Faversham Town vs Welling United Predictions
FA Cup · England
Faversham Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Welling United
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Faversham Town vs Welling United: Match Preview
Faversham Town come into this FA Cup clash off a mixed run, with two wins, two draws, and a recent defeat in their last five matches. Their attack has produced 1.8 goals per game in that stretch, but defensive frailties remain, conceding 1.2 per match. Welling United, meanwhile, have started the new campaign with three wins in their last four competitive fixtures, including two away victories, and have kept three clean sheets in their last five, suggesting a slightly higher baseline of defensive organisation.
Statistically, the matchup leans towards a moderately high-scoring environment. Both teams average over a goal per game, but Welling United’s attack has been more consistent, netting ten goals in their last five, with a pronounced second-half scoring pattern (eight of ten goals after the break). Faversham Town have shown some resilience at home, but their recent friendly defeat and lack of season-long data make it difficult to gauge their true level. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but with both sides showing only one failed-to-score in their last five, BTTS rates are above average.
The model expects Welling United’s sharper attack and recent away form to be decisive, projecting a 2-1 away win. The most likely scenario is a cagey first half followed by more open play after the break, with Welling’s second-half scoring record tipping the balance. However, the lack of season and head-to-head data increases uncertainty, and a draw is a plausible risk if Faversham’s home advantage proves more significant than recent results suggest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Faversham Town vs Welling United Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Faversham Town vs Welling United that most previews miss.
- 1Welling United have scored eight of their last ten goals in the second half, highlighting a late-game scoring trend.
- 2Both teams have failed to score in only one of their last five matches, supporting a 54% model probability for BTTS.
- 3Faversham Town’s last five have averaged exactly three goals per game, with two matches finishing 2-2 or 3-0.
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The Case For This Faversham Town vs Welling United Prediction
Both sides enter this FA Cup tie with decent attacking numbers in recent outings, but Welling United's slightly higher goal output and greater clean sheet count over the last five matches tilt the balance. Faversham Town have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in their last five, but Welling United have been slightly sharper in front of goal, averaging 2 scored and also 1.2 conceded, with three clean sheets suggesting a marginally more robust defence. The data points to a contest where both teams are likely to score, but Welling’s superior recent away form and second-half scoring rate gives them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Welling United have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, compared to Faversham Town’s 9.
Defence
- →Welling United have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Faversham Town have two.
Match Context
- →Welling United have scored eight of their last ten goals in the second half, indicating a late-game threat.
How Faversham Town and Welling United Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Faversham Town vs Welling United Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Faversham Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Welling Unitedlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Faversham Town’s recent form reads LDDWW, with nine goals scored and six conceded in their last five, but they suffered a defeat in their most recent friendly. Welling United have won three of their last five (WWLWL), scoring ten and conceding six, and are on a two-match winning streak with consecutive clean sheets. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Welling’s results suggest a slightly higher ceiling.
Faversham Town vs Welling United — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Faversham Town vs Welling United
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be identified between Faversham Town and Welling United.
Faversham Town vs Welling United Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Faversham Town wins
1
Draws
0
Welling United wins
Things to Watch: Faversham Town vs Welling United
- ⚠️No season-long league data or standings available for either side; all rates are based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges or recommended bets can be computed.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data to calibrate matchup or historical tendencies.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Faversham Town 1–2 Welling UnitedThe model projects a 2-1 win for Welling United, driven by their higher recent scoring rate and three clean sheets in the last five matches. The single strongest data point is Welling’s eight second-half goals in five games, suggesting they are likely to finish strongly. The main risk is the absence of season and head-to-head data, which could mean Faversham’s home form or cup motivation is underestimated.
Faversham Town vs Welling United: Common Questions
Who will win Faversham Town vs Welling United?
Welling United are favoured by the model with a 47% probability of victory, compared to 26% for Faversham Town and 27% for the draw. This is based on Welling’s superior recent scoring and defensive record.
Will both teams score in Faversham Town vs Welling United?
There is a 54% probability that both teams will score, as both sides have failed to score in only one of their last five matches and have averaged over 1.5 goals scored per game recently.
How many goals are expected in Faversham Town vs Welling United?
The model gives a 57% probability for over 2.5 goals and an 81% probability for over 1.5 goals, reflecting both teams’ recent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Faversham Town vs Welling United: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.