Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Farnham Town
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Cirencester Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Cirencester Town Edge Farnham in FA Cup Thriller
Cirencester Town advanced in the FA Cup with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Farnham Town. In a match where both sides battled for supremacy, Cirencester showed greater composure in front of goal to clinch the win away from home. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the scoreline reflects a closely contested encounter, with Farnham pushing hard but ultimately falling short. Farnham Town managed to find the net once, but Cirencester's ability to score twice proved decisive. With no cards issued throughout the match, the contest was played in a competitive yet fair spirit. Both teams will take positives from their performances, but it is Cirencester who move on to the next round, leaving Farnham to rue missed opportunities.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Farnham Town open the scoring to ignite the contest.
N/A' — Goal
Cirencester Town equalize, shifting momentum in their favor.
N/A' — Goal
Cirencester Town score the decisive second goal to secure victory.
Farnham Town
Farnham Town put in a spirited display in front of their supporters, managing to score and keep the tie competitive until the final whistle. However, despite their efforts, they were unable to convert their chances into a result, falling just short against a clinical Cirencester side. The absence of disciplinary issues speaks to their discipline and sportsmanship on the night. Ultimately, Farnham's inability to find a second goal proved costly. They will be disappointed not to have forced extra time or found an equalizer, but can take heart from their fighting spirit and the experience gained in this cup tie.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cirencester Town
Cirencester Town delivered a composed and effective performance on the road, securing a valuable 2-1 victory. Their ability to score twice away from home underlines their attacking threat and efficiency. The team kept their discipline throughout, avoiding any bookings and managing the game well after taking the lead. Cirencester's resilience was evident as they held off Farnham's attempts to equalize, showing maturity and tactical awareness to see out the win and progress in the FA Cup.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Without specific lineup or formation data, it is clear both teams approached the match with attacking intent, as evidenced by the three goals scored. Cirencester Town's ability to find the net twice away from home suggests a balanced approach, blending defensive solidity with swift transitions. Farnham Town, meanwhile, showed resilience and a willingness to push forward, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge to force extra time or a comeback. Both sides demonstrated discipline, with no cards shown, indicating well-organized defensive structures and a focus on fair play. Cirencester's tactical maturity was evident in their game management after taking the lead.
Turning Point
Cirencester Town's second goal proved to be the turning point, giving them a lead they would not relinquish and forcing Farnham Town to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Unavailable
Insufficient player data to determine a standout performer.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town: Match Preview
Farnham Town come into the replay on the back of an unbeaten five-match run, including a 2-2 draw away at Cirencester Town in the original tie. Their recent form string of DWDWW reflects a side that has found attacking rhythm, averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last five. Cirencester, meanwhile, have alternated results but remain unbeaten in the FA Cup this season, highlighted by a 3-0 away win at Fleetlands and a share of the spoils in the first encounter with Farnham.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by both sides’ high-scoring tendencies. Farnham have seen 100% of their FA Cup matches go over 2.5 goals, while Cirencester’s only away FA Cup fixture ended in a 3-0 win. Farnham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, but have scored in every outing, while Cirencester have managed two clean sheets in five but conceded twice in their last game. Both teams’ recent matches have skewed towards second-half goals, suggesting a contest that could open up after the interval.
The model expects another open contest, projecting Cirencester’s marginally stronger away attack to be the difference. With both teams averaging over a goal per game and defensive records showing vulnerability, the probabilities favour over 2.5 goals and a slight edge to the visitors. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, though the recent 2-2 draw underlines the potential for another high-scoring stalemate.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town that most previews miss.
- 1Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in FA Cup matches this season.
- 2Farnham Town have scored in all of their last five matches but kept just one clean sheet.
- 3Cirencester Town’s only FA Cup away match this season ended in a 3-0 victory.
Who do you think wins: Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen 100% of their season matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the last meeting ended 2-2; the model assigns a 62% probability to the over.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Cirencester Town Win
Cirencester Town’s away scoring rate (3.0 goals per game) and clean sheet in their only away FA Cup match this season tilt the probabilities slightly in their favour.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town Prediction
The statistical profile points to a competitive replay, with Cirencester Town’s superior away scoring rate and Farnham Town’s consistent attacking output raising the expected goal environment. Both teams have produced high-scoring games in the FA Cup so far, and their recent 2-2 draw confirms the open nature of this pairing. Margins are slim, but Cirencester’s ability to keep a clean sheet on the road and convert chances at a higher rate nudges the model towards a narrow away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Farnham Town average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last five fixtures.
- →Cirencester Town have scored 3 goals and conceded none in their only FA Cup away match this season.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen all their FA Cup matches this season go over 2.5 goals.
How Farnham Town and Cirencester Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Farnham Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cirencester Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Farnham Town are unbeaten in their last five, with a form string of DWDWW and an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Cirencester Town’s recent form is less consistent (DWLDL), but they remain unbeaten in the current FA Cup campaign and have shown the ability to score freely on the road.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town
The only head-to-head meeting between these sides finished 2-2 just days ago, with both teams finding the net in each half. There is no historical dominance, but the high-scoring draw suggests another open contest is likely.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Farnham Town wins
1
Draws
1
Cirencester Town wins
Things to Watch: Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited sample sizes for both teams’ season records and no league standings data.
- ⚠️No injury or lineup data available for either side.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Farnham Town 1–2 Cirencester TownThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Cirencester Town, driven primarily by their superior away scoring rate (3.0 goals per FA Cup away match) and Farnham’s lack of clean sheets. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Farnham’s consistent home attack finds another gear, or if the teams’ recent draw signals a closer contest than the underlying rates suggest.
Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town: Common Questions
Who will win Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town?
Cirencester Town are given a 41% chance of winning, with Farnham Town at 26% and a draw at 33%. The model slightly favours Cirencester based on their away scoring rate and recent results.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town?
There is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams having seen 100% of their FA Cup matches this season finish above that line, including a 2-2 draw in their last meeting.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Yes, the model assigns a 59% probability to both teams scoring, supported by Farnham’s record of scoring in all of their last five matches and the 2-2 result in the previous encounter.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Farnham Town vs Cirencester Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.