).
How ES Zarzis and ES Sahel Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
ES Sahellast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
ES Zarzis wins
1
Draws
6
ES Sahel wins
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set piece data reduces confidence in attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️Recent lineups incomplete; possible squad rotation risk.
- ⚠️Cup match in Sahel's last 5 may distort recent form.
- ⚠️Tunisia Ligue 1 is low-scoring and unpredictable; small sample sizes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.