FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
FC Augsburg
AI Predicted Score
2 - 3
Hertha BSC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC: Match Preview
Augsburg come into this friendly off a patchy but lively run, having won three of their last five in all competitions, including a 4-1 away demolition of Eintracht Frankfurt and a 3-0 home win over Schalke. However, their momentum stalled with a 3-2 defeat at Werder Bremen last time out, and their defensive record remains a concern, conceding in four of the last five. Hertha BSC, meanwhile, are flying: five straight wins, 16 goals scored, and a sense of swagger returning to their play. Their attack has been relentless, with 20.8 shots and 3.2 goals per game across the last five, and they’ve shown resilience on the road, winning their last three away from home.
The matchup is likely to be decided by which side can better mask their defensive frailties. Augsburg’s 2.6 goals per game in recent outings is offset by 1.2 conceded, while Hertha’s 1.4 conceded per game is mitigated by their firepower. Both teams have seen BTTS land in all of Hertha’s and three of Augsburg’s last five, and neither has managed a clean sheet in the same span. Expect a game played at pace, with both sides creating chances—Hertha’s higher average possession (49.4% to Augsburg’s 41.2%) and shot volume may tilt the balance.
The model expects Hertha’s current momentum to edge a high-scoring contest. Augsburg’s attack, led by Gregoritsch and Fellhauer, should find the net, but Hertha’s recent streak and superior H2H record—seven wins in the last ten—suggest they are better placed to capitalise on defensive lapses. A 3-2 away win looks plausible, with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals standing out as the strongest trends.
How FC Augsburg and Hertha BSC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Augsburglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hertha BSClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hertha BSC arrive in red-hot form, having won five on the bounce with a remarkable 16 goals scored and none of their last five opponents able to keep them out. Augsburg have shown attacking promise with 2.6 goals per game over their last five, but their momentum was checked by a recent defeat at Bremen. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games, but Hertha’s consistency and streak give them the edge on current form.
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC that most previews miss.
- 1Hertha BSC are on a five-match winning streak, scoring at least twice in every game and averaging 3.2 goals per match in that span.
- 2Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, and BTTS has landed in all of Hertha’s and three of Augsburg’s last five.
- 3Hertha have won seven of the last ten H2H meetings, including the last three away at Augsburg without conceding.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Expected goals · model says 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-1 · 2-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
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The Case For This FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Prediction
Momentum is the defining theme here, with Hertha BSC riding a five-match winning streak and Augsburg showing flashes of attacking quality but less consistency. The recent form of both sides points strongly towards a high-tempo, open contest, with neither defence convincing and both attacks in prolific mood. Expect goals at both ends, with Hertha's sharper edge and superior recent run likely to tell.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hertha BSC have won five consecutive matches, scoring 16 goals in their last five.
Defence
- →Augsburg have scored in every one of their last five but conceded in four of those.
- →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five, and BTTS has landed in all of Hertha’s and three of Augsburg’s last five.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both Augsburg and Hertha have scored in all of their last five matches, with Augsburg averaging 2.6 goals and Hertha 3.2 goals per game over that span, and neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are trending heavily towards high-scoring games: Augsburg have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their season matches, Hertha in 85.7%, and their recent form shows a combined 27 goals in the last five for Augsburg and 32 for Hertha.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Hertha BSC Win
Hertha arrive on a five-match winning streak, scoring at least twice in each, and have dominated the H2H with seven wins in the last ten meetings, while Augsburg’s last outing was a defeat.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
🚩 FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for FC Augsburg and 6.2 for Hertha BSC, for an expected total of 11.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 63%.
What History Says: FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and keeping clean sheets in their last three away trips to Augsburg. Augsburg’s only win in this period came in 2019, and the majority of recent encounters have seen Hertha control proceedings, often shutting out their hosts.
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
FC Augsburg wins
2
Draws
7
Hertha BSC wins
Things to Watch: FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Standings and venue data are missing, limiting context for home/away weighting.
- ⚠️As a friendly, motivation and lineups may not match competitive fixtures.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Augsburg 2–3 Hertha BSCHertha BSC’s five-game winning run, combined with their dominant H2H record and attacking output, makes them slight favourites in what should be a goal-laden friendly. The predicted 3-2 away win is underpinned by Hertha’s 20.8 shots and 3.2 goals per game over their last five, but Augsburg’s own attacking form means any defensive lapse could punish the visitors. The biggest risk is that friendly match dynamics or rotated lineups dull the attacking edge seen in recent competitive fixtures.
FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC: Common Questions
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
Hertha BSC are favoured by the model, with a 51% probability of victory compared to 23% for Augsburg and 26% for the draw. Hertha’s five-match winning streak and dominant head-to-head record are the key factors.
Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC?
Both teams to score is highly likely, with a model probability of 78%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five, and both average over 2.5 goals scored per game in that period.
Can Hertha BSC’s winning streak continue?
Hertha BSC are on a five-match winning run, scoring at least twice in each, and the model gives them a 51% chance of extending that streak, supported by their recent form and strong H2H record against Augsburg.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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